Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Maybe we can pull off a snow event then another after. We do monster winter or crap winter. A 20" winter doesn't make sense. lol..so true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 If we could get the shortwave to slow down a bit & strengthen, let the cold air work in with that frontal passage, it would be a much bigger snowstorm for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 we kinda get "screwed" with the heaviest staying just north. i don't think i've seen a storm like this since i've been here if it happens this way? im sorta confused by it. One would have to find the last time a marginal temp storm worked out in favor for DC and the beltway. Away from the city I think models tend to do very well getting temps right but right near there are some effects that no model can nail down perfectly. Until the runs get all important level temps below 32F there is a legit reason to raise an eyebrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I also agree about tossing climo a bit. There is stout cold available. Putting it to good use can be tricky. I can easily see us not getting the cold in here until the vast majority of the precip is done. Trends today help quell those concerns. No mistaking that. but it's still a d4 event so bad shifts can come just as easy as good ones.Other than sun angle I'm not overly concerned about climo tho I think it's still a good guide if you look at the coldest we've been this late. Tomorrow might be a good test. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 my wife thinks she has walking phemonnia. She has an dr appointment today but that may be my only hope. Cant leave her home sick That actually sucks. Hope it I turns out to be something more mundane. But you really couldn't leave if that turns out the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 what is happening here lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Do we have any wind issues with this even.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 this would be a better storm than the KU(The march 3 storm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Believe it or not they only show 7+/- in dc. Fred county - winchester big winners with 15-16 I've already broken 2 shovels this year. I don't really want to make it a third Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EURO misses a phase for the LR storm it is basically a STJ ULL...however Day 9-10 look better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 what is happening here lol? NO cold air around on the Operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EURO misses a phase for the LR storm it is basically a STJ ULL...however Day 9-10 look better! hard to believe a 990 LOW in central SC would miss us but i guess its possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 March 3rd is not really that late..It is still in our window....March 10th and later is late...We have had a number of big events beginning of March...even during the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 March 3rd is not really that late..It is still in our window....March 10th and later is late...We have had a number of big events beginning of March...even during the day for snow.. not really. i think by this time of year you're more likely to get rain or snow as opposed to an ice storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 for snow.. not really. i think by this time of year you're more likely to get rain or snow as opposed to an ice storm though. yeah,,ice seems not as likely outside of Hagerstown and Martinsburg, etc... 3/1 to 3/8 is a pretty money period for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 DC hasn't had more than 7-8" of snow in March since the late 50s, right? Climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 March 3rd is not really that late..It is still in our window....March 10th and later is late...We have had a number of big events beginning of March...even during the day Early March 2009 comes to mind offhand as the last impressive cold (for the time of year). That was the moderate ~5" or so event we got, and DCA remained below freezing for two days on I believe March 2 and 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 DC hasn't had more than 7-8" of snow in March since the late 50s, right? Climo. we have...and is 7-8" not a lot of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 this is the most dramatic flip I have ever seen the Euro make. Went from a non event to a HECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Early March 2009 comes to mind offhand as the last impressive cold (for the time of year). That was the moderate ~5" or so event we got, and DCA remained below freezing for two days on I believe March 2 and 3. I got 7.5" in DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 yeah,,ice seems not as likely outside of Hagerstown and Martinsburg, etc... 3/1 to 3/8 is a pretty money period for us there's sort of a secondary peak around early Mar: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 8.7 in 98-99, 8.3 in 77-78. For anything bigger you have to go back to 59-60. we have...and is 7-8" not a lot of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 DC hasn't had more than 7-8" of snow in March since the late 50s, right? Climo. March 1960 was an incredible month with lots of snow and cold and a NESIS 4 KU. In spite of 80s at the end of the month, it was still by far the coldest March on record at DCA (not including pre-DCA). Makes me wonder if this coming March will give it a run for its money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I got 7.5" in DC proper Thanks...I couldn't remember exactly offhand what the amount was in that event, though 6" sticks in my mind when I was living in the Capitol Hill neighborhood at the time. I thought DCA most likely got less (per usual), so I guessed 5"! At any rate, it was an impressively cold couple of days right after that for the beginning of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 8.7 in 98-99, 8.3 in 77-78. For anything bigger you have to go back to 59-60. Even though DCA got "only" 6.6" from the 1993 Superstorm, most areas (I think?) got closer to a foot especially farther out. Now combining that with the obvious intensity of that storm, well, you'd have to put that one way up there on the list. ETA: I believe it was also very cold for a few days right after as well, quite amazing for mid-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/what-is-washington-dcs-weather-like-in-march-breaking-down-norms-and-extremes/2012/03/11/gIQAqgDJ7R_blog.html Monthly snowfall (in inches) by year in Washington, D.C. from 1888-2011. See sources for data. Normal March snowfall in D.C. is 1.3”, this is down 0.4” since the last 30-year climate average. In recent years (back through the 2000s), March snow has been hit-or-miss. It occurs about every other year on average with most instances quite low as far as accumulation goes. About 150 accumulating snow events, including those which were primarily rain but had some snow stick, have occurred in March since records began in the late 1880s. 33 percent of those events reached accumulation of at least 3”. As recently as March 2009, an event dropped 5.5” of snow on the first days of the month. The top 10 accumulation events in March at Washington, D.C. Numbers are in inches of snowfall.Two snow events at D.C. have reached right around one foot of snow. One hit it on the nose on the 27th into the 28th in 1891. The other holds the daily record for March at 11.5”, and it happened on the 29th in 1942. Nine other days have witnessed 6” or more snow, most recently March 9, 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Oh, I get that the 'burbs can get bigger. DCA? Yeah, not so much. Even though DCA got "only" 6.6" from the 1993 Superstorm, most areas (I think?) got closer to a foot especially farther out. Now combining that with the obvious intensity of that storm, well, you'd have to put that one way up there on the list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 the european run is a better storm literally than the Feb 12-13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Not dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 IMBY going back to 1993, storms over 4" 3/9/99 - 9.5" - Dupont 3/1-2/2009 - 7.5" - Mt Pleasant 3/8/96 - 4" - Downtown Silver Spring 3/13/93 - ~9" downtown DC 3/1-2/94 - ~4" downtown DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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