KamuSnow Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Meh run of the mill high end SECS/low end MECS this isn't going to get my snow depth to 40" j/k lol....is your goal to be sitting on a chaise lounge in tee shirt and shorts in the middle of your snowpack, in say April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol....is your goal to be sitting on a chaise lounge in tee shirt and shorts in the middle of your snowpack, in say April? St. Patricks Day actually, with a spring torch in shorts sitting by my snow pile drinking green beer and mixing up a finnegans folly chilled with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM looks good so far at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 St. Patricks Day actually, with a spring torch in shorts sitting by my snow pile drinking green beer and mixing up a finnegans folly chilled with snow. Could actually happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Why do I continue to punish myself by watching CBS3 weather... Kathy Orr with just a great call tonight: "I think were going to see rain, I think we're gonna see snow" (as she bobs her head back and forth towards the camera and flips her hair)... Arrrrgh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Why do I continue to punish myself by watching CBS3 weather... Kathy Orr with just a great call tonight: "I think were going to see rain, I think we're gonna see snow" (as she bobs her head back and forth towards the camera and flips her hair)... Arrrrgh! There's nothing wrong with that call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Why do I continue to punish myself by watching CBS3 weather... Kathy Orr with just a great call tonight: "I think were going to see rain, I think we're gonna see snow" (as she bobs her head back and forth towards the camera and flips her hair)... Arrrrgh! She forgot to mention IP, sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 lol....is your goal to be sitting on a chaise lounge in tee shirt and shorts in the middle of your snowpack, in say April? Heck yes! All the while thinking it's only 6 months til the next freak Oct snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 0z GFS Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 0z GFS Sent from my iPhone really banking on good ratios on the north edge aren't they Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 really banking on good ratios on the north edge aren't they These maps are a little better than wxbell clown maps popping over 12" in Philly. These seem to incorporate the 850s a little better Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 These maps are a little better than wxbell clown maps popping over 12" in Philly. These seem to incorporate the 850s a little better Sent from my iPhone I do agree with that, the are better with handling warm layers. I'd still take an Earl Barker map over anything else, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM is a mixed bag, goes from snow to heavy sleet back to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM PBP is here, note how at 120 hours the low is still over NC/S VA, theres a lot of precip to go and its changed back to snow for Philly after a ton of sleet. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 GGEM shows a lot snow on the back end, pretty wild long duration event, would be a mess on the roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 There's nothing wrong with that call.No..it's just that I could have made that call from my sofa without being paid $100,000+....Stick your neck out a just bit as Cecile T did saying she's leaning toward the snowier solution... Cbs3 is a waste of viewships time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 No..it's just that I could have made that call from my sofa without being paid $100,000+.... Stick your neck out a just bit as Cecile T did saying she's leaning toward the snowier solution... Cbs3 is a waste of viewships time! Lets be honest... you just want the snowier solution so you want her to agree with it. If she agreed with a rainier solution you'd still mock her. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White_Mtn_Wx Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 No..it's just that I could have made that call from my sofa without being paid $100,000+.... Stick your neck out a just bit as Cecile T did saying she's leaning toward the snowier solution... Cbs3 is a waste of viewships time! Kathy Orr makes 100k?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Kathy Orr makes 100k?!? I would hope so after being at cbs 3 for eleven plus years!!?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Also http://broadcastmet.com/2012/04/03/what-we-make-the-salary-of-broadcast-meteorologists/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EURO took a nice SE jog and is better with the ULL in SE Canada, its still probably a ton of sleet for Philly, but it was a much better run, one or 2 more ticks SE and we'd be okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EURO took a nice SE jog and is better with the ULL in SE Canada, its still probably a ton of sleet for Philly, but it was a much better run, one or 2 more ticks SE and we'd be okay What is the duration of the event? (approx) When to when? Heaviest precip period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 rain to snow north and west of philly. From 48 hours of snow on the GFS yesterday to now 6-12 hours on the ECM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Allentown jackpot 12" 6-10" N&W burbs Improvement over 12z, but lack of cold going in is concerning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Allentown jackpot 12" 6-10" N&W burbs Not on the Euro. Too much sleet. (You're not using those crap WxBell maps are you?) At absolute best, being very generous, 8" at ABE. More realistically, 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 What is the duration of the event? (approx) When to when? Heaviest precip period? Bulk of snow falls Monday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 EURO took a nice SE jog and is better with the ULL in SE Canada, its still probably a ton of sleet for Philly, but it was a much better run, one or 2 more ticks SE and we'd be okay Still has temp gradient and thus max qpf significantly farther NW than the GEM or GFS...especially that mid level temp gradient....GFS/GEM no matter if its more snow or more mix puts the significant impact axis nearer I95 in this area...Euro max impact axis much further north in poconos, southern ny state interior new england...but did shade slightly further southeast this run...last run it mixed quite a bit into the areas I mentioned as high impact...to me the big question is do these scenarios converge in the middle or does one completely fold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Lets do a breakdown of ABE on the Euro, shall we? Sunday 18Z, surface temp 42, above freezing up to 925 mb. Sunday 18Z to Monday 0Z QPF is 0.05" (rain). Monday 0Z, surface temp 34, 925 mb temp +2C. Monday 0Z to 6Z QPF is 0.17" (rain). Monday 6Z, surface temp 33, +1C all the way up to 800 mb. Monday 6Z to 12Z QPF is 0.21" (rain changing to sleet). Monday 12Z surface temp 30F, +2C at 800 mb. Monday 12Z to 18Z QPF is 0.47" (sleet changing to snow). Monday 18Z surface temp 26F, finally down below freezing at all levels, but still just -1C at 800 mb. Monday 18Z to Tuesday 0Z QPF is 0.21" (snow). 0.01" falls after Tuesday 0Z. By my estimation that might be 0.40" of liquid-equivalent that falls as snow. If you want to be generous you could say 0.5 or 0.6" liquid-equivalent. But its no foot, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Bulk of snow falls Monday afternoon Thanks. Not sure what to think at this point > (precip type) Kinda off topic but Glenn's March prediction: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Thanks. Not sure what to think at this point > (precip type) Kinda off topic but Glenn's March prediction: ECM has a close call with a second big storm day 7-8 but it stays south hits Va, would be interesting if that ended up being the good one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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