WintersGrasp Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 How is this not a good look? The 00z euro was actually an inch or so of snow for NYC....it's big accumulations are well NW of NYC (12-18"). It is a huge interior storm. Not saying it's not possible, but right now this one doesn't really favor NYC Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 It's a freakin ensemble mean. I'm not posting snow totals here. To say that it was a close call for NYC or whatever is irrelevant. What I'm saying is how in your right mind can you toss a threat based off that look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The 00z euro was actually an inch or so of snow for NYC....it's big accumulations are well NW of NYC (12-18"). It is a huge interior storm. Not saying it's not possible, but right now this one doesn't really favor NYC Sent from my iPhone What they are discussing is the ensemble, not the OP. I agree that the setup is marginal at best for coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The whole point was to indicate that the Euro ensemble mean has a much better look than last nights op did. It could be an indication that the Euro op was in fact too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The 12z GFS looks like it will split the PV again. You can see it already trending that way as early as days 3-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 To put things into perspective, below are the number of 6" or greater snowstorms in New York City by month (1869-2014): November: 4 December: 36 January: 45 February: 66* March: 27 April: 7 *-Includes the February 28-March 1, 2005 snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The whole point was to indicate that the Euro ensemble mean has a much better look than last nights op did. It could be an indication that the Euro op was in fact too warm. I know what you meant yank i was more referring to it being a more fragile setup for coastal areas in comparison to inland areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I know what you meant yank i was more referring to it being a more fragile setup for coastal areas in comparison to inland areas. How many setups are not fragile situations for the immediate coastal plain? That's part of the cost of living by the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 How many setups are not fragile situations for the immediate coastal plain? That's part of the cost of living by the ocean. Yea i know and that goes for me year round with any type of storm . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The amount of energy in the Western United States on the GFS come Saturday is tremendous. The over running WAA snow literally stretches from the panhandle of Idaho to coastal Maine at hour 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 WAA snows beginning for our area Sunday morning. Hour 117 to be exact. Massive storm from the Rockies all the way to the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I agree not sure what exactly in climo he is referring to. Warmer temps as we are later in the winter? Not sure that just because we are later in the winter there is more propensity to cutting. I think I'm going to head up to Vermont for this one. Looking to score some sick uncrowned mountain time early next week. I'm looking a Stowe (never been) afraid that may be to far north if so it's Stratton which is one of my favorites Banter, but I already have a weekend trip to sugarbush planned. Worried ill have to head home sat night instead of Sunday to beat the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This storm is looking like it will come on Sunday now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Yea i know and that goes for me year round with any type of storm . The weather is usually a lot more boring over coastal Long Island than over NJ or inland-it goes with the territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 So far the PV is staying a bit more in tact this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The weather is usually a lot more boring over coastal Long Island than over NJ or inland-it goes with the territory. Believe me i know. Yank said it perfectly for summer storms " LI is like florida its where the storms go to die" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This storm is looking like it will come on Sunday now. It's a long, long, long duration event. Starts on Sunday morning per the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The weather is usually a lot more boring over coastal Long Island than over NJ or inland-it goes with the territory.We get stronger winds, coastal flooding and possible tropical landfalls. They get more snow, river flooding, more severe thunderstorms, warmer temps in the summer and more freezing rain. We live in a pretty active area where everyone sees something interesting. *plus we have the beach!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Less phasing from the PV this run. Ice problems for a lot of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This run is coming in slightly colder and further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Moderate to heavy snow hour 132 Rt. 78 and points north and west of NYC. LI is below zero at 850 but above freezing at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 850's continue to warm, surface staying cold, ice..ice.. baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This run is coming in much colder and flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Hour 138 moderate freezing rain for most of NNJ and borderline for the city, city probably in the low 30's to near freezing. LHV snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Hour 141 it cools aloft and north of I-80 flips back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The PV remains more in tact instead of phasing in. The end result is endless waves of over running snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain depending on your location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The freezing line stays right near NYC throughout the event so it's 100 percent colder on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 As the hours go on the main bands of precipitation continue to get forced further and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The PV remains more in tact instead of phasing in. The end result is endless waves of over running snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain depending on your location. This will change every run untill Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Across the central and eastern parts of the country, there is going to be a nice area of heavy snow and ice, stretching for thousands of miles Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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