CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 What am i doing? Being a weenie and Cancelling winter because you missed a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFRI Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Another station thinking on the high side also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Being a weenie and Cancelling winter because you missed a storm. I really am not cancelling anything. Not sure what you mean? There will be more cold and snow this month and in April. Just not over the next 7-10 days except if you live in ocean effect areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 5 inches anywhere in SNE? LOL...maybe 1-2 on the very south coast... I'm thinking I get 5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I really am not cancelling anything. Not sure what you mean? There will be more cold and snow this month and in April. Just not over the next 7-10 days except if you live in ocean effect areas. Lol...batten down Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Lol...batten down Friday. I don't think that has any chance of being snow..even in the hills. It's too mild..it's either 37 and rain or OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'm thinking I get 5". congrats Blair for sure,still iced up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 well i didnt debbie on this one, it seemed to be a hot mess from two days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I don't think that has any chance of being snow..even in the hills. It's too mild..it's either 37 and rain or OTSScott was spot on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Scott was spot onNothing epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 https://twitter.com/jacksuslak/status/439838521843806208 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 congrats Blair for sure,still iced up? Not much ice left. Definitely a cold winter for out here though. Missed quite a few days of scalloping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 https://twitter.com/jacksuslak/status/439838521843806208 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I don't think that has any chance of being snow..even in the hills. It's too mild..it's either 37 and rain or OTSLa la lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I honestly not for one second thought this would happen. Never did i fear suppression Morch with a raging hard postive NAO. I don't ever recall a time when this happened in this setup at this time of year and we at least didn't get some snow.Not seeing flake in SNE from this is painful..but what can you do. We'll get through this ... all of us ... together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Man one storm and the world has ended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Those numbers seem very high currently. Maybe an inch on the beaches, that's it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What doom and gloom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I don't think anyone can actually say with a straight face that SNE was out of the game 48 hours ago. For those hoping for a 12"+ storm, that might be true, but there's obviously a big difference between that and 6". You won't find a single forecaster who also thought that the heavy stuff might struggle to get to PHL a couple days ago. Maybe but the reality of this winter is at 5+ days throwing out totals is foolish. I get why it has to be done, but most of the time this winter it's a setup for a phail. This ended up being no different. I expected 3-6" here and I think I was far more bearish than most, turns out I will bust high too. Will I'm not saying you threw out totals, I think you know what I mean. You warned about the same things many, many times. Lol, hey maybe that's the new way to post, wait until model consensus then say what went wrong Aside of the fact that I was saying this 2-3 days ago you're post is dead on. In a situation like this where I disagree with the consensus I figured it was best to keep it on the + page. I think it was Thursday I sent Ray a message telling him this thing was going to get squashed like a bug by the PV. The overall trend with the GEFS/GFS/NAM crap excluded was kind of clear. Aside of a bobble or two north this for the most part was a straight south shot as it approached. Powderfreak has made this point many times, it wasn't long ago he was jackpotted, then CNE, then SNE, then the NMA and now the MA. Sure there were individual runs that juggled north but overall as Harv said yesterday it was trending south. I don't think anyone with a straight face can say that wasn't the trend overall. Interesting post. Yeah, I've concluded too, without understanding why, that the NAM/GFS do way better in a pattern dominated by Northern stream SW's and the Northern jet such as what we've seen this winter. Where the Euro is still the doctor is with Southern streamers or SW'S that originate like in CA or somewhere like that. The Euro was the first to nail this fail and never wavered. Sent from my VS980 4G CMC was probably the first to show cirrus smoking here. I remember Scott/Coastalwx using those specific words in a post after one of the CMC runs rolled out. The Euro was still crushing us that run. IMO CMC led the charge on the smash job by the energy out of Canada although it too had issues. I am still hoping for a few inches here we will see. I'm glad I didn't put a ton of time into this, tough year for model/ensemble "consensus" Enjoy the storm guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Might not be all snow but the GOM storm is primed to be a beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Might not be all snow but the GOM storm is primed to be a beastEpic. Let's fast forward to spring. Sucks that it will be cold throughout March with no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Why is it 3/1 and people are cancelling march already? 30 days left in the period..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Why is it 3/1 and people are cancelling march already? 30 days left in the period..... In a favorable pattern for cold no less. There will be more chances, especially for the interior.Like a soap opera in here every time a storm misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 PHL and DCA riding the northern fringe of Monday's storm. Wow what an incredible push south. The PV will not be denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You know what are completely useless..those stupid CIPS analogs..those things are complete trash. The CIPS analogs are only good when the agreement on models is good...because the CIPS analogs beyond 48 hours are derived from the GFS output. If the Euro shows a bomb at 96 hours but the GFS shows a weak suppressed wave...the CIPS analogs will show garbage systems. It happened last year in the Feb blizzard when the GFS was a scraper and the Euro was printing out 3 inches of QPF. When model agreement is fairly high, then the CIPS analogs can be pretty useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 PHL and DCA riding the northern fringe of Monday's storm. Wow what an incredible push south. The PV will not be denied. might not stop there either....Richmond jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 nams down to flurries for me now in nw jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I think the dialog for this storm was pretty good and most of us described the pros and cons. Yeah there were the typical 1 or 2 posters wishcasting, but it seems like there is a lot of hindsight here. Maybe it's me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I think the dialog for this storm was pretty good and most of us described the pros and cons. Yeah there were the typical 1 or 2 posters wishcasting, but it seems like there is a lot of hindsight here. Maybe it's me. Agreed. Usual suspects hyped but the rest of the discussion was pretty much spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 PHL and DCA riding the northern fringe of Monday's storm. Wow what an incredible push south. The PV will not be denied. According to the 0z NAM, DCA will get up to a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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