Geos Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 For eastern IA, southern WI and northwest IN, the Euro puts its eggs in the Friday and Saturday-Saturday night basket. Still pretty good here, about 0.4" liquid and Saturday looks like it would be high ratio fluff with some potential for lake enhancement. Probably 4-6" sort of deal in the LOT CWA and eastern IA, southern WI between Friday and Saturday. Sent from my SCH-I535 How good are the Delta Ts for enhancement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 How good are the Delta Ts for enhancement? Water temps are approximately 32-34, and the Euro shows 850 mb temps cooling to -18 to -19 and even colder in the low to mid -20s at the end of the fetch. So delta of at least 18C in northeast IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol 18z NAM with a big event Friday night here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol 18z NAM with a big event Friday night here. Band of half inch qpf in northern IL and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Band of half inch qpf in northern IL and still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif Lock this one in for cyclone. Almost 0.6" liquid on this run for the QCA. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 It'll be interesting to watch the sun angle with this storm (somebody had to bring it up). There should be little to no effect during times of moderate/heavy rates but I'm wondering what lighter rates will be like. This looks like it could be a fairly cold storm for this time of year so light rates may be less of an issue than usual at this time of year especially if we are talking about snow falling on top of preexisting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol, NAM and doubt we have to worry about the sun here given the combo of being deep in the cold sector and super cold surface temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Rather see that now than later. What are the odds a sleet solution holds for 5 days? IND all in apparently. Sunday: Sleet likely. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night: A chance of sleet. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 50% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 IND all in apparently. Sunday: Sleet likely. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night: A chance of sleet. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 50% haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol, NAM and doubt we have to worry about the sun here given the combo of being deep in the cold sector and super cold surface temps Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 zzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 zzzzz you're def way too far north for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 you're def way too far north for this one. Maybe for the last wave, but GFS/NAM/SREF both have 5+ for the 1st wave here. Even the more suppressed EURO/GGEM have 5+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 18z GFS close to mostly rain here. Looks like another domestic vs foreign battle may be shaping up. Hopefully the GFS is as clueless with this one, as it was with the Feb 4-5 storm. Predicted snowfall inside 120 hours... Actual snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 IND all in apparently. Sunday: Sleet likely. Cloudy, with a high near 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Night: A chance of sleet. Cloudy, with a low around 12. Chance of precipitation is 50% Well that would be something. Even GHD didn't really look like sleetmageddon 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 So is this a Saturday/Monday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 So is this a Saturday/Monday event? Pretty much...maybe can include late Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Well that would be something. Even GHD didn't really look like sleetmageddon 5 days out. I was surprised at the confidence 5 days out. I mean, not even a sleet likely with a chance of snow type of forecast. Eh, not going to get too worried about precipitation type at this stage. In due time, things will sort themselves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro would indicate a 2-4" event Fri night for here, followed by a 1-2" type event Sat night/Sun morning. This would be similar to numerous other events this season here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 GEFS have a lot of interesting solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Blackhawks/Penguins game at Soldier Field Saturday afternoon could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 GEFS have a lot of interesting solutions. rain, big dogs, misses south, it's all there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 rain, big dogs, misses south, it's all there I'd toss any rain ones, i know the 0c line at 850mb gets close to you and I on a couple of them but those would definitely be sleet or freezing rain. Basically what it is potentially showing for LAF now would just be shifted north. I think the bigger takeaway is that none of them have a non event for the region as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Blackhawks/Penguins game at Soldier Field Saturday afternoon could be interesting. Going to be interesting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Blackhawks/Penguins game at Soldier Field Saturday afternoon could be interesting. I went to the winter classic in ann arbor on new years day during that snowstorm. it's pretty cool to be watching a hockey game in a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 While we can still get big dogs with an open/positive tilt trough, our region's big dogs typically either take on a negative tilt or close off aloft. It will certainly go along with seasonal trends if this storm remains an open wave and refuses to wrap moisture around into the cold sector (like the GFS shows). Even the Polar Vortex Blizzard struggled to get a good trowal/deformation axis going. But I would like to see at least one highly-amped/closed-off/vertically-stacked system cut through the Eastern Lakes/Ohio Valley this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 BTW, I'm referring to something like this: versus this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Pretty much...maybe can include late Friday so, help me on GHD....did we have those cold of temps and sleet? Meaning, they are saying a low of 12 and sleet...not disagreeing just trying to understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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