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March Forecast Discussion


REDMK6GLI

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  On 3/11/2014 at 12:36 PM, YanksFan27 said:

10 day precip is > 1.00". 75% + of that falling post day 5.

 

As far as next week goes, the majority of the cluster is offshore, looks like the OP.

 

The 0z went back to a more PV suppressed look with too disorganized a disturbance cutting underneath.

You can see how the southern end stays positive tilt with a -28 C 850 core over SE Canada.

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  On 3/11/2014 at 12:45 PM, Allsnow said:

Chicago is having a historic winter! 4-8 coming for them tonight

and you can watch the flakes accumulate here :

 

http://www.sportsworldchicago.com/c=q1nK1q9Tvn1FP1dc8Aygf7xx1/category/wrigley_field_cam/#_

 

baseball season in chicago opens in 20 days - something tells me there will be a game or 2 with snow flying around

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  On 3/11/2014 at 5:07 PM, SnoSki14 said:

Ah nothing better than some epic temperature swings in mid March, low 60s here, probably upper teens by Thursday morning with strong gusty winds.

Its the one month, in my opinion, where 'averages' are the most meaningless.  An average of 50?  Well that's probably equal chances of 50 degrees, 30 degrees or 70 degrees lol. 

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  On 3/11/2014 at 11:05 PM, YanksFan27 said:

Upton sounds pretty bullish for Monday in AFD.

I am going to wake up tomorrow and not have this on my mind. seriously though this should not seriously be looked at until Thursday at the VERY earliest. the setup does look good but patience is warranted

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EURO looks "SnowHappy" again in its long range, 3/17-21 around here. If it does get this one right they will probably do some re-programming for wintertime forecasting. It was pointed out elsewhere the EURO predicted a total of 100" for NYC in the last 30 days at its full 10 day range but just a little materilized during this timeframe.

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  On 3/12/2014 at 2:49 PM, wxbowler83 said:

How is mjo looking into early April?

GEFS has it going into 1

NCPE_phase_21m_small.gif

GFS has it going into 1

GFSO_phase_small.gif

Ukmet has it going into 1

UKME_phase_23m_small.gif

Euro has it going into 1

ECMF_phase_51m_small.gif

 

Great sign from all the models. 1 is a favorable phase for our area.

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