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March Forecast Discussion


REDMK6GLI

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10 day precip is > 1.00". 75% + of that falling post day 5.

 

As far as next week goes, the majority of the cluster is offshore, looks like the OP.

 

The 0z went back to a more PV suppressed look with too disorganized a disturbance cutting underneath.

You can see how the southern end stays positive tilt with a -28 C 850 core over SE Canada.

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Ah nothing better than some epic temperature swings in mid March, low 60s here, probably upper teens by Thursday morning with strong gusty winds.

Its the one month, in my opinion, where 'averages' are the most meaningless.  An average of 50?  Well that's probably equal chances of 50 degrees, 30 degrees or 70 degrees lol. 

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EURO looks "SnowHappy" again in its long range, 3/17-21 around here. If it does get this one right they will probably do some re-programming for wintertime forecasting. It was pointed out elsewhere the EURO predicted a total of 100" for NYC in the last 30 days at its full 10 day range but just a little materilized during this timeframe.

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