welbane Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Some nice hits on the GFS ensembles for late week.... GFS wants to try it again on March 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Late week storm has 1 81 special written all over, leaving stale cold air but just enough for maybe areas above 1500, maybe 1k feet to be all snow. Storm per Euro jogs just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Thanks Huff. Excited for Monday but travel for me Thurs-sat so my eye on this also. Thx for the update. Sent from my SM-N900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Snow on Friday per GGEM. GFS is close. High moves out a lot slower on today's runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Snow on Friday per GGEM. GFS is close. High moves out a lot slower on today's runs. Most important event of ji's life bigger than the birth of his chidrin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 How are temps? High looks to be in a GREAT SPOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 temps are too warm except the last part as the storm pulls away...it's still a substantial slug of moisture in the cold sector at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 temps are too warm except the last part as the storm pulls away...it's still a substantial slug of moisture in the cold sector at the end We'll see how it goes but midlevels are an uphill battle. Euro ensembles strongly favor rain and so does other guidance for the most part. I've barely looked though. We'll see how it looks once I'm done shoveling 10" on monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Need more northern stream involvement earlier in the setup. As shown the storm is too far south and is too late for the surface high to still be in a good position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro is inland and not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Euro is inland and not good Orlando is great this time of year...was down last week....low 80s, but cloudy/rainy. Still nice to feel the warmth and not worry about shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Although the cold signal is weakening, the NAEFS continues to predict below normal temperatures in the 8-14 day range. It has done so every 12-hour period since 00 UT February 15. It has also predicted a wintry event in the March 3/4 time frame since February 18. Stunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro looks way different for end of week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro looks way different for end of week Yup it is getting closer. The snow gets all the way up to Richmond this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Colder faster but much more suppressed. Major flipping with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Colder faster but much more suppressed. Major flipping with this storm You keep your eyes on this one for us, because we will be to busy shoveling over the next 2 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Gfs is non ending winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Gfs is non ending winter 226 through the end of the run is stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 We need the euro to move the storm up here and at least give me a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro 240. Think we have a shot at an imaginary 20+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Euro 240. Think we have a shot at an imaginary 20+ storm. I am all in for the 12" it is showing from 228-240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 the EURO 240 is a superstorm....20-30 inch total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 the EURO 240 is a superstorm....20-30 inch total Yeah, it'll happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 20-30 inches in mid march would be BECSy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 These types of mid March events are quite common, in our imagination. I still am not quite ready to give up hope on the 7th although it doesn't look promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 These types of mid March events are quite common, in our imagination. I still am not quite ready to give up hope on the 7th although it doesn't look promising. ive seen 2 solutions for the 7th cold enough but supressed and OTS it gets up here(JMA) but warm takes over next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ji, the d9-10 signal is there on the euro ens. Lots of spread but a good signal for a coastal. Mslp track is up the coast. Precip panels are pretty good for a long lead but 850 mean is dicey till d10. We've been fooled many times with long lead stuff this year when ens support the op. I don't have many thoughts other than it being interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ji, the d9-10 signal is there on the euro ens. Lots of spread but a good signal for a coastal. Mslp track is up the coast. Precip panels are pretty good for a long lead but 850 mean is dicey till d10. We've been fooled many times with long lead stuff this year when ens support the op. I don't have many thoughts other than it being interesting It's going to happen. It's the storm after the march 6/7 storm that will likely miss is. That's been the pattern. You see a storm in long range like feb 8-10 or feb 28 to march 1 and there is a storm 2-3 days later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 The Long-range GFS/EURO ensembles REALLY hinting at a winter storm next week (Day 9-10) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 WHOA, is this snow?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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