ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 how do i get legitimately sick so i miss the trip?Stand outside naked for the next 24 hours, that should be enough to give you the flu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 how do i get legitimately sick so i miss the trip? Chicken suhsi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Stand outside naked for the next 24 hours, that should be enough to give you the flu. He said Dr's office, not psych ward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 He said Dr's office, not psych wardLol good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Chicken sushi maybe no 2 for best post of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Bob, you're slacking. GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SOMDweather Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Chicken suhsi Make sure its from a gas station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 He needs to setup a Facebook page so weenies can follow someone who knows what they are talking about. I'd rather avoid that whole scene, really. We don't do ice in mid-January. In March, its rain. I hear what you are saying. However, some consideration should be made for ZR potential when you are dealing with anomalous cold and nighttime precip though. I'm all for more progressive for Monday. Don't you think the March 6-10 window is promising, though? MDstorm The 3/6-10 window I already highlighted as the PNA-deep trough window and possibly something. However, I thought that some more significant would hold just beyond this period. I could be very wrong. The ECMWF is definitely impressive looking, esp. with the NAO situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Bob, you're slacking. GEFS? is your mouse broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Bob, you're slacking. GEFS? Euro ens or GEFS? I checked the gefs earlier. It's not worth talking about. There is a solution for everyone. You name it and it's there. Euro ens are running. Only out to 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro ens or GEFS? I checked the gefs earlier. It's not worth talking about. There is a solution for everyone. You name it and it's there. Euro ens are running. Only out to 36 they will be south...they always are at this range it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Ji do you still have your wisdom teeth in? Get one taken out. I've been on the DL for 5 days now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Some of the NY posters are comparing it to PDII, in other words don't listen to them....Also, that damn Canadian snowfall hype map is a map of the 2 storms combined with is skewing the totals...I'm not even as bad as some of these hypsters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Some of the NY posters are comparing it to PDII, in other words don't listen to them....Also, that damn Canadian snowfall hype map is a map of the 2 storms combined with is skewing the totals...I'm not even as bad as some of these hypsters. it has pdII potential for someone. Big long fetch of overrunning way out in front then the lp tracks up. I was lucky with pdII. I scored handily with both pieces. I was living about 25 miles nw of DC at the time though. OTOH- I remember PDII having a pretty vigorous vort/ull. Definitely not the case here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 nam drops about 0.1 to 0.08 for DC tomorrow... definitely more suppressed looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 euro ens mean looks like the OP at a quick glance...surface low moves south of us...maybe 0.5" on mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 nam drops about 0.1 ish for DC tomorrow yeah..talking about it in other thread.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 They simply don't happen End of March 1996 had an ice event, but it was pretty much confined to the well NW exburbs It's too hard to get the conditions right leading up if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 is your mouse broken? is your stay out of other people's biz meter broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'd rather avoid that whole scene, really. Makes a lot of sense. Facebook is a major PITA and you don't make a penny off of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 euro ens mean looks like the OP at a quick glance...surface low moves south of us...maybe 0.5" on mean Yea, not much extra you can take away from the ens run. Looks basically like the op with the general setup. Gets pretty muddy down the line. There is precip in every panel from after the mon event through d10. Nothing heavy or anything. Just indicative of uncertainty. Obviously we need to pray the boundary sets up further south as quickly as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 We don't do ice in mid-January. In March, its rain. We just did a big ice storm in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 We just did a big ice storm in Feb. Not the metro areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Why are people really trying to nail p-type this far out? Odds are it will be snow or rain given climo. Is there anything else we know conclusively? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Not the metro areas. Who cares about the metro areas? J/K. My forecast for Sunday night is 80% snow. Don't think I've ever seen a precip prob that high at that distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Who cares about the metro areas? J/K. My forecast for Sunday night is 80% snow. Don't think I've ever seen a precip prob that high at that distance. LWX has Carroll County as 90% chance snow for Sunday night. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The 18 z GFS is in prohibition mode for happy hour. Warm anywhere south of SNE for Sunday-Monday. Luckily it's way out of its range for juicy east coast storms. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 The 18 z GFS is in prohibition mode for happy hour. Warm anywhere south of SNE for Sunday-Monday. Luckily it's way out of its range for juicy east coast storms. MDstorm Southern-stream system=toss the GFS. After it's performance with the last storm, I am inclined to toss it if there is agreement between the euro, ggem, nam, ukmet and JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Southern-stream system=toss the GFS. After it's performance with the last storm, I am inclined to toss it if there is agreement between the euro, ggem, nam, ukmet and JMA. Obviously agree with not taking the GFS too literally at this point. On the other hand, the Euro has been wavering with this system, even though the ensembles have been more solid. Still a lot of time to go. That's the problem with these "long lead systems". They seem to take forever to come to fruition (if they even do). MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro member output remains bullish on frozen. I hate that the snow algorithm is so flawed though. Over half the member shows 6"+ for DC from mon-wed. About 5" on the means. I'm sure there are freezing rain/sleet solutions in there but the euro clearly has a colder idea than the gfs overall. Interesting change with this suite is more members are picking up on multiple events d6-10. There's enough 12"+ members mixed in the period to make you drool. A few are 20"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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