Storm chaser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Once again Mixed Signals on here one post says Squashed and South than I'm reading Mod Snow by Hr 66.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:38 AM, Allsnow said: Hr 72 .5+ NYC .75+ ttn-south Are you including the first wave? Cause that is all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:38 AM, Allsnow said: Hr 72 .5+ NYC .75+ ttn-south Thanks AllSnow!So why all the downers from so many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:36 AM, WintersGrasp said: Yes it is the NAM, but no doubts about it....it looks terrible Sent from my iPhone How does this look terrible for a 66 hr depiction? please log off the computer and go have a few drinks to tone down your psychosis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:39 AM, JetsPens87 said: What? All the snow on the NAM.....did you miss seeing it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:39 AM, Storm chaser said: Once again Mixed Signals on here one post says Squashed and South than I'm reading Mod Snow by Hr 66.. Where are you seeing mixed signals? Compared to 18 this is more squashed and south. But yes as Allsnow said it does still snow SOME. Just because its south doesn't mean its not going to snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 This run looks ridiculous, toss it out I do not see that much support for the first wave. Where is the vort max, to me the second wave looks stronger, I will wait for the other models then decide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:38 AM, Allsnow said: Hr 72 .5+ NYC .75+ ttn-south Hmm.....I think you are looking at total precip and not snow. There is a big difference Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Mixed signals are because of borderline temps on first wave, first wave could be a decent amount of snow on NAM well north or city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:41 AM, WintersGrasp said: Hmm.....I think you are looking at total precip and not snow. There is a big difference Sent from my iPhone .15 is prob rain for NYC And ttn around .25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:40 AM, WeatherX said: All the snow on the NAM.....did you miss seeing it? What is your point here? You were saying the first wave which was warm was supposed to be squashed. The second wave traverses south when compared to 18z. I don't understand your issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:41 AM, Mitchel Volk said: This run looks ridiculous, toss it out I do not see that much support for the first wave. Where is the vort max, to me the second wave looks stronger, I will wait for the other models then decide. A red tagger saying toss it, weenies rejoice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:39 AM, JetsPens87 said: Are you including the first wave? Cause that is all rain.t The first part is rain , the second part yields close to 6 to8 inches into Monmouth county while NYC looks closer to 4 to 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 every solution in the last 12 hours has given this subforum nothing particularly interesting, surprised that there's still so much discussion of the vagaries of a ho hum early March overrunning situation, seriously we're not looking at a '93 miller a or anything vaguely like the overrunning of the PD storms, so silly, just don't commit suicide, there will be more winters for at least 3-4 billion years on this planet (barring any catastrophic comet impacts here or on our moon) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Snow maps show 3-4" for NYC, 6"+ around PHL Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:40 AM, JetsPens87 said: Where are you seeing mixed signals? Compared to 18 this is more squashed and south. But yes as Allsnow said it does still snow SOME. Just because its south doesn't mean its not going to snow at all. IF it is still a 6 inch storm than it has my attention I am still hoping it can become the 12+ it looked like yesterday. My point is by reading some of the posts it sounded like barely any appreciable moisture would make it past Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:42 AM, PB GFI said: t The first part is rain , the second part yields close to 6 to8 inches into Monmouth county while NYC looks closer to 4 to 6. Yea when I said rain I was speaking to the first part. Was wondering if Allsnow was including that first wave in the qpf or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:44 AM, Storm chaser said: IF it is still a 6 inch storm than it has my attention I am still hoping it can become the 12+ it looked like yesterday. My point is by reading some of the posts it sounded like barely any appreciable moisture would make it past Philly. Oh okay I gotcha. It's definitely less than 18z but still not terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What the heck was that run? Just looked... Odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:43 AM, WintersGrasp said: Snow maps show 3-4" for NYC, 6"+ around PHL Sent from my iPhone I think past of the Problem a lot of people were thinking/hoping the foot plus storm was on the table and today seems to be looking worse and worse as the day has gone along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:44 AM, JetsPens87 said: Yea when I said rain I was speaking to the first part. Was wondering if Allsnow was including that first wave in the qpf or not. Def south of 18z. At 18z I counted .95 in Monmouth county as frozen. 0z is closer to .70 now. NYC looks closer to .4 to .5 frozen. At 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:48 AM, PB GFI said: Def south of 18z. At 18z I counted .95 in Monmouth county as frozen. 0z is closer to .70 now. NYC looks closer to .4 to .5 frozen. At 0z That's my point, this is trending slighty worse with each run....by tommorrow, it might really look bad barring a dramatic change of events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:41 AM, Mitchel Volk said: This run looks ridiculous, toss it out I do not see that much support for the first wave. Where is the vort max, to me the second wave looks stronger, I will wait for the other models then decide. agree 100% - the 0Z NAM is putting too much emphasis on the lead wave Sunday thus robbing the second wave of energy and precip coverage - you can tell by the lack of precip coverage - alot of warm air is going to be overrunning and precip is way underdone on that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I think tomorrow night and Sunday Morning is the ONLY time Nam will be in its comfort zone(24-36 hrs) and even than it is hard to trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:48 AM, WeatherX said: No issue. Are you feeling compelled to challenge me? It sure seems like it.... Im not challenging you at all? If I could buy everyone a round of drinks on this forum I would, just to calm everyone down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:54 AM, Plfdwxdude said: Lol I'm having a few now. Its the only way I can get through the posts tonight On 3/1/2014 at 2:54 AM, Plfdwxdude said: Lol I'm having a few now. Its the only way I can get through the posts tonight You have no idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:55 AM, WeatherX said: Right on. I'm done....on with the professional analysis. All ive been trying to do all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:52 AM, Storm chaser said: I think tomorrow night and Sunday Morning is the ONLY time Nam will be in its comfort zone(24-36 hrs) and even than it is hard to trust. Wrong. 6 hours prior to the start time is the NAMs range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 On 3/1/2014 at 2:55 AM, JetsPens87 said: All ive been trying to do all along. It's not an NYC snowstorm until there's a few tangles and mangles. You do great work, keep it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Geez... Everyone take a chill pill. I'm the one who thought mixing would be a bigger threat than suppression so if the latter happens take it out on this weenie? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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