windvane Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Just because katodog says this is the date, it must be true and the models never lie. Our last parting shot of a coastal event this year? Comments welcomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 18z GFS looks great for this storm, nevermind what it does post truncation. Call it the katodog storm or weather worlds "crescendo" storm, looks big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Wasn't this date the infamous 2001 storm? The John bolaris threat storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Wasn't this date the infamous 2001 storm? The John bolaris threat storm? Sure was. This year it's real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Wasn't this date the infamous 2001 storm? The John bolaris threat storm?What's john Bo calling for this time around? :0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
56er Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Bolaris says this bears watching. http://mobile.philly.com/news/?wss=/philly/news&id=246272621 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 The"Bolaris" storm was the greatest bust which I don't think will be repeated. He kept insisting we would get pounded although other outlets said otherwise....we know what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bradjdale Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Heard an interview on 97.5 the other week - he stated how his producer would not allow him to discuss the fact that a few days before "the storm" he thought it might be a miss. The producer supposedly told him absolutely not - that they had finally passed Channel 6 in ratings the past few days. The way Bolaris talked in the interview - was very believable. Of course I am paraphrasing the whole interview - but was a good interview. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Heard an interview on 97.5 the other week - he stated how his producer would not allow him to discuss the fact that a few days before "the storm" he thought it might be a miss. The producer supposedly told him absolutely not - that they had finally passed Channel 6 in ratings the past few days. The way Bolaris talked in the interview - was very believable. Of course I am paraphrasing the whole interview - but was a good interview. I actually don't blame Bolaris..,..,media hype is/was the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 EURO is a big hit, 2nd run in a row, this is probably the best setup and has the best support right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 EURO is a big hit, 2nd run in a row, this is probably the best setup and has the best support right now... Good to hear....may be the last bang of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 This one looks to be our player at this point. Still many days / model runs to go! Ray killed the March 1st one and the mid week event looks light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Ray killed the March 1st one and the mid week event looks light. I wish he would have started this one as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 I wish he would have started this one as well.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 EURO is a big hit, 2nd run in a row, this is probably the best setup and has the best support right now...looks just like how the march 1 system looked on the euro then poof! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 7 to 10 day range is storm suicide watch. Will keep an eye but over the last few days to a week the threat keeps getting pushed back to "the next one." Makes me highly skeptical; that and it's March. What is Philly's largest March snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 7 to 10 day range is storm suicide watch. Will keep an eye but over the last few days to a week the threat keeps getting pushed back to "the next one." Makes me highly skeptical; that and it's March. What is Philly's largest March snowfall? Probably March 21st or thereabouts in 1958, 36" in the burbs anyway. Questions? (lol) Edit: In Philly it was 11.4". Much more in the suburbs though. 50" in Morgantown, PA. Elevation helped a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 7 to 10 day range is storm suicide watch. Will keep an eye but over the last few days to a week the threat keeps getting pushed back to "the next one." Makes me highly skeptical; that and it's March. What is Philly's largest March snowfall? 93 superstorm - 12.0" 3/19-21/58 - 11.4" 3/12/88 - 10.5" Morgantown, PA had 50" in the '58 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 I'm getting to the point of "let me know when we are inside 48 hours" regarding upcoming threats. Several this week (last night, Tuesday/Wednesday and the March1 threats) either disappeared or have been downgraded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 At least we have GFS support adding to the march 3-4 threat it was never on board for this weeks two fizzled threats. 0z ECM was a MECS for the area that is two runs in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 At least we have GFS support adding to the march 3-4 threat it was never on board for this weeks two fizzled threats. 0z ECM was a MECS for the area that is two runs in a row.gfs had the weekend system for 3 straight runs before losing it. This threat so far is the same. I'm willing to bet this one holds but we end up too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 gfs had the weekend system for 3 straight runs before losing it. This threat so far is the same. I'm willing to bet this one holds but we end up too warm. Look what HM was saying in the MA forum, there looks to be a nice PNA spike and another -NAO "blip" during the storm time frame. We obviously have had a +NAO winter but these transient -NAO's that we've had during storms has helped us out greatly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Heard an interview on 97.5 the other week - he stated how his producer would not allow him to discuss the fact that a few days before "the storm" he thought it might be a miss. The producer supposedly told him absolutely not - that they had finally passed Channel 6 in ratings the past few days. The way Bolaris talked in the interview - was very believable. Of course I am paraphrasing the whole interview - but was a good interview. The thing he got the most grief for.... and I suspect that he was probably the least to blame for.... was, on the Thursday evening before the storm was supposed to start (literally 3+ days later at that point), the station started running a scroll at the bottom of the TV screen during primetime about the "Storm of the Century" that was on the way and telling people to tune into the 11 pm news to find out details. This was certainly mostly a sleazy ratings grab... remember this was when NBC dominated Thursday nights with its "Must See TV" horsecrap... so running a scroll like that would grab the attention of all those people watching Friends or whatever else was on NBC at that point. I am sure Bolaris had some role in it (and, in fact, he has defended it, by pointing out that non-weenies don't habitually watch their local news and weather on weekends and he was afraid that, if they didn't get the word Thursday night, they might not be aware of what could be coming until it hit late Sunday and Monday) but, in the end, that scroll was the fault of the news director, station manager and/or whoever else makes those kinds of decisions at a local network not John Bolaris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 looks just like how the march 1 system looked on the euro then poof! March 1 NEVER had support from the GFS or really any other model.... EURO has gone west today, but before you all "panic", wait for the ensembles, it dumps most of the energy out west so a lot of the confluence is lost....Will only get worried if 00z shows it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 gfs had the weekend system for 3 straight runs before losing it. This threat so far is the same. I'm willing to bet this one holds but we end up too warm. GFS never had the weekend threat. NEver had anything close to the EURO bombs a few days back...This is a totally better setup and has way more support across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 GFS never had the weekend threat. NEver had anything close to the EURO bombs a few days back...This is a totally better setup and has way more support across the board.next week will be too warm, mark my words. A swfe in early march rarely pans out for this area. Weekend event still holds some promise for accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 next week will be too warm, mark my words. Maybe...but I wouldn't use a word like "will" for a threat that's beyond 5 days. Personally, I don't believe in it yet but that's merely because of what's happened to the threats in the Feb 23 to March 1 timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 This is showing cutter tendencies so far . Good thing we're still days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 This is showing cutter tendencies so far . Good thing we're still days out.strongly agree esp with the pv hauling a$$ outta here, nothing to block it that I can see on the op models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 strongly agree esp with the pv hauling a$$ outta here, nothing to block it that I can see on the op models If less energy escapes the ULL in SE Canada we'll be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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