Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol sorry.. but yeah LOL, common the GFS/CCM show it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 lol sorry.. but yeah Storm after the storm after the storm? This run of Euro is pretty crazy compared to past runs. Confluence definitely better. We shall see. Back to studying for dynamics II exam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro has the ice storm that the gfs didnt quite show. March ice storms rock in dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 March ice storms rock in dc We don't do ice in mid-January. In March, its rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I can't really remember as others have said an ice storm in March around here... so this will probably end up moving toward either snow or rain IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 There's a nice vort moving through the rockies d10 with a closed ull above us. That could be THE ONE. sorry hberg, couldn't resist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I can't really remember as others have said an ice storm in March around here... so this will probably end up moving toward either snow or rain IMO They simply don't happen End of March 1996 had an ice event, but it was pretty much confined to the well NW exburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 According to the NY subforum the Euro still shows 6-10" for us on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 According to the NY subforum the Euro still shows 6-10" for us on Monday. ahhh...no 850s are like +4.5 while surface is -2.3 to -3.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 According to the NY subforum the Euro still shows 6-10" for us on Monday. LOL- they must be using wxbell snow maps. Far northern tier may score better but the cities are 90% freezing rain/sleet verbatim. One more jog towards a colder solution though...heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 ahhh...no 850s are like +4.5 while surface is -2.3 to -3.2 Oh ok because the guy there who has SV maps and knows what he is talking about said they showed 6-10" for DCA/BWI. But like everyone has been saying highly unlikely we get 3/4 inch of ice here in March so i am going with the 6-10" . Matt may get his wish if the Euro verbatim was correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 According to the NY subforum the Euro still shows 6-10" for us on Monday. Reading teh Model output on Weatherbell says that. But I think sleet is a real possibility with the set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 ahhh...no 850s are like +4.5 while surface is -2.3 to -3.2 OK - rain! Sorry for the sleet thought! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 SV snow maps are 12+ for the entire metro area tight gradient over se jersey dca-balt 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Reading teh Model output on Weatherbell says that. But I think sleet is a real possibility with the set up. Usually SV is much more accurate than WB that is why i was surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 So, this goes under the if someone outside of DC complains does anyone hear it Can we get a LEGIT storm that favors me ths year? Outside of Feb 11, we have SUCKED this winter. 13 inches this winter-- which isn't bad but everyone has scored better. (Richmond is closer to Climo and Roanoke had 19 on Feb 11th) Added, most of NC and SC are above, as in Hampton roads. Serious... WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Clown map from the Canadian per JB on twitter: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 As others have mentioned, I have to wonder about an early March ice event in the immediate metro DC area. It also seems odd to go from rain to ice, rather than the other way around. Though I guess verbatim if the Euro is crashing temperatures into the 20s, that could happen (going by what I saw described earlier). It sure would be craziness! By the way, what's this other thing the Euro supposedly is brewing after the Monday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I can't really remember as others have said an ice storm in March around here... so this will probably end up moving toward either snow or rain IMO March 13, 1984 was snow to sleet and freezing rain.... Some scattered power outages in the metro areas but nothing major (7500 Pepco). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 This should clear it up. All but .20 falls between these 2 panels. Northern tier may be mostly snow or a lot of sleet to snow. Cities are an iceberg but since that happens in march almost never this exercise is more about what the models show than what will actually happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Oh ok because the guy there who has SV maps and knows what he is talking about said they showed 6-10" for DCA/BWI. But like everyone has been saying highly unlikely we get 3/4 inch of ice here in March so i am going with the 6-10" . Matt may get his wish if the Euro verbatim was correct. You mean his wish for a crippling winter storm with winds, ice, snow, dogs and cats living together...mass hysteria?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Storm after the storm after the storm? This run of Euro is pretty crazy compared to past runs. Confluence definitely better. We shall see. Back to studying for dynamics II exam Jesus, I'm in dynamics 1 and that's hard enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 with that track, i bet the 850's will trend colder and this will end up being mostly a snowstorm sorta of what the euro showed 9 days ago lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 with that track, i bet the 850's will trend colder and this will end up being mostly a snowstorm sorta of what the euro showed 9 days ago lolWe all know you want this to fail horribly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 We all know you want this to fail horribly its killing me but i would never route against snow for this area. I want Leesburg to see 50 inches this year. If it fails..I wont be crushed but i dont want it to fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 According to the NY subforum the Euro still shows 6-10" for us on Monday. not even close...They're a pretty dumb forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 its killing me but i would never route against snow for this area.Yeah, I feel the same. The only time I would consider rooting against it is if there was a chance I would miss a potential HECS...would be too devastating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Yeah, I feel the same. The only time I would consider rooting against it is if there was a chance I would miss a potential HECS...would be too devastating.You should never root against it. I missed the Hecs on 2/13 and I was so happy for everyone in the area even though I was crying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 how do i get legitimately sick so i miss the trip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 how do i get legitimately sick so i miss the trip? Go sit in the waiting area of a Dr. office. Should be sick within 3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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