chris87 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 it's not even that big of a surprise...models started to hone in 36 hours ago and all showed measurable in the 0.05" range..not sure why "flurries". It was clear we would get at least some steady light snow...and the short range guidance confirmed that last night...that we would see a few hours of snow....in the end, snow really isnt a big deal, so I kind of like that they arent making a big deal out of it true, I was using "surprise" as more of what you'd expect to hear from someone who ignored guidance and played the other bet -- i also love that's its not a big deal -- it was great seeing the neighborhood children line up at the bus stop, looking baffled as though it was ridiculous that they'd be headed to school while snow was actively falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This convo is going to be silly when it all melts by 2 o'clockNo one is saying this is going to be a huge bust akin to 1/25/00. But that doesn't mean one should ignore or make a lazy forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This convo is going to be silly when it all melts by 2 o'clock h8ers gonna h8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 More often than not we do better when lwx downplays. I love their forecast. Keep up the good work. I like their call for less than a half inch tonight and tomorrow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Sure, but at what point do you disregard short range guidance that has actually done a half decent job this winter?I dunno. I was 'wrong' on this one myself at least IMBY. I favored n and w also. An event like this lies right along the weakness envelope in so many ways other than it being cold aloft. All of a sudden short range models that are derided are the best and forecasters suck because 0.1" liquid is a tricky game. I wasn't paying enough attention this morning to say how bad the nowcasting was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I dunno. I was 'wrong' on this one myself at least IMBY. I favored n and w also. An event like this lies right along the weakness envelope in so many ways other than it being cold aloft. All of a sudden short range models that are derided are the best and forecasters suck because 0.1" liquid is a tricky game. I wasn't paying enough attention this morning to say how bad the nowcasting was. I wasn't referring to you, literally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 So, do we need to revisit tomorrow's little "non-event"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 SN with about half an inch so far. More then I expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Light snow about .3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I wasn't referring to you, literally.I know.. I think verbatim the models did fairly well as of late last night at least. We have such a long history of 1" snow events failing its hard to ignore. Hindsight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I think some of us should top an inch today....and just after I say this I'm already over 1"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Does Manchester have two feet from this storm yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Does Manchester have two feet from this storm yet? I think this is the first time Sparky and High Stakes can use their dustbusters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 1/2 mi Viz.....29, 0.5" just measured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Does Manchester have two feet from this storm yet? Not quite.... ***********************STORM TOTAL ICE*********************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS ICE OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT MARYLAND ...ALLEGANY COUNTY... OLDTOWN T 827 AM CUMBERLAND T 743 AM ...CARROLL COUNTY... MANCHESTER 5.9 813 AM PUBLIC ...FREDERICK COUNTY... FREDERICK T 750 AM EMMITSBURG T 744 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I got maybe .1" so far in Harford County. Still more than I thought I'd get. Maybe I could get .5"??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 it's ripping here...just not sure how long I can stay under the fat returns...want 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 it's ripping here...just not sure how long I can stay under the fat returns...want 1" the back edge up here has been some of the better rates this morning so you may make it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 RAP is showing the 0.1"/hr band now...lol...says we are done a little after 1pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vern Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good ground covering here in Crystal City. I am directly across the GW Pkwy from DCA, so they should have measurable precip unless a couple hundred yards makes a quantum difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 4 km NAM has 0.21" at DCA tomorrow morning with half of that falling by 12z and temperatures in the 28-29 range. simulated reflectivity has a nice band over us at 12z. The combination of an earlier start, decent rates, and colder temperatures could make for an ugly rush hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 the back edge up here has been some of the better rates this morning so you may make it yeah...unless it all moves quickly south...it's going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 It's lightened here quite a bit from peak but still decent. Past .75" but gotta go to work eventually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good ground covering here in Crystal City. I am directly across the GW Pkwy from DCA, so they should have measurable precip unless a couple hundred yards makes a quantum difference. They probably have like 0.3"..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 NWS DC/Baltimore @NWS_BaltWash 3m Flurries have become persistent snow shwrs east of I-81. Snow may accumulate a coating to a half inch in most places. Watch for slick spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 It's lightened here quite a bit from peak but still decent. Past .75" but gotta go to work eventually I'm working from "home".....I'll measure and you can tack on the usual since you live in a better spot than me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Perfect snow for pictures. Not a pain in the a$$ to walk around in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaSnow Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good ground covering here in Crystal City. I am directly across the GW Pkwy from DCA, so they should have measurable precip unless a couple hundred yards makes a quantum difference. Agreed. Also in Crystal City. DCA tower is 1/4 mile from my window. I can see it, but it's a very snowy view. Visibility under 1/2 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm working from "home".....I'll measure and you can tack on the usual since you live in a better spot than me Last measurements on way to metro looks like right about 1".. So still coming down good prior measure was like 25 min ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Awesome snow this AM! I am covered in white and up to .5" - I see the radar showing the cut off coming this way, but it has been great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.