Stormlover74 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 if we got 0.53" already then its above the 0.80" in 2006...we went into today with 0.40"... Yeah as of last hour with rain still falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Did better with the rain than expected with 0.92 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 This felt like a true early spring rainer for Long Island. If we get the potential 4-8 inch snowstorm next week, and warm up 4-5 days later, look for a quick grass green up. A few days of 48-56 around 3/30 to 4/2 would start some early spring processes outside. with nights above freezing. The sun is rapidly getting stronger and the 1 PM solar lighting is looking very early warm season like within the last week already. The PV is going to be putting up a loosing fight eventually with Canada solar day growing much longer each day. The Arctic solar night is about over... The solar noon angle is approaching 50 degrees in our area, just about the time for UV index to get moderate or higher very soon. If we get the storm next week, we'll get to see the power of the sun this time of year. We could loose 2-3 inches per day even on the cold days following the storm, if in full sun and exposed to it. In five days, we'll notice the sun hitting the north side of things moments around sunrise and sunset. That warm season solar attribute is almost here again. To all potential snowmen made after the possible snowstorm next week, happy melting.... The fast guide to building the "BK" or Brooklyn snowman: Snow88 would like this one.... - Safety cone for a nose instead of carrot - Black spray on paint for substituting the charcoal eyes and buttons - Plastic waste basket cover for a hat B to the R to the Double O to the K to the L-Y-N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 NYC has actually had 7 such snowstorms: 4/12-14/1875: 10.0" 4/3-4/1915: 10.2" 4/8-9/1917: 6.5" 4/1/1924: 8.5" 4/6-7/1938: 6.4" 4/5/1944: 6.5" 4/6/1982: 9.6" You are right, I tried to do the compilation on the fly and I got burned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Over an inch of rain in the bucket last night. It came down hard for awhile with a few stronger wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The little wave along the arctic front that a few models are hinting def bears watching. Those short range disturbances have been our winter in a nutshell instead of the grandiose day 10 systems that turn out to be nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 Over an inch of rain in the bucket last night. It came down hard for awhile with a few stronger wind gusts. I thoroughly enjoyed last night. We needed some rain and it was a nice to have some precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Not a single 00z ECMWF ensemble member gives this area measurable snow before 132 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 Not a single 00z ECMWF ensemble member gives this area measurable snow before 132 hours That should tell everyone that the NAM may not have the right idea here, then again a blind squirrel can find a nut By saturday we're going to be tracking next week anyway so i expect this to get swept under the rug but tommorow generally speaking yanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Not a single 00z ECMWF ensemble member gives this area measurable snow before 132 hours Yea give it a few more runs bro euro was terrible with these setups this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 The little wave along the arctic front that a few models are hinting def bears watching. Those short range disturbances have been our winter in a nutshell instead of the grandiose day 10 systems that turn out to be nothing. I wouldn't completely write it off but the NAM being the only model showing something definitely lowers its likelihood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yea give it a few more runs bro euro was terrible with these setups this year Even the SREF is completely suppressed, I'll keep an eye on this one but it screams classic long range NAM over amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I wouldn't completely write it off but the NAM being the only model showing something definitely lowers its likelihood. Yeah, to pretty darn close to zero. I give that one about a 10% chance of bringing us a dusting of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Lol I just looked at the NAM for the first time in days and low and behold.....a perfect snow setup for 3-6" for our area. If only it wasn't the NAM.....or a weather model for that matter I used to think otherwise, but now I firmly believe that the NAM has virtually 0 clue at picking up a weather system accurately beyond 2 days. As we get closer, yes, it can be used to pick up banding and mesoscale details (which is why it is called the mesoscale model) Sent from my iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yeah, to pretty darn close to zero. I give that one about a 10% chance of bringing us a dusting of snow The pattern has favored suppression over the last 3 weeks-it will likely be a light rainmaker for VA and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Yea but just keep in mind how many times the models showed us getting nothing 2 days before only to wind up with 6-10". The gfs has something too just less amped but I'll watch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 For those hoping for Sunday morning, the 09z SREF's ticked way north. May not reflect well in the QPF totals but the precip shield was much further north on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I picked up .83" of rain from yesterday's storm, pretty impressive all things considered. Starting to roast outside... 42F and rapidly clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I picked up .83" of rain from yesterday's storm, pretty impressive all things considered. Starting to roast outside... 42F and rapidly clearing. I knew we were going to do decently when the 12z Euro had widespread 0.50"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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