Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Even though we're not there, the 50/50/confluence trended much better, if that sets up a little faster DC could still do very well....Now to the day 9-10 event on EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 It's almost 1" of liquid...rain to freezing rain to a little snow... most of that rain? Regardless, this is definitely the best run since 0z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Agreed. It backed off on running everything west and keeping us warm. yeah..low runs into the TN valley and then make a right hand turn...way way better track than last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Plenty of time for trends to be all snow? Hope we can pull if off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 most of that rain? Regardless, this is definitely the best run since 0z Sunday 850's are lagging. Good bit of ice by 7am monday verbatim. Do we get much ice in March? I can't remember any events off the top of my head.ETA: it's a lot of ice. Like .7 but I'm definitely not biting on that. Maybe some sleet too. Not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 most of that rain? Regardless, this is definitely the best run since 0z Sunday no...verbatim it is mostly freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 It's almost 1" of liquid...rain to freezing rain to a little snow... Getting colder throughout the event. Now that would be a welcome evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro, as indicated, is a major step away from the warmer scenario on all features that play into outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 At 168 hours, a beautiful Hp is anchored across the country with a nice shortwave W of Texas forming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good grief. We have temps falling through the 20's on Monday during the day. It would be crazy ice to sleet then topped off with an inch or 2 of snow. Heh. Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 At 168 hours, a beautiful Hp is anchored across the country with a nice shortwave W of Texas forming... and another little event like today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm not so sure early next week is simply rain for you guys. Let's see if we can trend more progressive with features, like we have all year, and get a colder solution here. I'm all for more progressive for Monday. Don't you think the March 6-10 window is promising, though? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro, as indicated, is a major step away from the warmer scenario on all features that play into outcome. just as you suggested earlier it would do....you still da' man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm going to assume from here on out every time a model shows 0.03" it is a 2-3" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good grief. We have temps falling through the 20's on Monday during the day. It would be crazy ice to sleet then topped off with an inch or 2 of snow. Heh. Nah. N and W also mostly ice and sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I'm going to assume from here on out every time a model shows 0.03" it is a 2-3" event Yea, me too. But it's not a new phenomenon for me. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Good grief. We have temps falling through the 20's on Monday during the day. It would be crazy ice to sleet then topped off with an inch or 2 of snow. Heh. Nah. That would be quite the nasty ice storm. But it's hard to do a real ice storm here in March....not impossible, but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Wow, GFS/CCM and now the EURO show a potential big daddy Day 9-10...FWIW. Beautiful setup on the EURO at 192 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 With such a huge jump south I'd imagine a storm like this with little LP signature would probably trend farther South in time, I'd be encouraged if I lived in DC/VA right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Wow, GFS/CCM and now the EURO show a potential big daddy Day 9-10...FWIW. Beautiful setup on the EURO at 192 hours Monday was a beautiful set up on the Euro too 4 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 just as you suggested earlier it would do....you still da' man! He needs to setup a Facebook page so weenies can follow someone who knows what they are talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 N and W also mostly ice and sleet? Far northern tier is definitely colder @ 850. Fred/carroll divided in half by 7am monday. Not sure that means snow though. Maybe more sleet. I really don't know. I think the run is wrong mostly because a crippling ice storm in march seems very unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Monday was a beautiful set up on the Euro too 4 days ago. Gotta love how the GFS shows it as well though...Just something to hang our hopes on at least...Not taking it verbatim at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro has the ice storm that the gfs didnt quite show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Even if only Monday comes through it would be an awesome way to top off the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Gotta love how the GFS shows it as well though...Just something to hang our hopes on at least...Not taking it verbatim at all. considering we scored 1-2"+ with an event today that never really existed and the fact that Monday is bouncing like a super ball...d9-10 may as well be 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Euro has the ice storm that the gfs didnt quite show. I agreed with you about the gfs too. It was way too warm at the surface with hp placement the way it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Low forming in the GULF with a 1040 HP anchored across the NE US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Far northern tier is definitely colder @ 850. Fred/carroll divided in half by 7am monday. Not sure that means snow though. Maybe more sleet. I really don't know. I think the run is wrong mostly because a crippling ice storm in march seems very unlikely. I think ice unlikely as well. But who knows. I will take whatever. Feeling much better now. Maybe some lost sleep coming ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Wow, GFS/CCM and now the EURO show a potential big daddy Day 9-10...FWIW. Beautiful setup on the EURO at 192 hours lol sorry.. but yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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