Sidewinder Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Last nine GFS 84 hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Last nine GFS 84 hour This is awesome, thanks for doing this~! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Only through 48 hours but gotta love these differences. namgfs.png Consistency has been just horrible. Probably the worst all winter at this stage in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Latest sref plumes knocked down 0.25" liquid at Indy. Is the Euro coming up soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Latest sref plumes knocked down 0.25" liquid at Indy. Is the Euro coming up soon? Starts running around 1 AM EST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Consistency has been just horrible. Probably the worst all winter at this stage in the game. NAM seems like an outlier at this point. Have to think that offices in MO to OH will tend to shy away from it but the morning afd's will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 With so much uncertainty here in OH, do you think they upgrade the watch area to Warning Criteria or not tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Fwiw, the GEFS mean is north of the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 NAM seems like an outlier at this point. Have to think that offices in MO to OH will tend to shy away from it but the morning afd's will be interesting. I guess if any of the offices were giving credit to the NAM, then the area would be under a winter storm watch by now. LOT still not putting any headlines out so far, except the SWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 For some of the folks in MO/IN/OH, there's still the NOGAPS on your side, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z NMM/ARW Snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hi-Res NAM is south of the OP NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro still the driest model with wave 2. It did however gain a bit of QPF along the northern fringes compared to 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Based on the 00z suite I see no reason to deviate from the earlier 2-3" call for here/QC. Thinking 2.5" is a pretty decent call for here at this point. Still possible the 12z runs will come in wetter, but I ain't holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 No numbers, no expectations over here. I'm just gonna enjoy whatever falls. Whether it's 1, 3, 6, whatever. Gonna laugh at the models & live in the snow-ment (so bad it's good). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Don't have the greatest confidence in my call right now but don't have enough confidence to lower it yet either. Hopefully our Pac system getting into the RAOB network will make enough of a difference to where the Sunday wave trends more favorably here and we can end up on the higher side of things as opposed to something less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Don't have the greatest confidence in my call right now but don't have enough confidence to lower it yet either. Hopefully our Pac system getting into the RAOB network will make enough of a difference to where the Sunday wave trends more favorably here and we can end up on the higher side of things as opposed to something less. I'mma be honest, with the way these loops are, is anyone sure? Not meant to be disrespectful, but I don't think any of us can honestly say what we're getting. The NAM has been north every run and ridiculously so last run with the snow, preferring to move the mix? farther north than everyone else. Really thinking the rain-snow line might run through Springfield. Meanwhile, the GFS has been jumping all over the place but has a trend of coming east and tempering its expectations. The hi-res NAM is apparently extremely south, and the NMM looks somewhat like the GFS except the big band looks to hit Quincy and Rushville instead of the GFS's target, northeast Missouri. At this point, do we even have sampling? Look, I can't believe I'm the one saying this, but I'm gonna kick back, relax, and stick with my 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6z NAM trying to keep Ohio in the game. Wave #2 farther north and wetter. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014030106&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=057 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 6z NAM and 4km NAM really stall the band out here overnight into Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I'd be pleased with 5" out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 The snow that fell overnight was enough to cover everything. Haven't been outside yet but considering the forecast was for less than .5" I'd say wave 1 did a little better than expected imby. P&C for today increased to 3-7". Still plenty if uncertainty even at this late stage. But I'm just gonna enjoy what falls today and hope this is it for the season. I'm going anti-weenie today: 3.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Picked up 0.3" from the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Quite the forecast out of LOT I was not expecting to see a widespread 4-6 like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Quite the forecast out of LOT TotalSnow_Fcst.png I was not expecting to see a widespread 4-6 like that. ALE is going to bust low again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 LOT riding with me on my 6.1 call: CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. TONIGHT SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 5 TO 7 INCHES. LOWS 8 TO 12 ABOVE. NORTH WINDS 10 TO Going to some surprises good and bad with this set up. Will interesting to see the winners and losers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLMKA Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I'm sitting in Quincy for the weekend, feeling pretty good about a decent snowstorm, even brought my XC skis with me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Final call for my fby: 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Ind AFD... A CAVEAT FOR PLACES LIKE LAF AND OKK ON SUNDAY NIGHT...COLDER AND DRY AIR WORKING IN FROM THE NORTH MAY HELP TO CREATE A SHARP CUT-OFF FOR PRECIPITATION AREAS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA...AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY NOT GET THE OPPORTUNITY TO PARTICIPATE IN THE SECOND ROUND OF SNOWFALL ON SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL TREND AMOUNTS A LITTLE LOWER IN THESE LOCATIONS BECAUSE OF THIS. THUS SUMMING UP...LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS NORTH BECAUSE OF DRY AIR INTRUDING LATE...LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS SOUTH BECAUSE OF WARM AIR ALOFT PRODUCING FREEZING RAIN EARLY...AND STICKING WITH THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE I-70 CORRIDOR FOR BEING IN THE SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 this is gonna bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 0.5"-1" today then 2-4" tonight. 2-5" totals for the Detroit area is my call. 3.4" for DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.