packfan98 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 NWS Raleigh: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...AS OF 215 PM THURSDAY......CONFIDENCE INCREASING IN WINTER STORM CONDITIONS FOR A GOODPORTION OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT... AND PERSON COUNTY (MAINLY ALONGAND NORTH OF I-85) TONIGHT INTO MID-DAY FRIDAY...PRELIMINARY WARNINGS INCLUDE... FORSYTH... DAVIDSON... GUILFORD...ALAMANCE... AND PERSON.PRELIMINARY ADVISORIES INCLUDE... RANDOLPH... CHATHAM... ORANGE...DURHAM... GRANVILLE... AND VANCE.THE PARENT HIGH PRESSURE (1038+ MB) WAS CENTERED OVER UPPER NYSTATE. THIS AFFECTS OF THIS HIGH EXTEND SOUTHWARD THROUGH THECAROLINAS INTO GEORGIA. IT IS OF SUFFICIENT STRENGTH AND OF ADEQUATELOCATION TO DELIVER CAA/DAA... AND IS MORE THAN COLD ENOUGH TODELIVER CAA/DAA INTO OUR PIEDMONT DAMMING REGION FOR A WINTERWEATHER EVENT. THIS IS OCCURRING AS THE MID/UPPER CLOSED LOW OVERTHE DEEP SOUTH APPROACH FROM THE SW... WHICH WILL INDUCE A MILLER-ATYPE LOW PRESSURE THAT IS FORECAST TO TRACK FROM THE NORTHERN GULFOF MEXICO THIS EVENING... NE ALONG THE SE US COAST TONIGHT ANDFRIDAY. TYPICALLY... MILLER-A STORMS CARRY A NARROW TRANSITIONZONE... FROM SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO LITTLE IMPACT CONCERNING WINTERWEATHER. THIS MAY END UP THE CASE AGAIN WITH THIS STORM.WHAT IS VERY INTERESTING ABOUT THIS STORM IS THAT THE STORM TYPE...TRACK... AND CLASSICAL DAMMING PATTERN (AT LEAST AT THE ONSET OF THESTORM) STRONGLY SUGGEST MORE SNOW THAN THE MODELS HAVE DEPICTED INTHE DAMMING REGION. TYPICALLY... THERE WOULD BE MORE SNOW EXPECTEDOVER THE NW PIEDMONT WITH A NARROW TRANSITION ZONE OF MIXED SNOW ANDRAIN... TO ALL RAIN IN THE EAST AND SOUTH. LED BY THE NAM... THEREHAS BEEN A PROMINENT WARM NOSE ALOFT DEPICTED ALL ALONG WITH THESTORM WHICH HAS PRECLUDED SNOW FROM ITS FORECAST.NOW THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEARING DOWN ON US... MODELS SEEM TO BECOMING AROUND TO DEPICT MORE SNOW/SLEET THAN BEFORE BETWEEN 00Z/06ZOR SO IN THE NW TONIGHT... THEN ICING BETWEEN 06Z-12Z. THIS SEEMSVERY REASONABLE AND IT MAY YET BE UNDERDONE WITH THE SNOW/SLEET(FROZEN SIDE) OF THE STORM.THIS CONTINUES TO BE A FORECAST BATTLE OF THE PLACEMENT OF THE WARMAND COLD NOSES. THE LATEST NAM CONTINUES STEADFAST IN THEDEVELOPMENT OF THE STRONGEST WARM NOSE ALOFT (+6 DEGREES/C) DRIVENBY 50-70KT FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC INTO EASTERN SC/NC IN THE LAYERBETWEEN H85 AND H75. THE LATEST OPERATIONAL EC AND GFS CONTINUE TOFORECAST THE MOST PROMINENT COLD NOSE CENTERED AT H9 FROMCHARLOTTESVILLE TO DANVILLE THROUGH THE TRIAD... BOTTOMING OUT AT -5DEGREES/C OVERNIGHT. THIS OCCURS AS A GOOD PART OF THE MAINPRECIPITATION FALLS. IT APPEARS THESE RATHER LARGE DIFFERENCES ARERELATED TO THE SPEED/TRACK OF THE INDIVIDUAL MODELS WITH THEAPPROACHING MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE 12Z NAM CONTINUES TO BE THESLOWEST WITH THE SYSTEM... WHILE THE 12Z GFS REMAINS THE QUICKEST.THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OR THE DEEP CONVECTIONTHAT WAS MOVING INTO FLORIDA FROM THE EASTERN GULF. GIVEN THAT THENAM AT 12Z CAME IN A BIT QUICKER WITH THE STORMS MOVEMENT... THE GFSAND THE QUICKER SOLUTIONS MAY BE THE WAY TO GO. THE WARMER NAM MAYBE RELATED TO THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE MID/UPPER CUT OFF LOW WHICHGIVES MORE TIME TO TAP WESTERN ATLANTIC AIR INTO THE SYSTEM ANDDRIVE THE WARM NOSE MUCH FARTHER INLAND. THUS THE NAM EXTREME WARMNOSE WAS NOT ACCEPTED FULLY. HOWEVER... A PROMINENT WARM NOSE ALOFTIS ANTICIPATED AS IS DEPICTED BY THE MAJORITY OF THE MODELS....FOR THE WARNING COUNTIES INCLUDING THE PIEDMONT TRIAD ANDROXBORO...PARTIALS IN THE 1000/850 AND 850/700 LAYERS ARE FORECAST BY THEEC/GFS TO BE IN THE 1295-1300M/1545-1550M RANGE BETWEEN 00Z/09Z OVERNW AND N PIEDMONT. THE UNIVERSAL NOMOGRAM DEPICTS THE PRECIPITATIONBEGINNING AS SNOW/SLEET IN THE TRIAD EARLY TO MID EVENING... THENSLOWLY CHANGING TO MIXED SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. THESURFACE WET BULB FORECASTS DROP THE TEMPERATURES TO 29-30OVERNIGHT... KEEPING THEM THERE THROUGH 12Z... THEN SLOWLY WARM TO33 OR SO BETWEEN 13Z-15Z. QPF ON THE ORDER OF 0.50 TO 0.75 DURINGTHIS CRITICAL TIME SHOULD TRANSLATE TO 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET THENPOTENTIALLY UP TO 0.25 OF FREEZING RAIN. THE MORE SNOW/SLEET AT THEONSET... OBVIOUSLY THE MORE HAZARDOUS ROADS WILL BECOME. THE MOREFREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT... THE MORE THAT WOULD WEIGH ONTREES/POWER LINES. REGARDLESS... TOGETHER THE P-TYPES OF WINTRYMIXTURE SHOULD EQUAL WINTER STORM CRITERIA WHEN COMBINED WITH TEMPSIN THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT IN THE WARNED COUNTIES. THE FREEZING RAINSHOULD BECOME A SELF LIMITING PROCESS AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY AS THECOMBINATION OF GOOD RAINFALL RATES... TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER TOMID 30S... AND INSOLATION THROUGH THE CLOUDS LIMIT FREEZING. ACOUPLE OF CONCERNS... LESS OF A WARM NOSE... WOULD MEAN MORE SNOWAND SLEET THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SENSIBLE WEATHER... SNOW AND SLEETDEVELOPING THIS EVENING... CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTERMIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION 1-3 INCHES. TOTAL ICEACCRUAL UP TO 0.25 OF AN INCH. TOTAL QPF 1.00. LOWS 28-30. FREEZINGRAIN TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING... ENDING IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THEMID 30S....IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDING ASHEBORO TO DURHAM TO OXFORD...A WINTRY MIXTURE ARRIVING DURING THE EVENING... BECOMING FREEZINGRAIN MIXED SLEET OVERNIGHT. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY PARTIALS IN THE1300 TO 1305/1550-1560 RANGE... AND SURFACE WET BULBS 31-32. THEFREEZING RAIN SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BEFORE DAYBREAK. TOTALSNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION LESS THAN 0.5. TOTAL ICE ACCRUAL UP TO 0.1.LOWS 30-32... WHICH SHOULD MEAN MINIMAL IMPACTS ON AREA ROADS UNLESSMORE SNOW/SLEET FALL AT THE ONSET DURING THE OVERNIGHT.FRIDAY... RAIN... HEAVY AT TIMES. TEMPS RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S....AREAS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...RAIN DEVELOPING THIS EVENING... POSSIBLY BEGINNING AS SLEET. LOWS 33-35... SLOWLY RISING OVERNIGHT TO NEAR 40 OR 45 SE. RAIN FRIDAY...HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS IN THE 40S/LOWER 50S SE.FINALS COMING UP IN AN HOUR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 39/16 gives me roughly a WB of 32. not expecting too much here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 39/16 gives me roughly a WB of 32. not expecting too much here I am really trying to understand why warnings and expanded advisories are being issued.... Anyone have any idea as to why?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Winter Storm Warning for NC High Country Snow: 2 to 5 inches WWUS42 KGSP 061938 WSWGSP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 238 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST THIS EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE EVENING. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST TONIGHT...COOLER AIR WILL SURGE DOWN FROM HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND. THE COOLER AIR WILL ALLOW THE PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX ACROSS MUCH OF THE MOUNTAINS...PIEDMONT...AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE ENDING. NCZ033-049-050-053-064-065-501>507-509-070400- /O.UPG.KGSP.WW.Y.0014.140306T2300Z-140307T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0006.140307T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- POLK MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...ASHEVILLE... BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE 238 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. * LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN BLUE RIDGE ESCARPMENT...AND THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT...THEN POSSIBLE LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION FRIDAY MORNING. * TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA DURING EARLY TO MID EVENING. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE MAINLY TO SLEET DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...POSSIBLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL RAIN BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES... ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE. * IMPACTS...SLIPPERY ROADS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SNOW... SLEET... AND ICE. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. PLEASE REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AS WELL AS ANY DAMAGE TO TREES OR STRUCTURES...BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE WITH YOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED. YOU CAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I-40 corridor now in a warning, WWA down to the state line along 85. NCZ035>037-056-057-070400-/O.UPG.KGSP.WW.Y.0014.140306T2300Z-140307T1700Z//O.NEW.KGSP.WS.W.0006.140307T0000Z-140307T1700Z/ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY238 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOONEST FRIDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUEDA WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS INEFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. THIS REPLACESTHE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.* LOCATIONS...THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.* HAZARDS...HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* TIMING...A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET WILL CHANGE OVER MAINLY TOSLEET THIS EVENING...AND THEN FREEZING RAIN DURING THE EARLYMORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO ALLRAIN SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY.* ACCUMULATIONS...SLEET ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 INCH...ALONG WITHAROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE.* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SLEET ANDFREEZING RAIN. SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES DUE TO HEAVY ICEACCUMULATIONS.* TEMPERATURES...LOWS TONIGHT AROUND 30.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSOPOSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.PLEASE REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AS WELL AS ANY DAMAGETO TREES OR STRUCTURES...BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICETOLL FREE AT...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1. LEAVE A MESSAGE WITHYOUR OBSERVATION AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED. YOUCAN ALSO POST YOUR REPORT TO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLESPARTANBURG FACEBOOK OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP.STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OFWEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILSCAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.&&$NCZ068>072-SCZ003-070400-/O.EXB.KGSP.WW.Y.0014.140307T0000Z-140307T1700Z/CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SHELBY...LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD238 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TONOON EST FRIDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUEDA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH ISIN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY.* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...ANDPORTIONS OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS.* HAZARDS...LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.* TIMING...RAIN AND SLEET MAY BRIEFLY TO CHANGE TO ALL SLEET THISEVENING...THEN TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE BACK TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING.* ACCUMULATIONS...A TENTH TO A QUARTER INCH OF SLEET AND ICE.* IMPACTS...SLIPPERY ROADS DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF SLEET ANDICE. A FEW POWER OUTAGES WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING DUE TOTREE LIMBS FALLING ONTO POWER LINES.* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...ORFREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FORSLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILEDRIVING.STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OFWEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILSCAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 NWS Raleigh: ...FOR THE WARNING COUNTIES INCLUDING THE PIEDMONT TRIAD AND ROXBORO... PARTIALS IN THE 1000/850 AND 850/700 LAYERS ARE FORECAST BY THE EC/GFS TO BE IN THE 1295-1300M/1545-1550M RANGE BETWEEN 00Z/09Z OVER NW AND N PIEDMONT. THE UNIVERSAL NOMOGRAM DEPICTS THE PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS SNOW/SLEET IN THE TRIAD EARLY TO MID EVENING... THEN SLOWLY CHANGING TO MIXED SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. THE SURFACE WET BULB FORECASTS DROP THE TEMPERATURES TO 29-30 OVERNIGHT... KEEPING THEM THERE THROUGH 12Z... THEN SLOWLY WARM TO 33 OR SO BETWEEN 13Z-15Z. QPF ON THE ORDER OF 0.50 TO 0.75 DURING THIS CRITICAL TIME SHOULD TRANSLATE TO 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET THEN POTENTIALLY UP TO 0.25 OF FREEZING RAIN. THE MORE SNOW/SLEET AT THE ONSET... OBVIOUSLY THE MORE HAZARDOUS ROADS WILL BECOME. THE MORE FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT... THE MORE THAT WOULD WEIGH ON TREES/POWER LINES. REGARDLESS... TOGETHER THE P-TYPES OF WINTRY MIXTURE SHOULD EQUAL WINTER STORM CRITERIA WHEN COMBINED WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 20S OVERNIGHT IN THE WARNED COUNTIES. THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BECOME A SELF LIMITING PROCESS AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY AS THE COMBINATION OF GOOD RAINFALL RATES... TEMPS RISING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S... AND INSOLATION THROUGH THE CLOUDS LIMIT FREEZING. A COUPLE OF CONCERNS... LESS OF A WARM NOSE... WOULD MEAN MORE SNOW AND SLEET THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. SENSIBLE WEATHER... SNOW AND SLEET DEVELOPING THIS EVENING... CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION 1-3 INCHES. TOTAL ICE ACCRUAL UP TO 0.25 OF AN INCH. TOTAL QPF 1.00. LOWS 28-30. FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN FRIDAY MORNING... ENDING IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. ...IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDING ASHEBORO TO DURHAM TO OXFORD... A WINTRY MIXTURE ARRIVING DURING THE EVENING... BECOMING FREEZING RAIN MIXED SLEET OVERNIGHT. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY PARTIALS IN THE 1300 TO 1305/1550-1560 RANGE... AND SURFACE WET BULBS 31-32. THE FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BEFORE DAYBREAK. TOTAL SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATION LESS THAN 0.5. TOTAL ICE ACCRUAL UP TO 0.1. LOWS 30-32... WHICH SHOULD MEAN MINIMAL IMPACTS ON AREA ROADS UNLESS MORE SNOW/SLEET FALL AT THE ONSET DURING THE OVERNIGHT. FRIDAY... RAIN... HEAVY AT TIMES. TEMPS RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S. FINALS COMING UP IN AN HOUR. It looks as if Raleigh is planning on putting my den, dining room and garage under a winter storm warning. My living room and bedrooms will be under a winter weather advisory. One of the joys of living on a county line. Another is paying real estate taxes to two counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I am really trying to understand why warnings and expanded advisories are being issued.... Anyone have any idea as to why?? I think GSP gave you all the answers you need. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 NAM finally caved to the snow in WNC at the onset. Snow to wintry mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 How does the NAM look? Has it sped up or cooled off the warm nose like the other models. I would love to see it come in line with the other modeling. I really hope that sleet can save my power from going out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Well my wetbulb is above freezing now. Charlotte, NC is out of the game. Cant wait for the warm temps....i guess :/ My wetbulb is 32.4 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE PIEDMONTTONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING....ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND SOUTHWARD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTOTHE CAROLINAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A WINTRY MIX OFPRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT EARLYTONIGHT AS A STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEASTFROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST.PERSON-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM...LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE251 PM EST THU MAR 6 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOONEST FRIDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORMWARNING FOR A WINTRY MIXTURE OF PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS INEFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY. THE WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THETRIAD.* HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO POSSIBLY 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET...FOLLOWED BY UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SNOW AND SLEET BETWEEN7PM AND 9 PM THIS EVENING...TRANSITION TO SLEET AND FREEZINGRAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOME ALL RAIN BEFORE PRECIPITATIONENDS LATE FRIDAY MORNING OR FRIDAY AFTERNOON.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ICEDAMAGE TO TREES AND POTENTIALLY SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES TONIGHTAND FRIDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL ICING SHOULDGRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING FRIDAY AS THE PRECIPITATION WILLLIKELY TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY LATE MORNING.* WINDS...NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT... SLOWLYRISING INTO THE MID 30S FRIDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 18z has precip further north. Southern and SW VA get in on the action now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Hour 18. ROA: GSO: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I am really trying to understand why warnings and expanded advisories are being issued.... Anyone have any idea as to why?? Seriously???... Have you been hiding under a rock? Read more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Well there's this on the RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 My wetbulb is 32.4 currently. This sucks. I kinda hoped this system would work out. Well see, maybe it does... Seriously???... Have you been hiding under a rock? Read more. Calm down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 18z has precip further north. Southern and SW VA get in on the action now. Hour 27 raining cats and dogs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 mp184qcr, on 06 Mar 2014 - 2:59 PM, said:This sucks. I kinda hoped this system would work out. Well see, maybe it does... The storm hasn't even started yet. At least wait until it's happening to call bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 The storm hasn't even started yet. At least wait until it's happening to call bust. Calling a storm a bust before it even begins...that's a special kind of annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 The storm hasn't even started yet. At least wait until it's happening to call bust. Calling a storm a bust before it even begins...that's a special kind of annoying. "Well see, maybe it does..." I appreciate your criticism, but dont take my posts out of context. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I think the dry air might win in N GA. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I think the dry air might win in N GA. We shall see. It's raining pretty hard at my place. 35/31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Buddy1987, on 06 Mar 2014 - 3:00 PM, said:Hour 27 raining cats and dogs? It's close, but yeah it appears to be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I should clarify that, I think Northeast Georgia looks to see you the best chance of rain and precipitation going forward. No doubt there's going to be precipitation/rain near metro Atlanta and westward for now. I just think the heaviest us to be over Northeast Georgia going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I think the dry air might win in N GA. We shall see. It's just starting to precipitate here. A little sleet but mostly rain. Still stout east winds with a wet bulb of 34. Hoping we can hang onto the dry air feed long enough to drop our wet bulbs 3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 The 18Z NAM is colder again in ATL-AHN (925's now below 0C again) while ~0.75"-1" of qpf falls. If that verifies, it may get quite interesting as we go through the afternoon and evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 The 18Z NAM is colder again in ATL-AHN (925's now below 0C again) while ~0.75"-1" of qpf falls. If that verifies, it may get quite interesting as we go through the afternoon and evening. Wetbulbs lowering also...Must be what the NWS is seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 The 18Z NAM is colder again in ATL-AHN (925's now below 0C again) while ~0.75"-1" of qpf falls. If that verifies, it may get quite interesting as we go through the afternoon and evening. Hi Larry, do you mind letting us know the temperature profile on the NAM for the regions under the Winter Storm Warning in NC? The nam has been warmer aloft in the past runs. The guys at the NWS have been discounting it a bit because the warm nose is not as pronounced on the other models. Pretty important detail when it comes to power outages and ice accruals. I'm hoping we can get more sleet instead of freezing rain. If you don't have the time, I understand. Thank you for your efforts! We all appreciate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDa-wx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Wetbulbs lowering also...Must be what the NWS is seeing. but...charlotte was game over? everyone knows wet bulbs have never come down before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Don't forget that since this is a true CAD event for a while tonight, wet bulbs can continue to drop even after precipitation onset due to the fresh supply of cold and dry air. Eventually that process shuts down, but it could play a role for a while tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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