Ian Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I'm a little concerned about the torch on Sunday at least as the NAM depicts it. We have seen this time and time again, where it takes longer for the cold air to arrive than anticipated. Of course it will flip to frozen eventually with a solid arctic air mass pushing in, but still...(sorry if I am beating the "it's going to be to warm" horse)Prepare for a pummeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 DCA 32-34 06z MON (1am MON)... prob some light rain around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Already assumed it was young before you revealed it. Ice storms are terrible for homeowners and people with jobs. Well, snow. did post recently about wanting a crippling storm, but I believe he lives in a multi-unit setting, so he has less to worry about as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-video/snowstorm-coming-plains-northeast-and-mid-atlantic/2430839568001 It seems as if Bernie Rayno is in shock. Poor guy...I never feel guilty when someone paints the snow jackpot over my backyard, but this was a little different. Geez. That guy needs some sleep. I thought his head was gonna explode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 sfc freezing line knocking right on the door at 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 looking like we might get NAM'd temps dropping fast with moisture incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Freezing rain at 57... DCA around 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Colder than 18z at the surface at 4am..frozen by then, but not snow...good stuff looks to be incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Well, snow. did post recently about wanting a crippling storm, but I believe he lives in a multi-unit setting, so he has less to worry about as well.I hate losing power. But it's been a long time without a decent ice storm for metro. I know areas north got like .2-.3 inches of ice earlier this year. i wouldn't mind some good ice accretion before some snow. Everything will be solid Monday night anyways if lows are as low as they are being depicted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 And there we go...60 hours..snow..hopefully a lot more to come EDIT: small warm layer in there, so sleet>snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 mid 20s DCA at 7am (12z) MON... sleet with snow coming shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 No shortage of precip hours 54-60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM at 60....prepare to be NAMed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 And there we go...60 hours..snow..hopefully a lot more to come there is probably a warm nose...looks like another 2-3" NAM run...but who cares anyway...it's the NAM...entertainment purposes at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Freezing rain at 57... DCA around 30 We look to flip to all snow around 12-13z. 800 looks to be right at/near 0 at 12z. Everything else below 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Getting NAM'd at hour 63. My God look at that. Looks plenty cold for snow for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Could be off a bit, but looks like the NAM would give DC a 4-6 hr period of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 hmmm...juicier than I thought...nice run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 there is probably a warm nose...looks like another 2-3" NAM run...but who cares anyway...it's the NAM...entertainment purposes at this rangeI'm seeing a little bit more then 2-3. But I trust you more then I trust myself...EDIT: nvrmind you updated yourself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 there is probably a warm nose...looks like another 2-3" NAM run...but who cares anyway...it's the NAM...entertainment purposes at this range There is but its small... its at 775-800... +1.5 at both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 there is probably a warm nose...looks like another 2-3" NAM run...but who cares anyway...it's the NAM...entertainment purposes at this range Yeah, I edited before you posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM is snow by 12Z way far west. 14Z at DCA. Its a great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 There is but its small... its at 775-800... +1.5 at both Where do you get text soundings from so quickly? I'm usually eyeballing/piecing together the various maps for the thermal profiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 At 66 its pulling out. 12 hr precip totals at 66 are at about an inch. Would def be a decent amount of ice. Maybe 3-6" snow area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 wasnt GGEM first model to introduce the snow from the 2nd wave idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's another run putting us in the precip maxima crosshairs. Between .9 - 1.1 for the majority of us. Great run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 eh...not bad 4-5" for me on top of some crust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 zwyts, SREFs weren't a big hit, I shouldn't have said that, but they kind of resembled the 18z NAM...Nice 00z run...Still think NAM is too warm with the initial front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's another run putting us in the precip maxima crosshairs. Between .9 - 1.1 for the majority of us. Great run is half of that sleet/FRZA? that would be insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM drops ~.45" after 12z. So probably 4"-5" of snow on the NAM since we aren't all snow at 12z. A really nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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