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March 2-4 Snowstorm Potential Part 2


REDMK6GLI

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3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

 

NAM:  0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS: 0.65 - 0.80 / 5 - 9 inches of snow

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

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3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

NAM: 0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS:

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

When do the gefs come out?

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3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

NAM: 0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS:

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

Just my take

GFS is . 7 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 8 to 9

UKIE is .85 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 9 to 10

EURO at 12 z was .9. But will see what 0z brings.

GGEM and NAM the driest. If the euro is wet I will toss them .

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Just my take

GFS is . 7 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 8 to 9

UKIE is .85 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 9 to 10

EURO at 12 z was .9. But will see what 0z brings.

GGEM and NAM the driest. If the euro is wet I will toss them .

 

I played it conservative with ratios but within the overall range, nam is wet but warm initially.  

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Might as well pull out all stops...Australian model is very amped...

IDY20000.mslp-precip.072.png?1393588800

This ..the Korean and the ggem on the French site with the upside down maps always gave me a headache.

Anyway seeing the gefs north of the OP probably means the gfs is coming north the next run. You will rarely see me say anything like this.

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