HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Low low expectations here And some folks need to chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Really not much more you can say at this point. Hopefully the 00z runs stabilize a bit. One other idea I sort of entertained is if we get more of a front end thump later Sunday Night and Monday and then a second wave is the one that effects NJ on south. The 18z GEFS almost hunt at this. Isn't that kinda what the GFS was doing 2 days ago ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Low low expectations here And some folks need to chill How are you doing relative to normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Isn't that kinda what the GFS was doing 2 days ago ?I think it was showing a thump and then just this long duration stuff.Edit: 25/12z was rather suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 How are you doing relative to normal?Above for the season to date71"ish. "Normal" for the whole year would be around 74". Feb was very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think it was showing a thump and then just this long duration stuff. Edit: 25/12z was rather suppressed. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Above for the season to date 71"ish. "Normal" for the whole year would be around 74". Feb was very good Not bad, I think even if none of us were to have a flake of snow the rest of the way (it'd be disappointing) we couldn't really complain. Back-to-back solid winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Not bad, I think even if none of us were to have a flake of snow the rest of the way (it'd be disappointing) we couldn't really complain. Back-to-back solid winters. If it hadn't been for feb this year this winter would have been meh.....Here in west Hartford anyway.....and honestly last year if it hadn't been for the blizzard in feb las winter Would have been meh too....feb saves the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Let's stay on topic wrt this specific storm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 LOL We've had a fine winter....who cares at this stage. Your thoughts mirror my thoughts on your thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Wow, nice write up Ryan. You addressed all the moving parts in a really concise and easy to understand explanation. Thanks. Wow yea.. Really excellent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Wow yea.. Really excellent! I thought it was a little rampant with anti-weeniesm weeniesm. But that is an impressive storm for CA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Looks like the GFS bumped up QPF a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS looks awesome for SNE. Best stuff makes it to just about the CT/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS still looks like a moderate 15F sandstorm for much of SNE. Though the upper levels were quite different in how they arrived at that solution. The southern shortwave was better looking...but it phases in less energy from the northern plains so those two factors sor tof offset eachother so we end up with not much change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS looks awesome for SNE. Best stuff makes it to just about the CT/MA border. As stated by many earlier though, there is an extreme cutoff. SNE jackpots, CNE does pretty well, and NNE is left high and dry. Obviously a lot can change, still 72+ hours out. But, usually the GFS has the smoothest QPF of the models since it isn't hi-res, so for it to show an extreme cutoff does mean something. Something to keep note of as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS still looks like a moderate 15F sandstorm for much of SNE. Though the upper levels were quite different in how they arrived at that solution. The southern shortwave was better looking...but it phases in less energy from the northern plains so those two factors sor tof offset eachother so we end up with not much change. what do you mean by sandstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 what do you mean by sandstorm? That dry sandy snow...blowing around a bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs is sweet for CT SEMA 8-14 again pretty steady state qpf all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 That dry sandy snow...blowing around a bunch.gotcha, man was outside helping my son in law with hus car,absolutely chilled, wind is crankibg 1/2 new is blowing off the roof in sheets,pretty cool actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs looks a smidge better. Nice storm south of Boston. Probably some 12" amounts if that verified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Gfs looks a smidge better. Nice storm south of Boston. Probably some 12" amounts if that verified Boy have I heard this often this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Boy have I heard this often this winter I think this has been exaggerated quite a bit to be honest. A lot of people are above normal in terms of snow, so it can't be that bad. I so think with this storm, stakes are kind of high. 50 miles either way is going to have huge sensible weather changes for a ton of posters here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Another nice run for I95 from nj to ma. Euro will be interesting to see if it swings back north a bit or hold steady after its huge 12z swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think this has been exaggerated quite a bit to be honest. A lot of people are above normal in terms of snow, so it can't be that bad. I so think with this storm, stakes are kind of high. 50 miles either way is going to have huge sensible weather changes for a ton of posters here Not been bad at all. Just heard that a lot this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think this has been exaggerated quite a bit to be honest. A lot of people are above normal in terms of snow, so it can't be that bad. I so think with this storm, stakes are kind of high. 50 miles either way is going to have huge sensible weather changes for a ton of posters here Well it is certainly above normal here but it's not even close to a top ten winter and we are behind last years totals (granted still a ways to go however) and the surrounding area has cleaned up quite a bit in comparison, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I think this has been exaggerated quite a bit to be honest. A lot of people are above normal in terms of snow, so it can't be that bad. I so think with this storm, stakes are kind of high. 50 miles either way is going to have huge sensible weather changes for a ton of posters here February made up for some of those storms earlier that were suppressed in January. ORH has had over 41 inches of snow this month, so it can't be that bad. Only the 4th snowiest February on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 February made up for some of those storms earlier that were suppressed in January. ORH has had over 41 inches of snow this month, so it can't be that bad. Only the 4th snowiest February on record. Lol yeah that's pretty awesome. I agree it started off where the two bigger events were south of Boston centric. Since then, not really. It's a perception thing. People don't remember when south and east areas are slop or rain, they only remember when they are the only place getting snow. Anyways I digress, I do think the fear now over everything is suppression. I'm curious too see if the euro holds steady or comes north after a pretty large swing at 12z. Hopefully we have the southern goal post set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 Nice to see the GFS still give us a nice event... how does the 00z Ukie look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Nice to see the GFS still give us a nice event... how does the 00z Ukie look?hopefully better than the GGEMs sheared out disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.