Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 yesterday we were worried about it coming north and being too warm ..hopefully we don't get to the point where it trends too far south and we miss the heavy stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The 500mb ULL almost tries to create a secondary, could you imagine if that piece dug even farther? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So for those keeping score, that was snow from hour 96 to hour 153+ with a 6-9 hour break on Sunday. Fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Could be some wrap around snow showers well into Tuesday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Snow totals are irrelevant at this point...not worth looking at a million maps and algorithims especially at this range. But the setup as modeled on the GFS advertises for a broad area of 1-2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This storm starts on Sunday and doesn't end until Wednesday on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So many people analyzing - can someone do a summary of amounts and times of snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 That northern shortwave that dives down could actually be bad where it could squash the overrunning, forcing the cold front south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Could be some wrap around snow showers well into Tuesday evening. ahhhh don't mention that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Right now the insane northern stream energy is being shown to shear out what's left of the southern stream vort. If the two could end up phasing the last wave to come through would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Snow totals are irrelevant at this point...not worth looking at a million maps and algorithims especially at this range. But the setup as modeled on the GFS advertises for a broad area of 1-2 feet. Agreed. I would love to see 50+ hours of snowfall, regardless of intensity. Any ideas on records for that type of thing (granted, it looked like a break on Sunday). Uncle w? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Snow totals are irrelevant at this point...not worth looking at a million maps and algorithims especially at this range. But the setup as modeled on the GFS advertises for a broad area of 1-2 feet. agreed. this storm has a VERY broad of impact as well that is just as impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So many people analyzing - can someone do a summary of amounts and times of snowfall? I would be very reluctant to give a total forecast until Saturday. This is such a volatile setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Right now the insane northern stream energy is being shown to shear out what's left of the southern stream vort. If the two could end up phasing the last wave to come through would be epic. Not to weenie out, but the GFS was close to showing something, very special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 That northern shortwave that dives down could actually be bad where it could squash the overrunning, forcing the cold front south. Yeah. This. Agreed. This is right where you want it with some upside, but seeing it tick S is worrisome with so much time to go. I think it was jm yesterday that mentioned that these do tend to tick back N at the very end. So keeping it somewhat like this for a few more runs would certainly be encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS tries to create a secondary storm on the stalled front with the diving 500mb low, that would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Right now the insane northern stream energy is being shown to shear out what's left of the southern stream vort. If the two could end up phasing the last wave to come through would be epic. if you look its really not that far off from doing that but if it does oh boy it would be nothing short of weenie's wet dream. having the GFS east with the wave development off the coast isn't too concerning but not sure if the S&E bias would apply to this however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Not to weenie out, but the GFS was close to showing something, very special. Yeah. You see 1-2' with that but there's a massive slug of moisture still out there off the NC/VA coast that doesn't make it here. If that's able to interact. Yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 caboose wave I spoke about earlier Yup, nice call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Not to weenie out, but the GFS was close to showing something, very special. What it did show was very special, even if the last wave ends up largely weak and sheared out. I'm still favoring the Euro look which is more consolidated at the backend which would bring a burst of heavier snow Monday night, and also cause things to wrap up a bit faster than what the GFS is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 :o anyone looking at these snowfall maps for a system that has (at best) 0.5'-1"/hr rates in early March is fooling themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 12z GFS at 144hr and 150hr. Ridge pops up out west and that causes the PV lobe to drop: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Needed. A weeniebell map for FB.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 15+ from the Instantweather snow map for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 QPF once the bulk of the precipitation has departed: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 anyone looking at these snowfall maps for a system that has (at best) 0.5'-1"/hr rates in early March is fooling themselves. What? It's a long duration system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 anyone looking at these snowfall maps for a system that has (at best) 0.5'-1"/hr rates in early March is fooling themselves. Sigh. Dude it will stick if this storm happens. Look at today!! It's going to be in the 20s if the Euro and GFS are correct. And yes it will melt quicker than it would earlier in the season. But if you don't think this snow will stick if the storm happens the way the models show it, I don't know what to tell you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 anyone looking at these snowfall maps for a system that has (at best) 0.5'-1"/hr rates in early March is fooling themselves.It amazes me that people like you are treating this as if it were April already. The antecedent air mass is more typical of January and the sun angle will have little to no effect. Maybe in Manhatten proper which always has sticking issues. UHI factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 What? It's a long duration system. Exactly! A long duration system with 1-1.25" of qpf equates to low rates. We have seen this story before folks this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.