Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I think this was done prior to seeing the Euro. could be.. tho the timestamp is after it came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wes checks in: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/27/big-complicated-wintry-mess-may-be-staring-at-us-late-sunday-into-monday/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 You guys are killing me. I've been in meetings for the last 3 hours. Now I have over 100 new posts to go through. Euro must have been a snoozer. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 accu going with a strangely conservative forecast for them well yeah...the euro kind of fringes NYC and Boston, so accuweather will ignore it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 could be.. tho the timestamp is after it came out. They got halfway through making it when the EURO came out. "We'll fix it tomorrow..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Yea but it surely wasn't some crazy superball bounce. it was. It went from non event to HECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I give credit to the EURO on locking into the 2/12-2/13 system. Let's hope the EURO can stay consistent for the next several runs and hold serve again. Still a lot of model mayhem to sort out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 it was. It went from non event to HECS forecast looks identical in florida Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wes checks in: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/27/big-complicated-wintry-mess-may-be-staring-at-us-late-sunday-into-monday/ He is right of course to be cautious and not overreact to any one model solution, but the Euro is a major snowstorm...maybe not worth mentioning based on one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I think this was done prior to seeing the Euro. I don't know , just watched a video by Evan Myers,on the Accu-weather.com , time stamped 3:04 PM. EST today, and he says , Wilmington ,De. , Philly, Baltimore around 2 , maybe 3 or 4 inches. I guess waiting to ensure the trend colder and snowier remains. Conservative yes, maybe not buying the massive Southward move on the latest Euro, interesting. That really does not even match the map posted that goes along with the video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 fwiw--JMA is warm and north now the model of choice I just read that they recently upgraded their computers too. They went from a Cray to a Crayon. Flesh color has higher resolution now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I give credit to the EURO on locking into the 2/12-2/13 system. Let's hope the EURO can stay consistent for the next several runs and hold serve again. Still a lot of model mayhem to sort out. You said there would be no more snow storms of note until next December. Hopefully you'll do the right thing and stop posting here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 could be.. tho the timestamp is after it came out. They get their Euro access from JB and he delays it for them until 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Wes checks in: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/27/big-complicated-wintry-mess-may-be-staring-at-us-late-sunday-into-monday/ Thank G-D he is ok, i was already calling the fishing charters in the Keys to make sure a shark did not eat him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Not that it means much, but the NAM has a northern solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I'm not sure why you seem motivated to troll nowadays. 75 miles on a global model that runs twice a day is pretty small. But if you think it's huge you are entitled your opinion. Have nothing but respect for you Bob. I am trolling, but not you. The FACT is that the models do well sometimes, both of them, and sometimes they don't, both of them. My trolling is directed at others, none named Bob, Matt, Ian, Randy, etc. Just because I quoted your post doesn't mean I was coming after you. It was an opportunity. Apologies if warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 You said there would be no more snow storms of note until next December. Hopefully you'll do the right thing and stop posting here. 2/12 brought in the chaff and they have lingered like a bad cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 You said there would be no more snow storms of note until next December. Hopefully you'll do the right thing and stop posting here. Why don't you go pound sand Phiny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I give credit to the EURO on locking into the 2/12-2/13 system. Let's hope the EURO can stay consistent for the next several runs and hold serve again. Still a lot of model mayhem to sort out. It did. And it's locked on now, too. It's like a 9 pound largemouth locked on to a spinner bait.................yeah, steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Euro ensebles look really nice @ 850. Hr 96 splits central MD. Basically a line from baltimore to leesburg. Well south by 108. As matt said, nice slp track compared to last night ens run. Good sign for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Euro ensebles look really nice @ 850. Hr 96 splits central MD. Basically a line from baltimore to leesburg. Well south by 108. As matt said, nice slp track compared to last night ens run. Good sign for sure. Great news, thanks for the info Bob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Have nothing but respect for you Bob. I am trolling, but not you. The FACT is that the models do well sometimes, both of them, and sometimes they don't, both of them. My trolling is directed at others, none named Bob, Matt, Ian, Randy, etc. Just because I quoted your post doesn't mean I was coming after you. It was an opportunity. Apologies if warranted. We're good. No worries. Being on the border between win and fail has us all on edge. And hugging any one model is a mistake. Just as discounting any model is a mistake. Now that the gfs and euro both show some promise the confidence in at least a decent chance at a frozen event has gone up. I'm really happy with the euro ens run. Not as much with the gefs but the euro ens has better resolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Ill go out on a limb and say my forecast of 90% rain and snow on Sunday night with a low of 25 will be more snow than rain at those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Not that it means much, but the NAM has a northern solution. It dosent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 We're good. No worries. Being on the border between win and fail has us all on edge. And hugging any one model is a mistake. Just as discounting any model is a mistake. Now that the gfs and euro both show some promise the confidence in at least a decent chance at a frozen event has gone up. I'm really happy with the euro ens run. Not as much with the gefs but the euro ens has better resolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Can someone tell me what the EPS Control is? I'm really looking to learn more about weather in general. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol Phiny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Can someone tell me what the EPS Control is? I'm really looking to learn more about weather in general. Thanks. The EPS is the Euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 accu going with a strangely conservative forecast for them Note sure 6-18 in NYC is conservative given the population size there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 The EPS is the Euro ensembles. Cool, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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