Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 May be a hit @ 96-102 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 May be a hit @ 96-102 hours Thats a bit later than the GGEM.... UKIE was at that time period with a 996 off of Cape Hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Thats a bit later than the GGEM.... UKIE was at that time period with a 996 off of Cape Hatteras definitely slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ah, it stops a bit south, good hit for parts of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro is a miss but it's also a wholesale change from last night and close to the ggem/ukmet. We have temps if it comes in soon enough. 850's are fried by friday afternoon. Very interesting development today. Not sure what I think , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Ukmet digs the 552dm into the trough so it's further north than the euro. Get the 546 dm into it and we'll have a hecs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro is a miss but it's also a wholesale change from last night and close to the ggem/ukmet. We have temps if it comes in soon enough. 850's are fried by friday afternoon. Very interesting development today. Not sure what I think , Just a little to slow coming together. I would think this was very close to coming up. Low stalls off North Carolina coast for a long time. Look suspicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro closes off h5 @ 96 but the trough is positive and confluence above so it rolls quietly out to sea. Wouldn't take much for it to turn faster and come up the coast. It has to happen fast or we rain. I'm pretty sure about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The march 12-13 is huge threat on euro despite weird miller a-b look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The march 12-13 is huge threat on euro despite weird miller a-b look is there enough cold air around by then?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 is there enough cold air around by then?? Yes big cad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The march 12-13 is huge threat on euro despite weird miller a-b look Are you working in Orlando or just working on your tan?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Sref's at 87 hours. Yes i know they are worthless, had a large jump NW on the new run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 So is the new threat late this week, march 12-13, or December 5th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 ****, i just saw the ggem/ukie. Is that real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 ****, i just saw the ggem/ukie. Is that real? As real as can be, i just hope by 12Z tomorrow the Euro jumps on board then i will get excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Any Northward with the Ensemble run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I don't have the Euro out past 180hrs, so I can't see what's coming next week. Friday looks interesting, like the GGEM, but not sure if it's going to be cold enough for it to be snow; the temps look marginal on Euro and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro ens not very into the late week storm. Some members bring it up the coast but vast majority slide it out to sea. Pretty close range for ens so they will typically look like the op. It could turn on a dime. Imo it's prob a low probability chance with potential temp issues and notsogreat h5 setup. Ggem is the ideal solution. We'll see how it goes The d9-10 thing has no resolution or consensus. Winter isn't done yet I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Euro long range threat is the real deal. This is the one we have been waiting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I take back what I said about the d9-10 period. There's actually an unusually strong signal for a coastal. Mslp/h5 anom/precip panels look pretty solid on the euro ens for a long lead. Pv placement keeps it from cutting though. Models seem to struggle 48 hours out with those specifics so the whole thing is nothing more than a period to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 This is the one we have been waiting for. If I had an inch of snow for every time I heard this, I would have too much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I take back what I said about the d9-10 period. There's actually an unusually strong signal for a coastal. Mslp/h5 anom/precip panels look pretty solid for a long lead. Pv placement keeps it from cutting though. Models seem to struggle 48 hours out with those specifics so the whole thing is nothing more than a period to watch Pretty sure that (Day 9-10) will be our last hurrah for the winter IMO as we will be in the 2nd week of March and climo starts fighting us. End of week is a toss-up... but maybe we sneak in a sneaky event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 GFS looks like it almost wants to bite on this just looking at the 500 panel for 00z on the 7th. Edit: Just checked earlier run didn't reailze it already had this look at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The NAEFS has a signal in the 3/12-3/14 time frame but it is much weaker than it showed for today's storm with the same lead. http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/EPSgrams_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 GFS looks like it almost wants to bite on this just looking at the 500 panel for 00z on the 7th. Edit: Just checked earlier run didn't reailze it already had this look at 12z Close but no cigar again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2014 Author Share Posted March 3, 2014 It's funny, if people were exhausted from tracking this last storm, this thread would be popping. Maybe tonight with the GFS and Euro wreck us, we'll all be on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 It's funny, if people were exhausted from tracking this last storm, this thread would be popping. Maybe tonight with the GFS and Euro wreck us, we'll all be on board. I am going to be sleeping so deeply tonight, I may never wake up. 3 and 1/2 hrs of sleep then shoveling today.....woe is me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 It's funny, if people were exhausted from tracking this last storm, this thread would be popping. Maybe tonight with the GFS and Euro wreck us, we'll all be on board. Took a three hour nap today. Now I feel good again. 2 hour delay already announced so get to catch up on more sleep. Will be ready to go if the coastal cooperates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Took a three hour nap today. Now I feel good again. 2 hour delay already announced so get to catch up on more sleep. Will be ready to go if the coastal cooperates. I feel you man. I only slept 6 hours in the past 2 days. I took a 3 hour nap today after that last heavy band went through. I remember being up for almost 2 days during the Feb 2010 monster. I slept like a baby after that one. I'm always ready for more. The worse the weather. I happier I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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