MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Gfs is still a 6+ snowfall for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 sv snow maps are 6-8 for the city and 12+ for snj and dca Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I expect this to be a bit north in the end of where it currently shows but the best snows will likely be south of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This is a southern jersey, DC storm. NOT central on north . you to , will be shafted. You do realize how close this is for the NYC area, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 .5 to nyc .75 to ttn this def cut back a bit from 06z over 1.00 for dca Is it .5 barely to south shores of LI and Staten Island or is NYC comfortably in .5 zone? and does it apear we have any chance to recoup losses via ratios? Clearly this is a Phl- DCA special, congrats to DC they deserve it and obviously this is a Philly winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Gfs is still a 6+ snowfall for the area Maybe for your backyard, not all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coltsfan1217 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ultimately, the jackpot of this storm is likely going to be from DC to northern Maryland, to SNJ, and philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Alos lets be grateful, we could easily be BOS who will likely see 3 flakes from this storm not anything near a warning snow which we are, at this juncture, on the way to getting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Maybe for your backyard, not all. The NYC area meaning the 5 boroughs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Its not close at all. You and many others must accept that this is a southern storm. Yes it would have been nice but this is not going to be anything up this way really. Just a day you should STAY AWAY from the radar. Its going to really frustrate you. 4-8 inches will frustrate me? What are you talking about? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Good call today is 2-4" area wide and 3-6" for CNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Is it .5 barely to south shores of LI and Staten Island or is NYC comfortably in .5 zone? and does it apear we have any chance to recoup losses via ratios? Clearly this is a Phl- DCA special, congrats to DC they deserve it and obviously this is a Philly winter! its brushes the south shore and touches nyc……. i think most of our accumulation (nyc) comes sunday night…and most of monday is spent dry and cold…. its a two wave idea and 2nd wave is further south ratio i would go 10-1…..hopefully they are better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Definitive statements with no meteorological reasoning need to go in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Maps show 3-4" for NYC/NNJ ad 6"+ Trenton south....10-12" DC, close to 10" PHL/SNJ Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The NYC area meaning the 5 boroughsYou can't make statements like that. This area is hundreds of square miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Nyc is .43 on the gfs all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 That PV means business and has a lot to do with us not seeing a steady north trend…. This is a very rare set-up for this time of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Alos lets be grateful, we could easily be BOS who will likely see 3 flakes from this storm not anything near a warning snow which we are, at this juncture, on the way to getting.Anyone into the LHV is in the same boat as Boston. Based on GFS QPF 2-4" is a great call for most with 3-6" for southern zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 CNJ mean is .8. Ukie .85. Euro .75. GFS .85. Rgem 15 mm All are colder than the nam. So Monmouth County down through Trenton the its 7 to 9 and I will base that off 10 to 1. The euro is much colder than that. There should b some 10 inch amounts once to 195 and west. Nyc is prob 6. Enjoy. North of 80. It's 2 to 4 type you could prob clear with a broom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 GFS has 12+ for SNJ and Philly. Not far away for NYC. This can still bump north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Nyc is .43 on the gfs all snow So if Upton hugs GFS - which has been super with this storm - NYC wont get a WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coltsfan1217 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It is funny because we were begging the PV to be strong enough to hold the cold air and produce a major storm. Now that it is too strong, and pushing the precip south, New Yorkers are upset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 If the Euro goes further south today the GFS is likely still too far north with the cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Still not a lock yet. s/w keeps getting better looking on the past model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 So if Upton hugs GFS - which has been super with this storm - NYC wont get a WSWNo model currently supports more than a high end advisory event in this area. Down south where criteria is less warnings will likely be hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 GFS has 12+ for SNJ and Philly. Not far away for NYC. This can still bump north. Sure it could, but that PV is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 CNJ mean is .8. Ukie .85. Euro .75. GFS .85. Rgem 15 mm All are colder than the nam. So Monmouth County down through Trenton the its 7 to 9 and I will base that off 10 to 1. The euro is much colder than that. There should b some 10 inch amounts once to 195 and west. Nyc is prob 6. Enjoy. North of 80. It's 2 to 4 type you could prob clear with a broom. According to wb total precip. The 1" line is into southern Monmouth and as stated before nyc is .43....what a cut off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Still not a lock yet. s/w keeps getting better looking on the past model runs.A few days ago the two streams were interacting more favorable. Since 12z yesterday that has ceased. This will be a narrow band of heavy snow with not much north of wherever it sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 So if Upton hugs GFS - which has been super with this storm - NYC wont get a WSW Yes NYC will. Still not a lock yet. s/w keeps getting better looking on the past model runs. I don't know if anyone realizes this. It keeps on trending stronger over the last several runs.We are still a day out so we can still expect more shifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Sure it could, but that PV is impressive. The PV is the ingredient we have to watch over the next 24 hours or so. Delicate setup here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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