Chinook Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Its almost a lock that this year will feature substantially more record lows than highs. Only one way to go next year..... I remember last winter having such a great ending, I thought there was no way that would be topped this year, but this winter was good from start to end. Front, Middle and Back loaded winter with a bit of "Overtime Bonus". ha ha. Last year IMBY, it snowed several times in April, and also on May 1st. That brought us to 79" here in 2012-2013 at the foot of the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 26, 2014 Author Share Posted March 26, 2014 Forget that it's weatherbell, forget that it's 10 days out...and yes it's probably crap. ...but it's just the point that we are still seeing this kind of crap.... Unreal. (btw, that's the 12z ggem run) I've got to admit their maps are pretty silly. Especially when it lumps sleet and freezing rain as all snow. Probably end up being a sub 4" storm, if it survives on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 I use the CoCoRaHS method. If 1/2 or more of the ground is covered, average depth is used. If less than 1/2 of the ground is covered, report a trace. However, I had a few days this winter where even though more than half the ground was bare, there was so much depth in places where snow covered remained, that I reported an inch of depth. This is because if the remaining snow was spread evenly across the ground, that would be the depth. It is a combination of measuring, estimation, and experience. Thanks for the info. Based on that criteria, the snowcover streak started Nov 23rd and is still going strong - 123 days and counting. Backyard is at least 90% covered and the front still has 100% coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Today was lousier than expected. The forecast called for upper 40s, but we came up short. Add in the strong wind and it was quite cold yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 OT but nice warned cell west of Chico, CA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 OT but nice warned cell west of Chico, CA Two are warned now. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=dax&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no --- Just realized it's getting pretty dry in some areas of our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 For those who are still holding out for that record, did you see DTX's latest aviation update? 000FXUS63 KDTX 270356AFDDTXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI1156 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2014.AVIATION...//DISCUSSION...AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGHAPPROACHING FROM THE MID MS VALLEY WILL RESULT IN SLOWLY LOWERINGCEILING HEIGHTS AND INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES DURING THE COURSE OFTHE MORNING. GIVEN THE ABUNDANCE OF LOW LEVEL DRY AIR...CEILINGS ARELIKELY TO REMAIN IN THE VFR CATEGORY THROUGH THE MORNING ANDPOSSIBLY INTO PORTIONS OF THE AFTERNOON. THE LATEST MODEL SOUNDINGSHAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY COLDER THURS MORNING. SO WHILE SFCTEMPERATURES MAY BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING...THE ONSET OFPRECIP LATE THURS MORNING IS LIKELY TO COME IN THE FORM OF LIGHTSNOW. A RAPID CHANGE OVER TO ALL RAIN IS THEN EXPECTED AROUND 18Z ASWARMER AIR ALOFT OVERSPREADS SE MI AND SFC TEMPS RISE THROUGH THEUPPER 30S. RAIN WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE MID/LATEAFTERNOON THURS WITH THE APPROACH OF ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGHAND THE NORTHWARD ADVANCEMENT OF A SURFACE WARM FRONT.FOR DTW...THE ONSET OF PRECIP INTO METRO DETROIT /EXPECTED IN THE 15TO 18Z TIME FRAME/ WILL EITHER BY A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR ALL SNOW FOR ACOUPLE HOURS BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO RAIN OCCURS. CONFIDENCEREMAINS A LITTLE LOW AS TO WHETHER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SNOW TO COATSURFACES PRIOR TO THE CHANGE OVER TO RAIN.//DTW THRESHOLD THREATS...* MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON SNOW OR RAIN/SNOW MIX BETWEEN 15Z AND 18Z.HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL RAIN AFTER 18Z.* HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CEILINGS AT OR BELOW 5000 FT AFTER 15Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 For those who are still holding out for that record, did you see DTX's latest aviation update? Every penny helps at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 4.5" since late night. 2" per hour rates around 530 this morning. Looks pretty but that's the only positive thing I have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Every penny helps at this point. Only 0.3" needed to tie at Flint ... hoping to get 0.5" but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 4.5" since late night. 2" per hour rates around 530 this morning. Looks pretty but that's the only positive thing I have to say. I looked yesterday and Petoskey needed 10" to get their snowfall record. Hope they can break their record this year!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 I looked yesterday and Petoskey needed 10" to get their snowfall record. Hope they can break their record this year!!!They probably only need 6 or 7" now.Active pattern in place so maybe a few sneaky Wet snows in the next couple weeks. Impressive snow this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 -RN and windy conditions here this morning. All traces of the snow from Monday night have dissipated now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 They probably only need 6 or 7" now. Active pattern in place so maybe a few sneaky Wet snows in the next couple weeks. Impressive snow this morning I would be surprised for them not to break it (but then again not surprised in the same breath ... I have lived in MI too long). But given the amount of cold air available well into April I would think northern MI and the UP will have a few decent storms to pad those numbers!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 -IP/RA to start earlier, but just -RA now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 0.09" of rain early this morning. Looking forward to a little 'vection tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 1st wave was SN/IP with a light coating ... next wave on my door step ... what will it be?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slow poke Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 I would be surprised for them not to break it (but then again not surprised in the same breath ... I have lived in MI too long). But given the amount of cold air available well into April I would think northern MI and the UP will have a few decent storms to pad those numbers!! I hope so. We're going to the UP for a few days snowmobiling Easter weekend and maybe even a weekend or two after that if the snow holds out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Sleet here right now. Wasn't expecting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 -8.8F for the month... Another winner! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Mostly IP here with some small flakes. IP coating the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW Storm Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 I declare this cold to stop now! Sick of waiting for spring, make it stop already! (Cabin fever setting in). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Interesting day ... switched to RN at 11:30 ish and just now switched to SN!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 You know it's a sh***y spring when you are in the south flow ahead of a low and it's still only 40 degrees, and the high temp will likely remain below normal. So far here it has been nothing but thick clouds and a little drizzle. If we're lucky we may catch a decent shower tonight, but instability is zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 Dreary day, but it is warming up slowly. Nearing 40° From 6:30am, on I didn't notice any IP or flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Sleet here right now. Wasn't expecting that. I'm never surprised by sleet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 My avatar isn't working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Interesting day ... switched to RN at 11:30 ish and just now switched to SN!! Sleet->Rain->Snow strange combo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 Around 40° with drizzle here in Racine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Nothing too much here, but it just started to rain a little with a T/Td spread of 50/13F. Haven't seen that in a while personally. Edit: RLX just put me under a red flag warning. SO, it's trying to rain with a ~20% RH while a red flag warning is in affect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.