PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 south Thru 72 .5 KNYC. ,7 thru Monmouth county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ok, I'm reading two different liquid amounts here...which one is it? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 sorry correction .50" total ABE to Staten Island .25" Hunterdon to Bergen County Still over and done by 72 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hot mess understatement….72 hrs all but over for northern and central NJ .25" QP tops CNJ .7 into Monmouth. .8 into Howell. .9 into brick. .5 nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ok, I'm reading two different liquid amounts here...which one is it? Lol The one I posted is accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 this is a fun game.... guess which guy is posting the correct amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 overnight update OPC 48hr surface map http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/A_48hrbw.gif "thank you for your time...this time...till next time " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Other people were posting totals from different hrs. PB posted for his area and was right on the money. I posted for the whole area. I'm reading it verbatim off the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The one I posted is accurate Thanks. Middlesex county looks to do good on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z ECM has come way south ..Heaviest snows are in SE PA & central and southern Jersey! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 WxBell snow map storm total 10:1 ratio 6" razor sharp line just south of PIT to just north TTN to touching SI and LI south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 My feeling is that as time goes on Sunday will become snowier and perhaps by some miracle the models are over playing the PV and this could still trend pretty far back in the right direction. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 CNJ .7 into Monmouth. .8 into Howell. .9 into brick. .5 nyc. ok so if we go 12-1 we are looking at 6 inches. Fine . QPF output has been truncated in half throughout day. trends are clear, tomorrow another day. if things stay as is NWS Upton should have W.S.W in place in 3 hours and warning by Sun am. we still have another36 hours of models. sleep well & good luck 2 us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 12z at nyc was . 7 At 0z its .5. 12z in Monmouth it was .9 at 0z its .7. .8 is into asbury Ukie gefs euro all .5 nyc For Monmouth ukie .85. Gefs .75. Euro .7. Yes north of 80 its a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 My feeling is that as time goes on Sunday will become snowier and perhaps by some miracle the models are over playing the PV and this could still trend pretty far back in the right direction. Time will tell.The euro verbatim shows us right on the line. I still would like to wait and see for the data to come in from the s/W hitting the continental US (I believ it's just shy for the 00z runs) and see how models handle this then. Wait and see.Edit: not saying things will change, just saying this is not set in stone yet. 2/6/10 we were very close and this could wind up very similar, yet remember in this set up, just a 20-30 mile shift changes everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 ok so if we go 12-1 we are looking at 6 inches. Fine . QPF output has been truncated in half throughout day. trends are clear, tomorrow another day. if things stay as is NWS Upton should have W.S.W in place in 3 hours and warning by Sun am. we still have another36 hours of models. sleep well & good luck 2 us Yes gone are the 10 to 15 amounts. The city is prob looking at 6. And CNJ prob 8 to 9 It happens. Lets hope we get a slight tick tomorrow , and that's the end of the southern trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Feb 6 2010 dirty little evil twin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NYC only needs 6 inches to move into the number 2 spot for all time snowiest winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NYC only needs 6 inches to move into the number 2 spot for all time snowiest winters. The park can hit that with ratios, if 12 - 13:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro day 7 brings 1.5 inches of liquid up. 850s thru nyc plus 1 with the surface 32 to 34. 2.7 into Monmouth county. Cold rain city south and east. But razor thin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro looks a lot like a cold front passage. In fact, PHL starts as rain. Still does better than NYC. Pressures never below 1015 mb, but it too looks like a frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 well hoping tomorrow bring some improvements this storm seems like it's losing its luster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 ok so if we go 12-1 we are looking at 6 inches. Fine . QPF output has been truncated in half throughout day. trends are clear, tomorrow another day. if things stay as is NWS Upton should have W.S.W in place in 3 hours and warning by Sun am. we still have another36 hours of models. sleep well & good luck 2 us Think Upton might just go with a advisory atleast for NYC I say they go with 3-6 or something like that maybe they go with a watch in the am but by Sunday it's probably a advisory unless we see a shift back north witch im really hoping for.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro is still a 4-8 inch snowfall for NYC. I will take that in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I still cant understand what is happening here. Every met has been saying they expect this not to be another feb 2010 storm..and to move north..but models keep pushing it south. Hopefully things change tomorrow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I still cant understand what is happening here. Every met has been saying they expect this not to be another feb 2010 storm..and to move north..but models keep pushing it south. Hopefully things change tomorrow.. The Euro is the only model that went south at 0z I believe and it's been playing catch up the whole event. Upton even backs up the 2nd part to that statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 JMA FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scooter13 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I still cant understand what is happening here. Every met has been saying they expect this not to be another feb 2010 storm..and to move north..but models keep pushing it south. Hopefully things change tomorrow.. The PV is stronger and temps over the Ohio Valley are colder than expected which is pushing this storm to the south. Weather is a tricky thing and it can change in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 A lot of this had to do with a weaker, less consolidated shortwave because a stronger wave would've have pushed the thermal gradient further north and we could have jackpot red by the trends have turned away from that. That I think is more of an issue than the stronger PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The PV is stronger and temps over the Ohio Valley are colder than expected which is pushing this storm to the south. Weather is a tricky thing and it can change in a heartbeat. Yet the ECM is quite warm at 48 hrs out with temps in the mid 30s in land around ABE and upper 30s NYC to 40s to around 50 in Southern NJ.. If the Polar Vortex is suppressing this south then I would think these temps be colder, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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