IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I believe NYC was .4 at 00z This looks to be .6-.7 now on 06z Actually it's .7 - .8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Livin on the edge here in NW NJ after falling off a cliff. Model mayhem. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 06Z RGEM total snow through 12Z Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Nice and about time the models caught on to the mega energy about to traverse the us! Still liking my NYC/li 8" and Phl jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I can see this becoming a 12-18 inch snow for NYC area easily on the 00Z 3/2 model suite. I think QPF will show 1.00-1.25" for the New York City area in a few runs. It will likely trend north in my opinion and get wetter.Appreciate you're optimism and there is an outside chance you are right if someone gets under the best banding. Imo it's Philly but that's only 50 miles south of a big hit here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 As of now it shows about 5" for NYC and about 12" for PHL Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 8-10 for NYC and Long Island 12+ snj And this is why last night was way too early to abandon ship - and why it's still a little too early to rejoice - but at least it's way better than a continuation of the south trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 As of now it shows about 5" for NYC and about 12" for PHL Sent from my iPhone What I can see is more around 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 i think its gonna be game on for you folk....shatter away!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Panic was pretty unwarranted last night lets see if this 6z suite starts a trend in the other direction now folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Gfs will likely tick north again at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Gfs will likely tick north again at 12z. Even a 50 mile jog north make a huge difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Yea now where is the dumny who said it was all over already. Like give me a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 24hr 200mb changes http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8∏=dlm6&zoom=&time= match it up with the current WV we will get a nice hit---- a nice hit -imho- http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=ir&inv=0&t=l12®ion=he Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6 z nam looks great. We are in the NAMs range. Expect most other models to follow the NAMs lead from this point forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Yea now where is the dumny who said it was all over already. Like give me a break.Relax, models could go right back south at 12z.Crazy weenie ism in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Relax, models could go right back south at 12z. We have to see what 12z does to indeed conclusively say that a north trend has started. Doorman did post something that is certainly encouraging to say the least that should help a north trend. Until there will still be silence and/or bickering until the 12z model suite starts im afraid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 24hr 200mb changes http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8∏=dlm6&zoom=&time= 200mb.gif match it up with the current WV we will get a nice hit---- a nice hit -imho- http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=ir&inv=0&t=l12®ion=he sat_ir_hem_loop-12 (1).gif Keep posting DM. Great stuff my friend. Good to have you back more these days following our days of 'quarreling' elsewhere.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowblind Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 We have to see what 12z does to indeed conclusively say that a north trend has started. Doorman did post something that is certainly encouraging to say the least that should help a north trend. Until there will still be silence and/or bickering until the 12z model suite starts im afraid When does the 12z start rolling... Sry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 How were the 6z ensembles in relation to the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 When does the 12z start rolling... Sry. 10:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 BIG hit on the GFS, thats what I'm talking about What are you talking about, nothing huge here or for nyc. Are you trolling as you are from Philly. Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What are you talking about, nothing huge here or for nyc. Are you trolling as you are from Philly. Best .75 on the nose at LGA with a very cold column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/spag_ussm_animation.html http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/t850std1_ussm_animation.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 it is no great mystery WHY the NAM and the GFS are coming north - more accurate data being fed into the equations because the storm is in range of the west coast sampling - still VERY complex situation now with a few players having to move together down the field at the right speed and direction - somehow 6 - 10 inches seems just about the right totals IMO to be forecasting in the NYC Metro - and then adjust today and tomorrow from there - what does everyone else think ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grandpaboy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 24hr 200mb changes http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8∏=dlm6&zoom=&time= 200mb.gif match it up with the current WV we will get a nice hit---- a nice hit -imho- http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_vis.php?image=ir&inv=0&t=l12®ion=he sat_ir_hem_loop-12 (1).gif DM........ Good to see ya brother....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 it is no great mystery WHY the NAM and the GFS are coming north - more accurate data being fed into the equations because the storm is in range of the west coast sampling - still VERY complex situation now with a few players having to move together down the field at the right speed and direction - somehow 6 - 10 inches seems just about the right totals IMO to be forecasting in the NYC Metro - and then adjust today and tomorrow from there - what does everyone else think ? Agree fully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 DM........ Good to see ya brother....... good to see both of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 it is no great mystery WHY the NAM and the GFS are coming north - more accurate data being fed into the equations because the storm is in range of the west coast sampling - still VERY complex situation now with a few players having to move together down the field at the right speed and direction - somehow 6 - 10 inches seems just about the right totals IMO to be forecasting in the NYC Metro - and then adjust today and tomorrow from there - what does everyone else think ?I honestly can't tell ya what to think. JMA/NAM look almost identical. GFS bumped North. EURO went south. Big 12z model suite coming up. SREFS will be interesting. They are still somewhat north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 it is no great mystery WHY the NAM and the GFS are coming north - more accurate data being fed into the equations because the storm is in range of the west coast sampling - still VERY complex situation now with a few players having to move together down the field at the right speed and direction - somehow 6 - 10 inches seems just about the right totals IMO to be forecasting in the NYC Metro - and then adjust today and tomorrow from there - what does everyone else think ?I thought I read somewhere thay there was plenty of sampling offshore from the buoys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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