Deck Pic Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 eh...February 29th looks crappy too...annoying run so far....hopefully tomorrow is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Looks like a snowstorm on the 3rd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 6:40 AM, Highzenberg said: Looks like a snowstorm on the 3rd prodigious amounts of QPF too....too bad it's 8 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 2nd run in a row MECS on the 3rd for EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 I literally don't sleep any longer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Upcoming: two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west. Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw 1" to 3" in favored spots. The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture starved and fast. The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west. Question: do any of these three thread the needle or do we await an opportunity in the March 6 to 15 period or do we hang it up until December 5th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 11:07 AM, winterymix said: Upcoming: two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west. Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw 1" to 3" in favored spots. The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture starved and fast. The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west. Question: do any of these three thread the needle or do we await an opportunity in the March 6 to 15 period or do we hang it up until December 5th? What are you talking about with the 3/4 storm. Euro looks like at least 6"+ in dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 11:38 AM, psuhoffman said: What are you talking about with the 3/4 storm. Euro looks like at least 6"+ in dc. It's a widespread 8-12" storm with solid ensemble support for 2 runs now. But way too far away to get invested. Wed sucks. Glad I fell asleep before the run started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 11:07 AM, winterymix said: Upcoming: two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west. Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw 1" to 3" in favored spots. The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture starved and fast. The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west. Question: do any of these three thread the needle or do we await an opportunity in the March 6 to 15 period or do we hang it up until December 5th? fwiw, Euro skewts for BWI (6 hr. increments) show all snow and not even as close as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 24, 2014 Author Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 11:38 AM, psuhoffman said: What are you talking about with the 3/4 storm. Euro looks like at least 6"+ in dc. He frequent mis reads the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 snow map to boost morale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 11:07 AM, winterymix said: Upcoming: two whiffs to the east and a whiff just too west. Wed looks sweet if only it can slow and phase but for now it is a s strung out progressive fast mover that may throw 1" to 3" in favored spots. The Sat/Sun thing looks moisture starved and fast. The March 4 thing looks juicy and 75 miles too far west. Question: do any of these three thread the needle or do we await an opportunity in the March 6 to 15 period or do we hang it up until December 5th? Well the EURO just gave you 12+ 2 runs in a row, so....uh...yeah... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 No chance of being disappointed with Wednesday with the expectation of a dusting - 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:39 PM, snowfan said: No chance of being disappointed with Wednesday with the expectation of a dusting - 1".Unless we get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 hi-res NAM for Wed. Side note - kinda feels like lots of folks are losing interest in winter at this point. I think this past weekend did a lot of folks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Certainly a possibility. Feel like these types of events never really work out for us. Tree buds are saying 'NO SNOW'. On 2/24/2014 at 1:43 PM, Ian said: Unless we get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:43 PM, snowfan said: hires_snow_acc_washdc_20.png hi-res NAM for Wed. Side note - kinda feels like lots of folks are losing interest in winter at this point. I think this past weekend did a lot of folks in. When (if? ) we get a legit threat worthy of being invested in, more people will jump back on, even if they feign indifference. I'm not counting March 3rd/4th yet, though I'm an idiot and am all-in on the day 8 fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 I'll gladly trade in Wednesday and Saturday for what's behind door #3. I just hope that EURO snowfall map looks similar at this point next week. Fingers crossed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:33 PM, Highzenberg said: Well the EURO just gave you 12+ 2 runs in a row, so....uh...yeah... thjis is the second weekend in a row the euro has showed a massive storm only to get nothing, not exactly a confidence builder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 If it were early January, there would be a storm thread for Wed and next week. On 2/24/2014 at 1:51 PM, CheesyPoofs said: When (if? ) we get a real threat worthy of being invested in, more people will jump back on, even if they feign indifference. I'm not counting March 3rd/4th yet, though I'm an idiot and am all-in on the day 8 fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:45 PM, snowfan said: Certainly a possibility. Feel like these types of events never really work out for us. Tree buds are saying 'NO SNOW'.One behind my place is flowering already tho the early/winter cherries are still dormant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:53 PM, mdsnowlover said: thjis is the second weekend in a row the euro has showed a massive storm only to get nothing, not exactly a confidence builderYeah but it's the storm after the storm this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:32 PM, snowfan said: snow map to boost morale. ecmwf_tsnow_washdc_34.png Can't say the ECMWF is "Dr. No" anymore... The modeled snow on the Euro this year at 6-10 day leads has been historic, maybe even JMA worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 1:53 PM, snowfan said: If it were early January, there would be a storm thread for Wed and next week.Yeah, definitely. Maybe part of it is burn out from the last storm and part of it is just at the end of winter people's expectations just generally drop off and it becomes hard to get excited when the end is so near. Though for sure there are probably some who stepped outside this weekend and immediately began tracking the peak cherry blossom date instead of fantasy storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Screw the cherry blossoms. March can still be a wintry month, at least here. Last year I recorded at least a T of frozen precip 14 different days in March. I will look forward to spring in April. For now, I'll track lions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Monday definitely benefits from some NAO blip action and then we wait for another by a strat disturbance maybe 12-15th. We'll definitely have the PNA in our favor by then with many smaller threats in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 On 2/24/2014 at 2:24 PM, HM said: Monday definitely benefits from some NAO blip action and then we wait for another by a strat disturbance maybe 12-15th. We'll definitely have the PNA in our favor by then with many smaller threats in between. excuse me, are you referring to euro big storm next week, thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 Ind euro members are pretty into the mon-tues storm. Almost half of the members show 6"+. I've seen this a few times before this season. It doesn't take much for things to go down the crapper but for now the euro digs the setup and the storm. As HM just pointed out, things looks pretty good going forward next week. Nice pna ridge with split flow look. We aren't done for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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