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March 2-4 Snowstorm Potential Part 2


REDMK6GLI

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  On 3/1/2014 at 4:31 AM, weatherpruf said:

No, I did not think you were giving me grief at all. and yes, I am a weenie. I'm considering a book or article on the topic, which is why I hang out here. A book on snow weenies, not the weather....

 

It's been done

 

http://truecenterpublishing.com/psycyber/psycyberimages/book_joinson.jpg

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  On 3/1/2014 at 4:51 AM, Blizzardo said:

So call the TV station and file a complaint, tell them they got the forecast all wrong

 

 

  On 3/1/2014 at 4:51 AM, Blizzardo said:

So call the TV station aWould you like nd file a complaint, tell them they got the forecast all wrong

Thank you for your helpful advice. I hadn't thought of that.

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3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

 

NAM:  0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS: 0.65 - 0.80 / 5 - 9 inches of snow

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

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  On 3/1/2014 at 5:06 AM, SACRUS said:

3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

NAM: 0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS:

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

When do the gefs come out?

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  On 3/1/2014 at 5:06 AM, SACRUS said:

3/1 00z Summary NYC / NENJ / CNJ

NAM: 0.50 - 0.75 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GFS: 0.40 - 0.60 / 4 - 7 inches of snow

GEFS:

UKMET: 0.70 - 0.85 / 6 - 10 inches of snow

GGEM: 0.30 - 0.50 / 2 - 4 inches of snow

ECM:

EC Ensembles:

Just my take

GFS is . 7 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 8 to 9

UKIE is .85 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 9 to 10

EURO at 12 z was .9. But will see what 0z brings.

GGEM and NAM the driest. If the euro is wet I will toss them .

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  On 3/1/2014 at 5:15 AM, PB GFI said:

Just my take

GFS is . 7 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 8 to 9

UKIE is .85 in CNJ at 12 to 1 its 9 to 10

EURO at 12 z was .9. But will see what 0z brings.

GGEM and NAM the driest. If the euro is wet I will toss them .

 

I played it conservative with ratios but within the overall range, nam is wet but warm initially.  

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  On 3/1/2014 at 5:23 AM, SnowGoose69 said:

Might as well pull out all stops...Australian model is very amped...

IDY20000.mslp-precip.072.png?1393588800

This ..the Korean and the ggem on the French site with the upside down maps always gave me a headache.

Anyway seeing the gefs north of the OP probably means the gfs is coming north the next run. You will rarely see me say anything like this.

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  On 3/1/2014 at 5:21 AM, PB GFI said:

In the ukie and euro camp

I think this is gonna have a sharp feb 6 2010 cutoff some where between NYC and I195. Be interesting to see exactly where. Feb 6 2010, the raritian river was basically the bisection line from a foot to a few inches then nothing just a few miles north.

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