high risk Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Pretty awful RAP run coming. I don't understand this. The 03z RAP is 0.13" for DCA and 0.18" for BWI. It's been fairly consistent all evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I still have really solid snow coverage in a lot of spots....and in others it's crappy, but overall impressed with the lack of melting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I have snow where the sun don't shine. Softball for rR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 4Z RAP is back to the weenie 23Z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I have snow where the sun don't shine. Softball for rR You have snow in your apartment . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 4z rap boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 we all hug the short range models way too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 we all hug the short range models way too much.You just cited the 4z RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 You just cited the 4z RAP. check pronouns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Now I see why the models are printing out so little qpf. All the convection down south is robbing Peter (our scant snow tonight) in order to pay Paul (all the torrential rain in the Deep South). There is so damn much convection down south that some of those returns are about to turn red. You could probably go on a decent storm chase down there lol. This makes sense. THIS is the storm that will just give us a dusting. It really is sad. We're model chasing for a dusting. I need a new hobby. Next!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Now I see why the models are printing out so little qpf. All the convection down south is robbing Peter (our scant snow tonight) in order to pay Paul (all the torrential rain in the Deep South). There is so damn much convection down south that some of those returns are about to turn red. You could probably go on a decent storm chase down there lol. This makes sense. THIS is the storm that will just give us a dusting. It really is sad. We're model chasing for a dusting. I need a new hobby. Next!!!! I srsly hope this is a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I srsly hope this is a joke. It is. It's simple reverse psychology, and it will work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 It is. It's simple reverse psychology, and it will work I thought I was pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The band developing over Virginia is intensifying. Has anyone from Fredericksburg Va to Silver Spring MD reported any snow reaching the ground yet? Temp in Dale City is 28 with a dewpoint of 22. There really is not much of a problem with overcoming dry air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 28/20 with one hell of a virga flizzard. It's been virga flizzarding for 2 hours now. This has been by far the most exciting, most satisfying snowstorm I have ever experienced Probably the most telling thing about this "snowstorm" this morning, are all of the crickets chirping in this thread. Everyone is in bed sleeping the sleep of the just. Because the models printed out so little moisture. It just goes to show you, the best snows are always the unexpected, like yesterday's surprise. Yesterday there was a 40 percent chance of a stray flurry. Then we get 4 inches of wet snow and a hell of a shock. Then today's is forecasted...........and we have cloudy skies and fifteen mile visibilities and everyone is in bed because the storm is virga lmao I dont know why I never learn. Why in the hell do I stay up all night for virga? Why dont I ever learn? After forty years in Washington you'd think I'd of learned somethings by now. I got no life. I need a truckload of help and a new hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Hopefully it will moisten up for you Jebman..good luck down there. Thanks. The relative humidity is about 80 percent This is why we get so jaded down here lol. I got all surprised by 4 inches of snow yesterday. Then I started believin'. I can't imagine why. All Northern Virginians and Washingtonians have a healthy dose of skepticism. Tonight is why we get so skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is time sensitive. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full.php Green bands are developing to the EAST of DCA. The lighter blue returns have been west of DC. The stronger green returns have been east of DC. Someone should check the Rap and HRRR. Those models will illustrate my theory that the brunt of this storm will be east and northeast of DC. I think the brunt of this "snowstorm" will probably be east of DCA and east of my backyard. This could be Wes' chance for good accumulating snows. The greens are coalescing into one big green blob east of DC. Those communities will get steady snows into the morning AS for communities west of DC, such as Dale City, forty years of living here has very clearly illustrated the stark fact that when snow starts late - we usually dont get it. At least we get to enjoy cool refreshing weather for a few days but this storm is out of gas. This is very good news for the morning commute, dry roads and ppl get to work on time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 There's some more greens to the west southwest headed our way, but it remains to be seen if we even see flurries. The onset is already very late - the most I'll see will probably be a few stray flurries, if that. Once that sun comes up, we wont accumulate much, but then again, flurries dont accumulate much anyway. I've adjusted my expectations to seeing about seven small pixie dust crystals of snow on my car top and then they melt. The returns out west of us have been weakening in the past three hours as well. This ULL is a dud, a real letdown. We're not even going to get the .01 qpf the models printed out. New Washington winter rule: When you get an unexpected overperformer, the next snowstorm always underperforms. Never forget this. The total effect of this nonperformer sorry excuse for a snowstorm is this: Clouds kept the temps up tonight. Our low is 29. Today we will overshoot MOS and hit 50 degrees. I will lose the little snow I got yesterday and cry a river. Some -NAO. We were better off without it. 508am: Three hours after forecast onset of snow. Not even a flurry. This sob is drier than a popcorn fart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 RAP showing it (if anything) won't get going for another hour and a half in DC. If it doesn't start out here at Dulles in the next hour, I call bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 well whaddaya know. I cant believe I have some flurries. I actually have 59 small snowflakes on my car top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Snowing and sticking immediately here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Snow started about 45 minutes ago here, sticking to everything. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Off to a quick start in Dundalk. Snowing pretty solidly despite weak radar returns, streets covered and 26 degrees. Beautiful. Hopefully a few bands will really start to pick up, but as I said last night, high ratios seem to be a part of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 SN to mod SN driving into work this morning. Seeing it stick to untreated areas so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Why are people calling bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Radar starting to light up nicely, latest HRRR is relatively juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I'm really impressed with the rates here in Dundalk, despite 10-15dbz returns. Sure its not SN+, but its bordering actual snow now, with tons of small flakes. High ratio snowfall for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 27.6 degrees & SN. Hoping my classes are canceled today..so tired. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Why are people calling bust? because now people expect another overperformer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Flurries at home, my drive in should be a blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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