famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 If the 0z models hold, I would be pretty bullish for a foot plus event in some spots. I'll make a call tomorrow for the Trenton area but yeah, things certainly have solidified in the direction of a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 I'll make a call tomorrow for the Trenton area but yeah, things certainly have solidified in the direction of a big hit. Are you thinking of coming home?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Are you thinking of coming home?. A little; I did make a schedule adjustment to allow it, but I haven't booked or anything. Will wait at least until tomorrow, quite possibly Saturday before I decide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Snow party at Ray' P's house. The forum is coming if you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Snow party at Ray' P's house. The forum is coming if you are. Eh, not there. No one lives there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 A little; I did make a schedule adjustment to allow it, but I haven't booked or anything. Will wait at least until tomorrow, quite possibly Saturday before I decide. The Kiss of death Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 The Kiss of death This will have to be MAJOR (probably more than the model consensus right now). A foot + for sure. Still a lot that can go wrong with that, right now I don't think I'd call a foot + likely. But still, it makes sense for the adjustment even if I don't come home, since I worked today, was off tomorrow, then worked two more days before another three off. Now I'm working tomorrow and am off Sunday-Wednesday. That works better no matter what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Latest Wxsim with 18z data for NW Chester County PA Lite mix during the day on Sunday with Moderate snow starting by 830pm temp 31.4 1130pm Heavy Snow temp 28.9 (snow total 1.0") 330am Heavy Snow temp 25.7 (4.0" snow) 900am Heavy Snow temp 24.8 (7.0" snow) 12noon Snow temp 24.3 (8.0" snow) 3pm Heavy Snow temp 23.9 (10.0" snow) 6pm Heavy Snow temp 23.2 (13.0" snow) 10pm Light Snow temp 22.2 (15.0" snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Latest Wxsim with 18z data for NW Chester County PA Lite mix during the day on Sunday with Moderate snow starting by 830pm temp 31.4 1130pm Heavy Snow temp 28.9 (snow total 1.0") 330am Heavy Snow temp 25.7 (4.0" snow) 900am Heavy Snow temp 24.8 (7.0" snow) 12noon Snow temp 24.3 (8.0" snow) 3pm Heavy Snow temp 23.9 (10.0" snow) 6pm Heavy Snow temp 23.2 (13.0" snow) 10pm Light Snow temp 22.2 (15.0" snow) That's very impressive especially for march numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Of note if this were to somehow verify....still a long shot that would put NW Chester County at 91.0" of snow this season which would move this year to 2nd place all time for Chester County PA behind 1898/99 when 95.0" fell and just ahead of the current #2 all time from 2009/10 when 86.6" of snow fell.....as I keep telling my friends global warming ....uh I mean climate change is not working out well of late Latest Wxsim with 18z data for NW Chester County PA Lite mix during the day on Sunday with Moderate snow starting by 830pm temp 31.4 1130pm Heavy Snow temp 28.9 (snow total 1.0") 330am Heavy Snow temp 25.7 (4.0" snow) 900am Heavy Snow temp 24.8 (7.0" snow) 12noon Snow temp 24.3 (8.0" snow) 3pm Heavy Snow temp 23.9 (10.0" snow) 6pm Heavy Snow temp 23.2 (13.0" snow) 10pm Light Snow temp 22.2 (15.0" snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Of note if this were to somehow verify....still a long shot that would put NW Chester County at 91.0" of snow this season which would move this year to 2nd place all time for Chester County PA behind 1898/99 when 95.0" fell and just ahead of the current #2 all time from 2009/10 when 86.6" of snow fell.....as I keep telling my friends global warming ....uh I mean climate change is not working out well of late Or 86" for me which is outstanding here at the other end of the township. 30" on the ground in March is rather unusual I'd think. March 58 was an exception. Where the h*** am i gonna put it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 This may cancel my plans to attend the Belmar NJ st Patricks day parade Sunday afternoon if it means driving back to central PA in a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 NAM is slower with the cold but deeper with the shortwave out west, it might be warmer with the front end like the GGEM, but cold should press down and allow for a lot of snow with 2nd part if it holdsd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 NAM is slower with the cold but deeper with the shortwave out west, it might be warmer with the front end like the GGEM, but cold should press down and allow for a lot of snow with 2nd part if it holdsd... It's starting to get on-track, but it's consistency is still shaky. Just look at what it did with the other off-shore low from 18z run to 0z run. like a 300 mile shift. GFS has been solid. and Euro finally jumped aboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Haven't heard much detail on nam... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's the long range NAM so....projecting further it looks suppressed like todays GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbsoluteVorticity Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 It's the long range NAM so....projecting further it looks suppressed like todays GGEM Eh..with a solution like that ttn south still probably gets 3-6 out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS gonna be a HUGE hit, book your tickets Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Good GFS run so far. PV in a great spot and the sw is a little more potent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Snowmaps get mby to 80" for the season. Enough said. Everybody crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 8-16" for everybody, with lollipops to 20" in the Poconos on the snow maps I'm looking at which factor in ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 fwiw gfs 0z my 68" will exceed 80" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 fwiw gfs 0z my 68" will exceed 80" Diamond shaped lollies. Even the models are bowing in recognition of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Saw the run and yep, based on the 00z GFS run, thats a really impressive snowfall to kick off March. Just really impressed how much arctic air will be in play and next week. You got all the moisture that will come in from the Pacific and the timing is looking right. Something tells me we could reach the all time record for Philly snowfall. We would need about 24 inches to break that record. Would not surprise me if we hit that mark and just break that record snowfall season from 2009-2010 season. Just an impressive winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Saw the run and yep, based on the 00z GFS run, thats a really impressive snowfall to kick off March. Just really impressed how much arctic air will be in play and next week. You got all the moisture that will come in from the Pacific and the timing is looking right. Something tells me we could reach the all time record for Philly snowfall. We would need about 24 inches to break that record. Would not surprise me if we hit that mark and just break that record snowfall season from 2009-2010 season. Just an impressive winter season. Yep, great run. Let's hope the EC holds! PHL only needs 19.3" to break 09-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Yep, great run. Let's hope the EC holds! PHL only needs 19.3" to break 09-10. nice. If I could get the 'amounts to beat' for snowiest ever...for NYC, TTN, and EWR as well . that'll be awesome. rough estimate for NYC. Currently 55" ....needed 75" ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Yep, great run. Let's hope the EC holds! PHL only needs 19.3" to break 09-10. PHL only needs their seasonal average to break 09-10. In March. And it's possible. Enjoy you freak weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Yep, great run. Let's hope the EC holds! PHL only needs 19.3" to break 09-10. Didn't get a chance to see where Philly was at, but 19 inches. Wow, that maybe in reach. Talk about some of the winter outlooks we saw back in December to how this winter has gone. Just thinking to how last year's winter was non existent. Seeing China, pretty much most of Europe just getting pounded. Now all that arctic and storminess is on our side of the globe this year. Man oh, I kept saying this would be a colder and snowier winter, but to see what we've gotten this year has been pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The 0z Euro is a big screw you to tonight's other foreign models. It agrees with the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Looked to me like the 850's ticked colder this run. Also of note is that its faster... for most the storm is done by 18Z Monday on this run. QPF still pretty good, widespread ~1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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