stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 4am, looks like non snow frozen is getting close to flipping. Sfc fzg line well south of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM took away its stupid low it had over WV/N VA that was causing the inland run at 6z, this may end up being a BIG hit for you guys. Sounds like it's finally given up that stronger first low idea. I'm ready to be NAM'd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM back on the right track with the globals, INCOMING DC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 massively south vs. 6z boyz up north ain't gunna like it...at least those who placed any faith in the 6z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Thanks Storm Tracker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM looks to be close to the Euro. Holding back that second bath of overrunning till a little later. Great for most of VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 12z NAM 850 0 line south of DC at hr 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Sim radar at 51 is a beaut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Wow Dc you guys get crushed with this run. Not a whole lot north of PA MD line I guess the south trend has started on the nam. Curious to see other suites this aft if they switch back north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 51 hours looks pretty good. NAM is now in line with everything else generally speaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6" in 3 hrs from 15 to 18z. NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Destruction. At 14:25z today I flipped from hating to hugging the nam. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 54 hours, still getting hit...small area of blue just south of DC. Edit: NAM'D! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ha... 48 panel the SW is southwest of 54 panel on the 6z by 450 miles or so and stronger... unless I am reading it wrong... huge shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Wow Dc you guys get crushed with this run. Not a whole lot north of PA MD line I guess the south trend has started on the nam. Curious to see other suites this aft if they switch back north. South trend isnt fair, the 6z NAM was just a total model run error with misplacing lows, this is more in line with the globals. Its probably a tad farther south than the storm will end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6-10 is probably a good call for DC right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Far out for NAM but as of 4pm Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Use your five posts per day for the next 3 days wisely you may have been a little premature, Randy....I note your winds are from the southwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It doesn't end up way above the other guidance, it is just an intense hit when it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Good run. How much ice before snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Good run. How much ice before snow? Hard to say. Maybe .1-.2 just nw of 95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM back in line with the globals. I'm loving the storm for you guys.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Say what? I was kidding dude! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Thanks Bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Is there any way we get NO freezing rain before the snow? I hope we can just go to sleet or snow. Looks like most models are lining up pretty good on the precip stripe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This heavy load before daybreak would obliterate the AM commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 And we now have agreement with all of the models. We are going to get hit hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hard to say. Maybe .1-.2 just nw of 95? Has to be more than that. 6hr panel at 12z is over 0.4" and that should be all sleet/zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 So now we have full model consensus at 60 hour leads and the discussion turns towards how much of what. Best guess is up to .25 of ice tops with the nw crew getting the most of course. Maybe .2 of sleet? And looking like 4-8 of snow is locking in with some upside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 taken from NY forum but just wow... I would love this solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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