hosj III Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Well it is the storm after the storm. I thought we were going for the storm after the storm after the storm after the storm? Is that one still there? Or did the 384 hour GFS mysteriously change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 lolgfspd2sql Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 lolgfspd2sql Put down the tequila and step away from the computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2014 Author Share Posted February 26, 2014 Put down the tequila and step away from the computer. LOL, GFS, PD2 the SQL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2014 Author Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro must be bad...no news. I'm going to bed I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro must be bad...no news. I'm going to bed I guess it's ok....the low goes to our south...I think that is a good sign...even verbatim, we probably change to some snow at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 LOL, GFS, PD2 the SQL Yes i know, i just never saw a lucid person type like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro ensembles very close to op in terms of Low pressure track. Temps also very close to op with 0 degree 850 line pretty much lined up along 40 N on Sunday night and slowly sinking south through the day on Monday. After that, the op and ensembles diverge with the op really warming up towards the end of next week (with another storm) and the ensembles remaining cold. If the ensembles are to be believed, the end of next week could be fun. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS certainly depicts a storm that could work out if you have latitude or elevation on your side. Inside the beltway we have neither. Also looks to be relatively light precipitation for 48 hours which would suggest off and on precipitation which generally doesn't do much for keeping the surface cool. At this point, anybody south of PA/MD border without elevation on their side probably isn't going to get much frozen despite the verbatim surface depiction, as Ian so eloquently mentioned on more than one occassion. With the Euro apparently going slightly warmer tonight, odds aren't looking good for DCA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 GFS certainly depicts a storm that could work out if you have latitude or elevation on your side. Inside the beltway we have neither. Also looks to be relatively light precipitation for 48 hours which would suggest off and on precipitation which generally doesn't do much for keeping the surface cool. At this point, anybody south of PA/MD border without elevation on their side probably isn't going to get much frozen despite the verbatim surface depiction, as Ian so eloquently mentioned on more than one occassion. With the Euro apparently going slightly warmer tonight, odds aren't looking good for DCA area. This reads like a bunch of baseless speculation, especially at this stage of the game. What makes you think the GFS and ECMWF are off with their sfc depiction? Not that it'd surprise me if things shifts 50-75 miles given the tight gradient, but verbatim we have a low tracking to our south with an unseasonably cold airmass wedging in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 6Z GFS has loads of fun for next week. 4-6" of sleet to start the week here, 2-4" of cold snow later in the week, then well below zero temps, then heavier snow after that. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 If the 6Z GFS is right we will not have power for a month around here, a crapload of ZR. Over 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Can a brother get a legit sleet storm around here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Rain changing to sleet storms are always really bad for the roads as well. Valentines 07 or whatever up where I am was a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 If the 6Z GFS is right we will not have power for a month around here, a crapload of ZR. Over 1". Models are converging on a drawn out event and a nice cad signal. Pretty strong cold hp in a good spot. If I had to take a wag right now I would say zr/ip early monday morning then prob rain monday afternoon and hopefully a period of snow to cap it off overnight monday into tues. SLP is tracking south on all models now. Pretty nice sign at this lead to get some snow to close it out. ETA: Could be a lot of sleet for someone. Not just saying this to make leesburg happy. 6z gfs ptype maps on wxbell show some heavy sleet across central and n md/wv panhandle/ da burg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Models are converging on a drawn out event and a nice cad signal. Pretty strong cold hp in a good spot. If I had to take a wag right now I would say zr/ip early monday morning then prob rain monday afternoon and hopefully a period of snow to cap it off overnight monday into tues. SLP is tracking south on all models now. Pretty nice sign at this lead to get some snow to close it out. As long as it is mostly frozen i will be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is a fun map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is a fun map: oh sleet!.JPG Looks like a full on sleet storm, meh. Looks like you will need your generator, start practice cranking it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2014 Author Share Posted February 26, 2014 This reads like a bunch of baseless speculation, especially at this stage of the game.Agreed, It really was a terrible post. Nobody knows either way right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is a fun map: oh sleet!.JPG Didn't you mention something about Atari 2600 graphics sometime back? But yeah, fun AND scary. That's some ugly ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Didn't you mention something about Atari 2600 graphics sometime back? But yeah, fun AND scary. That's some ugly ice. ptype maps are rough but I loved Pitfall. Fitting name for that map. Pitfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Good thing we have time. Hoping the trend will Be more snow than not. Leesburg can have the sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 This is a fun map: oh sleet!.JPG oh hell no. f that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 oh hell no. f that map Lol. you have to admit the gfs solution would be fun. zr to sleet to snow and then uber cold on the heels. All glacial and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Lol. you have to admit the gfs solution would be fun. zr to sleet to snow and then uber cold on the heels. All glacial and stuff. no. i'm over winter. i'm officially in the get this crap outta here mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 no. i'm over winter. i'm officially in the get this crap outta here mode. We could house swap but I jackpotted today so Rockchester might not be spared either. On a disco note.... 6z gefs was a marked improvement. Solutions are mixed of course but there are some nice ones with both the waa stuff and really nice lp track. If we pull off all snow then I'm done too until at least the follow up storm coming into focus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 We could house swap but I jackpotted today so Rockchester might not be spared either. On a disco note.... 6z gefs was a marked improvement. Solutions are mixed of course but there are some nice ones with both the waa stuff and really nice lp track. If we pull off all snow then I'm done too until at least the follow up storm coming into focus. I think you meant Rockton its all good, I can deal with snow. But I'll pass on the sleet/frz business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Checked out Cobb qpf output for Westminster... talk about a slop fest on the gfs 00z run: 12z Sun - 21z Tue fzr .11 sleet 1.01 snow .43 06z run: 12z Sun - 09z Tue rain .04 fzr .01 sleet 1.16 snow .3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 There is a ton of FZRA on both 0z and 6z runs for DCA according to Cobb. Would be serious issues but long ways away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 no. i'm over winter. i'm officially in the get this crap outta here mode. Come on now. You can handle another good KU one more time. Let's go for 80 inches. Then we can call it a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.