MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro is a mix to heavy snow for the area. Snowmap shows around 12 inches for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 It snows a whole day less on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro is a mix to heavy snow for the area. Snowmap shows around 12 inches for the area. 100% starts as rain verbatim..then a brief mix..then snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 100% starts as rain verbatim..then a brief mix..then snow. Rain with the freezing line crossing NYC? Doubt that. This run is a smidge warmer but nothing major. Great run for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Total qpf is 1.25-1.5 area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Rain with the freezing line crossing NYC? Doubt that. Look at hr 114 it's def light rain..Surface temps 37-41 area wide except the Hudson Valley and nwnj which are in the mid 30s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Rain with the freezing line crossing NYC? Doubt that. Its almost 40 at 18z sunday when precip moves in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantBlizzard2003 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Its almost 40 at 18z sunday when precip moves Can't believe anyone is using the EURO for temps this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Its almost 40 at 18z sunday when precip moves in Yes because it's light precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Can't believe anyone is using the EURO for temps this far out. No we were both responding to a statement. We are speaking verbatim. Would you rather us not update on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Bottom line the Light rain to start is not the story but the moderate to heavy snow during the height of the storm per this run.. nothing to really argue about as the bulk of the storm is frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 No we were both responding to a statement. We are speaking verbatim. Would you rather us not update on the Euro? Euro starts out warm and then temps fall as the boundary layer collapses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro starts out warm and then temps fall as the boundary layer collapses. Hr 114 light rain moves in Hr 120 light to mod precip. 850mb 0 line is running through nyc and LI with temps in the low 30s ..upper 20s in NWNJ hr 126. Light snow..Surface below freezing for all and 850mb temps below freezing for anyone north of TTN Hr 132 light snow with temps in the mid 20s except the NJ shore is 30-31 hr 138 heavy snow nw of i95 mod snow nyc..Light snow s and e of there..NJ shore is sleet probably hr 144 heavy snow for all. 1002 mb low 100+ miles east of Delaware hr 150 light snow for all. Temps in the teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 6z GFS is a cabin crusher. Wow. 2 feet in the Poconos and NNJ. It snow forever!!! Like 111 to 153! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 6z GFS is a cabin crusher. Wow. 2 feet in the Poconos and NNJ. It snow forever!!! Like 111 to 153! There will be an axis of heavy snow, where does it eventually set up? 50 miles either way means a difference between 1' and 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 There will be an axis of heavy snow, where does it eventually set up? 50 miles either way means a difference between 1' and 1". Of course, but this axis of 12"+ is the entire state of PA into Southern NY. PA alone is 180 miles from N to S and it is well into NY --- so the axis is huge, quite frankly. There will also be that cutoff where someone gets fringed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightknights Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Talk Cabin crusher on 3/2 not 2/26 many things can change and will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Talk Cabin crusher on 3/2 not 2/26 many things can change and will change Seriously? I said the run was a Cabin Crusher. It was. I am well aware things will change, but that run was worth that analogy. Nothing more, nothing less was said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Besides the one blip 18z run, pretty amazing how all other recent gfs runs and the euro have placed the front essentially within 20 miles of all other runs. 6z gfs was amazing with 12" or so very long duration event with another storm right on its heels... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 6z gfs total qpf...mostly snow north of the m/d line. I'll take it: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The CIPS pays tribute to the Feb 94 analog due to the possible pattern that is being shown. We'll have to see the models hold serve as we get to within a few days. But at least the potential is there if all the pieces correctly fall into place. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=GFS212&fhr=F120&flg= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The coastal after the WAA snows is a huge wildcard right now. If it can really get going then we could easily see a lot more snow than currently depicted. Of course there's still plenty of things that can go wrong but the PV looks good, the extent of the cold is impressive, and there's no big phased system which is exactly what we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 6z was a nice weenie run. Has the followup system then a few more threats and more pv grazing thru mid month before finally retrograding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro ens are a beautiful hit for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is going to be one of the tougher storms to track for meteorologists, a LOT can change, but you gotta love the epic duration a lot are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro ens are a beautiful hit for the area How about down our way in the PHL area? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 How about down our way in the PHL area? Thanks They have cooled off from 12z looks like the brunt of the storm Monday is mostly snow from Phl-north. Again I can't see mid levels etc..just surface. South and east of Phl has issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 They have cooled off from 12z looks like the brunt of the storm Monday is mostly snow from Phl-north. Again I can't see mid levels etc..just surface. South and east of Phl has issues Thanks for the update, would like to continue to see them stay that way or cool off more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Haven't heard anyone mention the ukmet? What's it showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I don't have UKMET precip maps, but 500mb looks really favorable for frozen precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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