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The 3/3 30 degree temp change sleet/ice event for NC


mackerel_sky

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910 am - recent examination of observational & model guidance suggests a slightly slower arrival of cold air...delaying the chage over by an hour or two in most of central NC.

It still would be smart to plan to do most of your traveling before the cold air arrives and not wait for the precipitation to change over and join the masses heading home at the same time.

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None of the guidance gives central NC any significant precip with the UL. They all suggest that the mid levels will dry out this afternoon, effectively shutting off any significant precip. The band of precip slowly moving through NC is all there will be, I'm afraid.

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The upper low is still back in TN.  There should be more precipitation to develop this afternoon when this thing passes by.  Everyone, calm down a little.

 

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Yup. Radar is filling in ahead of that system in SW VA, TN, W NC. The R/S line is starting to make progress S/E aswell

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The upper low is still back in TN.  There should be more precipitation to develop this afternoon when this thing passes by.  Everyone, calm down a little.

 

 

None of the guidance gives central NC any significant precip with the UL. They all suggest that the mid levels will dry out this afternoon, effectively shutting off any significant precip. The band of precip slowly moving through NC is all there will be, I'm afraid.

 

 

Well, I guess we'll see which scenerio is right.

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ULL isnt going to get it done unless the mid levels dont dry out as Poimen said, could be some pretty heavy freezing drizzle associated with it but it looks like the snow growth zone is too dry. The trailing ULL almost never works out for us and this looks to be the case this time around as well......but there is still a chance that the models dry us out to fast etc so we shall see.

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