joey2002 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Let's discuss the potential for a snowstorm Sunday night into Monday. Latest 12z Euro run brings mixing into the equation for parts of SNE, but also give more snow to NNE. Should be fun to watch how this one plays out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 94 dominating the CIPS analog list, remember when we were nuts for mentioning it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Higher confidence increases for a potential high impact winter storm for Southern New England come Sunday night through Monday night. There is the potential for snowfall and a rain/snow mix for the South Coast of New England, but currently the idea is a suppressed storm track leading to mostly snow even for the Islands of MA and RI. EURO is currently the overamplified outlier as we stand today, with the GFS mainly supported as the consensus model of choice. That and the fact that the EURO ensembles are more in line with the GFS. So right now potential exists for at least a widespread 3-6" of snowfall, going low for the time being that we can always increase amounts as we get closer and the fact that both ideas are open with the EURO and GFS at odds on track and timing of snowfall. Also our shortwaves are both one over the Pole and the other over the open Eastern Pacific ocean still, still a lot of time to discern tracks, and right now the models are at odds and this will likely continue for the next three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 18z GFS took steps towards the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Gfs looks awesome, cold stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Higher confidence increases for a potential high impact winter storm for Southern New England come Sunday night through Monday night. There is the potential for snowfall and a rain/snow mix for the South Coast of New England, but currently the idea is a suppressed storm track leading to mostly snow even for the Islands of MA and RI. EURO is currently the overamplified outlier as we stand today, with the GFS mainly supported as the consensus model of choice. That and the fact that the EURO ensembles are more in line with the GFS. So right now potential exists for at least a widespread 3-6" of snowfall, going low for the time being that we can always increase amounts as we get closer and the fact that both ideas are open with the EURO and GFS at odds on track and timing of snowfall. Also our shortwaves are both one over the Pole and the other over the open Eastern Pacific ocean still, still a lot of time to discern tracks, and right now the models are at odds and this will likely continue for the next three days. who wrote this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 18z GFS took steps towards the euro cold cold cold, nice inflow, would expect BOS to cash in ala 2/94 with persistent OES , long fetch. I like this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Gfs looks awesome, cold stuff Chuck some sea salt into that sounding for nuclei and you've got a deep, deep snow growth zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Chuck some sea salt into that sounding for nuclei and you've got a deep, deep snow growth zone. Yea thats why I said BOS cashes in, lets hope the consistency stays to go time for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Another 18-22 for South Weymouth? OES . Wonder if Messenger will come back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 QPF queens should not fret either if the models have the right idea of WAA over the Arctic dome, bump them up and ratios could be sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Should be noted that all the governing dynamics related to Sunday -- Tuesday are situated over the Pacific between Hawaii and California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Should be noted that all the governing dynamics related to Sunday -- Tuesday are situated over the Pacific between Hawaii and California.Yup. Been mentioned by James and Scoots et al Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 LOL a little early for amounts. Let's just try to figure out what this thing is going to try to do, first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 94 dominating the CIPS analog list, remember when we were nuts for mentioning it The ever elusive CT River Valley jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 LOL a little early for amounts. Let's just try to figure out what this thing is going to try to do, first. Chuck up amounts early, let the track and evolution work itself out later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Yup. Been mentioned by James and Scoots et al I'm sure it must have been ... lest the contributors be less than adequate - ha. yeah, it may not mean much, but sometimes there are noticeable changes in system handling when stuff becomes less assimilated and actually detected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I'm sure it must have been ... lest the contributors be less than adequate - ha. yeah, it may not mean much, but sometimes there are noticeable changes in system handling when stuff becomes less assimilated and actually detected. Yup. I think we need to temper expectations until the parcels are in reality ville and have data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Chuck up amounts early, let the track and evolution work itself out later. I'm thinking 2.315" for your southern zones, with an isolated 3.197" at the summit of Mt Bigelow, ranging to 1.462" in central zones - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Chuck up amounts early, let the track and evolution work itself out later. So you think something like "lets plan for 12"+ amounts and we can always adjust up later if need be"....how does that sound? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So you think something like "lets plan for 12"+ amounts and we can always adjust up later if need be"....how does that sound? I was just going to say that. Start high and adjust up from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Yeah start high can always go higher if need be, Have to get the hype out to the public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So you think something like "lets plan for 12"+ amounts and we can always adjust up later if need be"....how does that sound? That's pretty spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I like the tone and way this discussion is going. This is what we've been asking for , for quite some time. There's energy and excitement and not just boring model disco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I like the tone and way this discussion is going. This is what we've been asking for , for quite some time. There's energy and excitement and not just boring model disco Hype and excitement is what the public craves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 94 dominating the CIPS analog list, remember when we were nuts for mentioning it lol@Tolland county winning big on that. I was living in DC at the time so I missed out on that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Another 18-22 for South Weymouth? OES . Wonder if Messenger will come back I was at work in South Weymouth in Jan. 1999 for that private 17" ocean effect snowstorm they had. That was probably a once in a lifetime event, as was the Blizzard of 1978 which I also had the pleasure of living through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 00z GFS looks nice. Not a blockbuster, but 6-10" event for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 00z GFS looks nice. Not a blockbuster, but 6-10" event for most. yeah, no longer showing the 3 days of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 yeah, no longer showing the 3 days of snow.gut says what we are seeing is a gradual transformation to a consolidated big tighter storm, more inflow, higher precip, more dynamics, it's cold. I would not worry about qpf either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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