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Late February/March Medium - Long Range Disco


stormtracker

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Upcoming:   two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west.

Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now

it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw

1" to 3" in favored spots.  The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture

starved and fast.

 

The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west.

 

Question:  do any of these three thread the needle or do

we await an opportunity in the March 6  to 15 period or

do we hang it up until December 5th?

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Upcoming: two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west.

Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now

it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw

1" to 3" in favored spots. The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture

starved and fast.

The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west.

Question: do any of these three thread the needle or do

we await an opportunity in the March 6 to 15 period or

do we hang it up until December 5th?

What are you talking about with the 3/4 storm. Euro looks like at least 6"+ in dc.
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Upcoming:   two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west.

Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now

it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw

1" to 3" in favored spots.  The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture

starved and fast.

 

The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west.

 

Question:  do any of these three thread the needle or do

we await an opportunity in the March 6  to 15 period or

do we hang it up until December 5th?

fwiw, Euro skewts for BWI (6 hr. increments) show all snow and not even as close as usual

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Upcoming:   two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west.

Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now

it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw

1" to 3" in favored spots.  The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture

starved and fast.

 

The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west.

 

Question:  do any of these three thread the needle or do

we await an opportunity in the March 6  to 15 period or

do we hang it up until December 5th?

 

Well the EURO just gave you 12+ 2 runs in a row, so....uh...yeah...

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hires_snow_acc_washdc_20.png

hi-res NAM for Wed. Side note - kinda feels like lots of folks are losing interest in winter at this point. I think this past weekend did a lot of folks in.

When (if? ;) ) we get a legit threat worthy of being invested in, more people will jump back on, even if they feign indifference. I'm not counting March 3rd/4th yet, though I'm an idiot and am all-in on the day 8 fantasy. ;)
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If it were early January, there would be a storm thread for Wed and next week. 

When (if? ;) ) we get a real threat worthy of being invested in, more people will jump back on, even if they feign indifference. I'm not counting March 3rd/4th yet, though I'm an idiot and am all-in on the day 8 fantasy. ;)

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Certainly a possibility. Feel like these types of events never really work out for us. Tree buds are saying 'NO SNOW'.

One behind my place is flowering already tho the early/winter cherries are still dormant.
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If it were early January, there would be a storm thread for Wed and next week.

Yeah, definitely. Maybe part of it is burn out from the last storm and part of it is just at the end of winter people's expectations just generally drop off and it becomes hard to get excited when the end is so near. Though for sure there are probably some who stepped outside this weekend and immediately began tracking the peak cherry blossom date instead of fantasy storms. ;)
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Monday definitely benefits from some NAO blip action and then we wait for another by a strat disturbance maybe 12-15th. We'll definitely have the PNA in our favor by then with many smaller threats in between.

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Ind euro members are pretty into the mon-tues storm. Almost half of the members show 6"+. I've seen this a few times before this season. It doesn't take much for things to go down the crapper but for now the euro digs the setup and the storm.

 

As HM just pointed out, things looks pretty good going forward next week. Nice pna ridge with split flow look. We aren't done for a while. 

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