ryanthunder Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:48 PM, A-L-E-K said: 12z GEFS follow the OP and are south across the board. Link to image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:39 PM, Mottster said: Here in Indy and the other is location in Bethlehem, PA. Ah, yes...both look good. On 2/28/2014 at 5:44 PM, Hoosier said: My first call for LAF is 7-10" with some potential upside All in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:48 PM, A-L-E-K said: 12z GEFS follow the OP and are south across the board. Yeah was just looking. Was hoping not to see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:48 PM, A-L-E-K said: 12z GEFS follow the OP and are south across the board. I'm not trying to be snarky, but they also agreed with the 6z run. Seems like it's follow the leader...which really makes them kinda useless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 As tired as I am of snow, I still find myself subconsciously hating any south trend. Can't beat out the snow weenie. Still riding my call of 5.6" for ORD from a couple days back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:54 PM, Chicago WX said: I'm not trying to be snarky, but they also agreed with the 6z run. Seems like it's follow the leader...which really makes them kinda useless. yeah, i totally agree that has been the case for quite a few runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 BTW, the 12z JMA took away the whole sub-forum big dog. Annndddd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 12z Euro, initially, looks better at 500mb than the GFS. Slight change from its 0z run, may nudge south. I'm hoping (and think) it's not as drastic as the 12z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:58 PM, Chicago WX said: BTW, the 12z JMA took away the whole sub-forum big dog. Annndddd... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:58 PM, Chicago WX said: BTW, the 12z JMA took away the whole sub-forum big dog. Annndddd... Still has over a foot from IND to CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:58 PM, Chicago WX said: BTW, the 12z JMA took away the whole sub-forum big dog. Annndddd... Still great for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 5:55 PM, A-L-E-K said: yeah, i totally agree that has been the case for quite a few runs now I followed the third piece of energy way south on the GFS.. Not much discussion on what it showed for Sat night event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 My first call for Louisville is 0.25-0.50 of freezing rain, an inch of sleet, and 3-6 inches of snow. It's just going to be a complete slop fest. But I'm thinking the freezing rain threat is going down here. I'd much rather have sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:02 PM, Baum said: I followed the third piece of energy way south on the GFS.. Not much discussion on what it showed for Sat night event.. same old 1-4" it has been showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Euro looks south & SLP looks weak, at least to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:08 PM, RJSnowLover said: Euro looks south & SLP looks weak, at least to my eye. We're building some consensus on a south solution for the 3rd wave...shifts north are possible but it's looking increasingly unlikely. Saturday night will be the event for Chicagoland. My call is looking $$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:09 PM, A-L-E-K said: My call is looking $$$ Alek, what's your call - must have missed it? I think a moderate event (3"-6") is a safe bet across the Chicago metro. 4.8" at ORD is my call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Sure has been some north to south wobbling and vice versa from run to run on most models. Not totally unexpected I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:14 PM, tuanis said: Alek, what's your call - must have missed it? I think a moderate event (3"-6") is a safe bet across the Chicago metro. 4.8" at ORD is my call. 2-5 area wide, 4 IMBY, so we're in the same ballpark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Preliminary afternoon zone totals from the NWS briefing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 12z GEFS individual 72 hour QPF totals through 0z Tuesday. Still some spread in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:20 PM, Chicago WX said: 12z GEFS individual 72 hour QPF totals through 0z Tuesday. Still some spread in places. 2:28 12z gefs 72 hr QPF totals.gif What's the link to those total qpf maps? I tried looking before and couldn't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:24 PM, Hoosier said: What's the link to those total qpf maps? I tried looking before and couldn't find it. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallmref.html "72-HOUR PCN ACCUM - EAST US" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Right now Id say 2-5" is a good call for SE MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Skilling going with a usual big range 3-8" area wide. RPM was jacked with 7-8" area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:15 PM, A-L-E-K said: 2-5 area wide, 4 IMBY, so we're in the same ballpark Sounds about right, I'd go with the same. Wish we could've seen that north trend like January 4-6 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:32 PM, michsnowfreak said: Right now Id say 2-5" is a good call for SE MI. That's quite optimistic. I'm probably looking at an inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:35 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Skilling going with a usual big range 3-8" area wide. RPM was jacked with 7-8" area wide. is that mostly Sat night like the NAM/NMM/ARW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:35 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Skilling going with a usual big range 3-8" area wide. RPM was jacked with 7-8" area wide. Hate such big ranges. Also, he must be confident in LES setup to throw an 8" top range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 On 2/28/2014 at 6:38 PM, A-L-E-K said: is that mostly Sat night like the NAM/NMM/ARW? Yes, it was a miss to the south for 3rd wave. Besides maybe a half inch late tonight, this is strictly with Saturday night into Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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