jums300 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The lull on the Accuweather Forum thread for this storm is depressing. I'm glad that our area is in the green(ish?) for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This was posted on the NYC Forum this evening and I thought it would be appropriate here.......... "Guaranteed to happen between now and the 00z suite 1. Weenie suicides 2. Crazy international models will be used to show this is still coming north (cue the Korean) 3. "Initialization errors" will be found in the 18z gfs so we can discount it 4. The once consistent GFS is now erratic, therefore we toss 5. Some sort of epic argument in THIS thread about how even though its further south, the ratios with the colder atmosphere will make up for lack of QPF 6. A drastic slowing of the board right around the time the 00z NAM is due so everyone can pray for the NAMBomb And finally last but not least 7. Our daily sun angle battle" Lol at 7. Our temps could be -10 and people would be screaming about sun angle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Wow I didn't realize the forecast had shifted to 2" of accreting ice. Grocery stores will be mobbed this weekend. 2 inches is pretty conservative. Most agree 3-4 is a more likely scenario but we don't want to incite panic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Heh..SREF's precip not so north anymore, not that it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREFs just went way south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 He's 14. Explains a lot. Oh ok, sorry didn't know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREFs just went way south! Welcome to 2 mins ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Welcome to 2 mins ago. lol I posted without refreshing, they are a big hit for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREFs just went way south! Are we panicking yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 lol I posted without refreshing, they are a big hit for us! They got much colder too even though they are still warmer than all other guidance so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 lol I posted without refreshing, they are a big hit for us! What are we talking about with the SREFS for BWI and DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What's the link for the SREF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What's the link for the SREF? Click on the 21UTC run which is the latest run that just came out: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=SREF&area=NAMER&ps=area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What's the link for the SREF? https://www.google.com/#q=sref+weather+maps&spell=1 There is this search engine called Google. It works pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREF is really keeping us warm. SREF plumes are showing 40F surface temps for daybreak Monday, while GFS, Euro, and NAM are showing mid-20's for the same time. I'm going to discount the SREF temperature profile about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 lol I posted without refreshing, they are a big hit for us! no they're not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 SREF is really keeping us warm. SREF plumes are showing 40F surface temps for daybreak Monday, while GFS, Euro, and NAM are showing mid-20's for the same time. I'm going to discount the SREF temperature profile about now. It's DC. I wouldn't be surprised if the SREF's verify on temps. Okay, but seriously, we should all consider the arrival of the cold air overdone by 3-5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Guys, can we stop caring about NYC forum meltdowns or NYC this and NYC that? If you want to talk about NYC, go there. This is the Mid-Atlantic forum. I don't think many of us care if NYC is in meltdown... kthx Anyway, nice SREFs movement south. Hopefully prepares us for a good NAMming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's DC. I wouldn't be surprised if the SREF's verify on temps. Okay, but seriously, we should all consider the arrival of the cold air overdone by 3-5 hours. Post less. And by less I mean never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's DC. I wouldn't be surprised if the SREF's verify on temps. Okay, but seriously, we should all consider the arrival of the cold air overdone by 3-5 hours. CAD is the one thing in winter which DC does well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 CAD is the one thing in winter which DC does well. I think they teach that in 9th grade. He should be all set with CAD next school year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Guys, can we stop caring about NYC forum meltdowns or NYC this and NYC that? If you want to talk about NYC, go there. This is the Mid-Atlantic forum. I don't think many of us care if NYC is in meltdown... kthx Anyway, nice SREFs movement south. Hopefully prepares us for a good NAMming Temps are scorching so let's hope that doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Winds streaming out of the north will funnel that Canadian cold air mass. We're not talking about low 30s coming out of PA for this. ETA: For those worried about temps on the SREFs, its been way on its own from the start with temps. It got way colder versus earlier runs, but still out on its own. I only look to the SREFs for QPF and SLP trends and I was happy to see the SREFs went south and got wetter. That's all I cared about really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Temps are scorching so let's hope that doesn't verify. It's a correction..doesn't really matter...they are useless...We have the GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS.....why would anyone care about the SREFS verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I think they teach that in 9th grade. He should be all set with CAD next school year I knew revealing my age was a mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's a correction..doesn't really matter...they are useless...We have the GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS.....why would anyone care about the SREFS verbatim especially at this range. NAM is also general crap. The only reason people look at it is because it comes early. I am firmly in the camp of the only models worth looking at are GFS/Euro. (Plus EPS and GEFS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's a correction..doesn't really matter...they are useless...We have the GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS.....why would anyone care about the SREFS verbatim I'm not sure why people are debating the specifics of SREFS...I use it for trends..that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's a correction..doesn't really matter...they are useless...We have the GFS/GEFS/Euro/EPS.....why would anyone care about the SREFS verbatim Don't care. Love the fact they dropped south. NAM is coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I knew revealing my age was a mistake. I don't think it was a big reveal. Nobody thought you were a 43 year old father of 2 working on alzheimer's research at NIH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I knew revealing my age was a mistake. Already assumed it was young before you revealed it. Ice storms are terrible for homeowners and people with jobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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