welbane Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html You will need to navigate to the google map that has the station locations, I believe the one you'd want to look at is Martin Airport. From there you want Cobb output. That will give you a text output per model/run. Try this one too http://meteopt.com/modelos/meteogramas/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 No way I make it to the Eurorandys drinking wine....this usually means we end up with a descent storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Yes, but its not a snow sounding. I admit I took a glance at the 84 sounding There is a warm nose 700-800 Not gonna lie I did the same thing, haha. Yup, not snow at 84 but we'd probably transition to snow soon after that since the freezing line at those levels were racing south too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The NAM is pretty much like the GGEM, the shortwave down south takes a while. It would be a huge hit for you guys...but its the NAM...onto the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's not an assessment on winter precip chances for next week, just an objective review of the data...accumulating snow is rare in March. Just to clarify... Your argument is that it's rare to get an accumulating snow on any given March day, rather than that it's rare to get an accumulating snow in March in any given year. Correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 My biggest concern is the surface. Last time we were waiting for a shallow cold airmass to come over the mountains it was an atrocious 10f warmer than the 24hr forecast on all models. Have to wait until we're closer in to worry about this though. I think the ECMWF high res wind map at wunderground shows why we're in for a cold surface - winds are coming from the due north once the front passes, it's not cold air coming from the west across the mountains which tends to be blocked by the terrain, but arctic air filtering down out of northern Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 NAM is gonna look nice at 87 and 90h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Mother of all NCEP ensembles: cross polar epic historic March cold from the Ukraine to Uhrichsville, Ohio and points south and east; converging and colliding with deep moisture feed (six to seven point five standard deviations greater than the mean climatological moisture) courtesy of the Gulf of Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Pretty cool view of the storm in the Pacific: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Pretty cool view of the storm in the Pacific: Meteoporn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html You will need to navigate to the google map that has the station locations, I believe the one you'd want to look at is Martin Airport. From there you want Cobb output. That will give you a text output per model/run. Try this one too http://meteopt.com/modelos/meteogramas/ Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 No way I make it to the Euro I'm even staying up for it....and I have no game. It's the last event of season dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 not gonna lie...the NAM is awesome for DC at 84 hours....of course, I just drank a bottle of cabernet in an hour so..... No *ucking merlot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Meteoporn No no, this is meteoporn: http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl1_143.A2014058205500-2014058210000.1km.jpg Same storm in the pacific, make sure to click the higher res 250m version Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Well we will be able to watch the 00z GFS at the same time TOR/WSH are in the 3OT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Pretty cool view of the storm in the Pacific:Beautiful! Thanks for posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I'm even staying up for it....and I have no game. It's the last event of season dude Dude, i just downed a bottle of Cabernet in like an hour....thankfully i'll be out like a lamp soon. Hopefully I can make it to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 No no, this is meteoporn: http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/imagery/single.cgi?image=crefl1_143.A2014058205500-2014058210000.1km.jpg Same storm in the pacific, make sure to click the higher res 250m version Thanks, good justification for a much larger monitor! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS a tiny bit faster with PV, looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 i'd be worried about sleet fest 2014 all the way up to the Mason Dixon line.. I've never seen a storm, where RICHMOND changes to frozen, before Roanoke where the area above h85 isn't WAY north of progged. With the slower solution, you're getting a slug of moisture overunning, and without a coastal to induce more cooling, that warm layer will take FOREVER to thin out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Thanks, good justification for a much larger monitor! Not even sure if I got a 4k monitor it would be big enough! My 30" 2560x1600 doesn't even fit half of the 500m version! When's someone coming out with 8k monitors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Cold pressing down harder and the wave out west is stronger, couldn't ask for more so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 You still have a MIX sleet SNOW profile at ILG at 84 and BARELY snow at HGR.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 That satellite image looks like TD Titan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs looking like another tick better so far but more importantly the wizards game was off the damn charts. Wow. Today has been a great day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 i'd be worried about sleet fest 2014 all the way up to the Mason Dixon line.. I've never seen a storm, where RICHMOND changes to frozen, before Roanoke where the area above h85 isn't WAY north of progged. With the slower solution, you're getting a slug of moisture overunning, and without a coastal to induce more cooling, that warm layer will take FOREVER to thin out. ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 DCA right at freezing at 72 -- thats 7pm SUN on 00z GFS... and into the 26-29 range by 03z MON (10pm Sunday night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Looks like the entire region freezing by 10pm Sunday. 850mb freezing is still the Mason Dixon line, but the main storm hasn't even moved in yet. GFS looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I'm confused by the title. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 0c 2mT down to RIC by 6z. This is a IP/FZRA madhouse. Even I'm IP up here with > 0c at 800. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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