Doorman Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Early Overview Split Weenies------ http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/ens/ens.html#us Guest View http://i23.photobucket.com/albums/b368/Doorman_/mar-4_zpsb47dde49.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I don't see strong SE ridging which is good, MJO certainly helps with that, but it's still a fine line between wet and frozen. The duration is incredible though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 12z GGEM snowmap shows 12+ for the NYC area Interesting. If the EURO were to show something similar this forum will explode. Of course even if it did, we are walking a tightrope with this system. So many variables with this setup. EURO just might show a MECS at 12z, only to lose it at 00z. I'm not saying thats going to happen, its just the tenuous pattern we're in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro is rolling in, I'll give you the blow by blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 For those complaining about BL issues or mixing problems I have just one question for you... What are you going to do next year when we go 3 weeks or more without even having something to track? That's normal winter for this area. I think next year will be a Mod El Nino, so we will have storms to track, at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Check out the GFS for the 6th-7th...the Canadian is now showing an AWESOME setup for that time frame too, but just something to keep on mind. Good 12z runs so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Check out the GFS for the 6th-7th...the Canadian is now showing an AWESOME setup for that time frame too, but just something to keep on mind. Good 12z runs so far... Yeah, OTS on the GFS. Lets keep that in the other thread for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Banter, but I already have a weekend trip to sugarbush planned. Worried ill have to head home sat night instead of Sunday to beat the weather.I'm not booking anything until last minute. It's possible this clobbers all of the greens. And yeah based on current trends leaving Sunday morning looks like a good call. My current plan is to leave very early Sunday before the storm ride Sunday afternoon and hopefully Monday unless its an all out blizzard in which case Monday off ride Tuesday.To much going on to set anything in stone but I think it's looking like the mountains see at minimum a moderate event. I hate slop storms more then anything here at home the agony of watching the snow wash away in heavy rain. Unfortunate that's this is looking that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm not booking anything until last minute. It's possible this clobbers all of the greens. And yeah based on current trends leaving Sunday morning looks like a good call. My current plan is to leave very early Sunday before the storm ride Sunday afternoon and hopefully Monday unless its an all out blizzard in which case Monday off ride Tuesday. To much going on to set anything in stone but I think it's looking like the mountains see at minimum a moderate event. I hate slop storms more then anything here at he the agony of watching the snow wash away in heavy rain. Unfortunate that's this is looking that way The 12z GGEM has less than 2" for all of Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Through hour 78 on the 12z ECMWF no major changes so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The 12z GGEM has less than 2" for all of Vermont.Anything is possible. Like I said I'm not booking till last minute. And Stowe sees 2" of upslope when the rest of ne is dry. That's why I always wanted to ride there.And going with this winters nw trend on all but the super suppressed storms I am not buying that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Anything is possible. Like I said I'm not booking till last minute. And Stowe sees 2" of upslope when the rest of ne is dry. That's why I always wanted to ride there. And going with this winters nw trend on all but the super suppressed storms I am not buying that This is courtesy of the polar vortex. The moisture can only get so far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Saturday night snow breaking out across the heartland. Moisture running from the Rockies through the mid-west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 EURO overall looks better, better confluence, more HP, we'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The Euro is flatter and this run has more confluence up north so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Differences are only small, which is typical for the Euro. Anyway light snow moving in Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Not much difference at all through hr 120. Look at SE Canada, and theres lower heights in SE CONUS, its a better run thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Look at SE Canada, and theres lower heights in SE CONUS, its a better run thus far This might end up like the GGEM. Looks like it through 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Moderate snow hour 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Look at SE Canada, and theres lower heights in SE CONUS, its a better run thus far See my edited post. Yes it's better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The ULL was in South Central Canada on 00z, its in SE Canada on 12z, way better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Moderate snow continues hour 132, looking like the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Arctic air is pushing its way down at 132 hours.This run is going to be a lot flatter than 0z. Great news for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm really interested in the following wave as well, this is def a huge step towards a snowstorm today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Light snow Sunday night, Strong low pressure over MS/AL, tons of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm really interested in the following wave as well, this is def a huge step towards a snowstorm today! Let snow/yankee handle here. Get to our forum and give us the goods...our usual people are gone, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Light snow Sunday night, Strong low pressure over MS/AL, tons of moisture. This run should whack this entire area. Cold all the way down to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Moderate snow moving back in hour 144. Low to TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Let snow/yankee handle here. Get to our forum and give us the goods...our usual people are gone, lol Hour 144 is ice for the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Hour 144 is ice for the DC area. Guess that's better than rain...which is what's likely to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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