DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 would you believe me if I said my maps were screwed up and corrected?....I think there was something wrong with SV or I am just an overtired idiot...terrible run Yeah thats more like it. Its a pretty bad run overall. I am to the point where I just don't care what happens. Hope it comes back north, if not, its been a good winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I guess we will have to wait until nowcasting to see where the front actually sets up. That is the key to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 1" runs thru DC and parallels I66. Balt-JYO still .8 or so. It's not awful unless you expected 12+ but that isn't all frozen...we get roughly 0.4-0.5 snow.....which is disappointing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Next You get 8" this run..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Next This is no next at this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4k NAM bringing in the cold quicker than 18z (which brought it quicker than 12z) and also cutting back again on highs tomorrow. Probably also pushing the heaviest to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 NAM seems to have a tendency for a "skinny" precip shield. Hard to believe there wont be some heavier stuff further north. I would be surprised if 0z GFS had such a sharp cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Well 6-8 inches for DC isn't that bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Meh, half-an inch of rain that ends as a coating of sleet and a few flakes as it turns cold. Sounds like typical early March weather here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I need a break....I'm the guy at the poker table with A4 and I think I have bullets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Well 6-8 inches for DC isn't that bad... But it's not 6-8 though. more like 4 to 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I need a break....I'm the guy at the poker table with A4 and I think I have bullets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 NAM seems to have a tendency for a "skinny" precip shield. Hard to believe there wont be some heavier stuff further north. I would be surprised if 0z GFS had such a sharp cutoff. The GFS won't simply thanks to lower resolution in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 At least it'll be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I need a break....I'm the guy at the poker table with A4 and I think I have bullets You get too emotionally invested in these storms, it is not worth it. You are going to give yourself a bleeding ulcer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 But it's not 6-8 though. more like 4 to 6? looks like 0.4 - 0.5" snow...so whatever that is...5-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vern Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looking at the 500, it appears the vort at 45 hours is about 100 miles south at 0z from where it was at 51 hours at 18z. That seems like a pretty big jump south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You get too emotionally invested in these storms, it is not worth it. You are going to give yourself a bleeding ulcer. huh?....I'm not very invested...if you read my posts you will see that....IS there anyone else with 60" who wants to play my psychiatrist? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 looks like 0.4 - 0.5" snow...so whatever that is...5-7" I think it may be more than that. 850's are <0 at hour 33 when about .1 has fallen. Everything after is sleet/snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 huh?....I'm not very invested...if you read my posts you will see that....IS there anyone else with 60" who wants to play my psychiatrist? Just trying to help you dude im not playing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 He only has 52", so let's not inflate his totals ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Last night's 0z NAM had a laughable jump to northern PA. Now it's further south than any other run has been. Not sure I buy this huge south jump... we'll see what the rest of the guidance shows. It's been a slow and steady march south. I'm at the point where I"m thinking at 12 z tomorrow I'm looking at i-40 in NC and feeling jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 If its snow, 4K has DCA-Wes-Annapolis at about 6" @ 10am Monday. Parts of St Mary's county and south of say, Quantico in VA pushing 10-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Leesburg made a post about how the faster the cold push comes the further south the precip goes. It's a double edge sword. My bar has been lower than many. I'm still happy with the run. Sleet begins around 3am or so and then snow shortly after. Hard to really get mad at anything yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 4k NAM. 850s drop below 0 between 2-3 am. Surface below freezing at 11 pm. Don't have the soundings but I will assume we are probably all snow by 4 am. 0.4" has fallen through 4 am. Another 0.5" falls after 4 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This run was crushing. We need a reversal like now. We still suck at winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 It's been a slow and steady march south. I'm at the point where I"m thinking at 12 z tomorrow I'm looking at i-40 in NC and feeling jealous. It would be a pretty epic fail for medium range models handling the PV.... unraveling from an interior northeast storm with a foot for northern PA and upstate NY.... to a late season Carolina storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Just trying to help you dude im not playing anything. stop "helping"...people with 50"+ are never "helpful"...after 12/10, people who got 35" tried to be wise old sages as they sat on their thrones made of snow...tossing out platitude after platitude.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looking at the 500, it appears the vort at 45 hours is about 100 miles south at 0z from where it was at 51 hours at 18z. That seems like a pretty big jump south. and less proximity to the 500 mb vorticity maximum over northern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Leesburg made a post about how the faster the cold push comes the further south the precip goes. It's a double edge sword. My bar has been lower than many. I'm still happy with the run. Sleet begins around 3am or so and then snow shortly after. Hard to really get mad at anything yet. I am not very vocal about about things but I'm not very happy right now. Sure I live around Baltimore so I'm sure matt can understand why I'm upset as well. It would be a pretty epic fail for medium range models handling the PV.... unraveling from an interior northeast storm with a foot for northern PA and upstate NY.... to a late season Carolina storm. It has been a large shift as is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.