Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 any play by play on the euro? looks pretty crappy so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 bad run so far..we'll see if it can do something cool in the next few panels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro is a steamy apps runner through hr120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 bad run so far..we'll see if it can do something cool in the next few panels literally and figuratively! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Hearing that mixing makes it Worcester on this run, hahaha probably not good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I would say that +8 850's and temps in the mid to upper 30's @ 1am on Monday is a bit of a harbinger and goes downhill from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 awful run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The 12z GEFS are more bullish on the SW trekking through the lakes. Not sure if that's why more of the members are trying to cut our low west, but they've taken on more of a ZR look with less in the way of snowfall. Euro is a steamy apps runner through hr120. bad trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I would say that +8 850's and temps in the mid to upper 30's @ 1am on Monday is a bit of a harbinger and goes downhill from there. fortunately, 108 hours is a lifetime away...maybe GFS/GGEM are onto something..or euro will start to show a different evolution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 So the euro looks like the gfs a few days ago and vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 yes!! SQL Error An error occured with the SQL server: This is not a problem with the IPS Community Suite but rather with your SQL server. Please contact your host and copy the message shown above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 It's a disaster even up into central PA, but I wouldnt get too upset about one op run this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 It's an outlier with speed to. It's all over by 7pm Monday. Eh, back to the drawing board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Was the 12z Canadian good? The WeatherBELL snow maps make it look like a disaster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Was the 12z Canadian good? The WeatherBELL snow maps make it look like a disaster... ? They show like 10" for you. yoda posted the output earlier in the thread. 6"+ snow and a pile of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Good 'ole Dr. No. Hopefully the ensembles hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Good 'ole Dr. No. Hopefully the ensembles hold serve. They won't. Negative trend is beginning. It's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Still time for this to turn back around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 They won't. Negative trend is beginning. It's over. That's the spirit Eeyore! It's always over 5 days before an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 ? They show like 10" for you. yoda posted the output earlier in the thread. 6"+ snow and a pile of sleet. lol I was looking at the 00z... Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro has a pretty massive coastal d9-10. 1-2" liquid. The only caveat is the 850 line is in NY. Might not be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 A warming look on the models at this time of the year is not a good thing. All depends where the final battle lines end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 lol I was looking at the 00z... Thanks! Does it matter? It's not like we have any clue what the thermals will look like. I just want that Hp as strong and elongated as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 What time do the euro ensembles come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 There's one simple difference that not only affects winter storm outcome early next week but also temperatures in general after...Euro holds pv into western Canada. If that occurs, it will basically taint all of next week for wintry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Does it matter? It's not like we have any clue what the thermals will look like. I just want that Hp as strong and elongated as possible. Just wanted to see it, that's all. Does any of this matter? No. It doesn't. It doesn't make ANY sense to look at the models until at least a few days out. We're all just looking at them for fun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 There's one simple difference that not only affects winter storm outcome early next week but also temperatures in general after...Euro holds pv into western Canada. If that occurs, it will basically taint all of next week for wintry weather. I guess I will be extra-curious if the majority of the ensembles held the PV back in western canada as well, or if the OP was an outlier on that score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro has a pretty massive coastal d9-10. 1-2" liquid. The only caveat is the 850 line is in NY. Might not be a problem. Second run in a row that the Euro has done that. Last night the ensembles did not agree. We shall soon see if the ensembles continue to disagree (hopefully) with the op. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 With that strong of a high to the north , I find the Euro run suspect. It basically ignores the high and pv. If the hp is as strong as modeled, no way it cuts like that. Also, I know the Euro is good with southern stream sw's. But I always thought the GFS was better with overrunning events. Any thoughts on this ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 outstanding article on computer power and the NWS, a MUST READ!! http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2014/02/where-is-national-weather-services-new.html?utm_content=buffer8154a&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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