stormtracker Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 2/22 0z GFS craps the bed for the 26th. Let's see what the 0z Euro does. On the cold, GFS still impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 EURO with GFS, NAM Doors: 8:00 Show: 8:45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Worst gfs run in the history of the planet of the united states of the world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 00z GGEM for the crap its worth also tossed the Wed snow away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I guess gfs didn't have much for next weekend either? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I guess gfs didn't have much for next weekend either? dude..you live south of Philly....You don't need no stinkin' models...You're charmed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 dude..you live south of Philly....You don't need no stinkin' models...You're charmed.. I know we've had a good year up here but I root for everyone, by no means am I hear to gloat. Just wondering what the gfs showed (tonight) for early march I was hoping to expand the charmed zone south to include the entire MA ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Awful runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Ggem near hit march. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 GEFS pooped on Wed event and are a total whiff on March 1. However, March 3-7 looks colder on the GEFS with precip chances. Maybe delayed, but not denied. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Ggem near hit march. 1 I'd be more interested in what may come in the March 4-10 period. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 So what exactly does the Euro do between 96 (1011 L in AL and in SW NC) to 120 (980 coastal up east of ME)? Thats all I can see... so I need some Zwyts or Bob Chill help... hope its a nice 108 and not a clean collapse on the 00z model suite for the Wed morning snow chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 So what exactly does the Euro do between 96 (1011 L in AL and in SW NC) to 120 (980 coastal up east of ME)? Thats all I can see... so I need some Zwyts or Bob Chill help... hope its a nice 108 and not a clean collapse on the 00z model suite for the Wed morning snow chance NY forum said it was stronger Low and better for them than 12Z giving NY .4"+, soooo idk waiting for accuwx mos to be out shortly and I'll let you know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 NY forum said it was stronger Low and better for them than 12Z giving NY .4"+, soooo idk waiting for accuwx mos to be out shortly and I'll let you know Well I would expect they would do well with a 980 L up there Day 7 looks.... interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Well I would expect they would do well with a 980 L up there Day 7 looks.... interesting... thought the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Looks like 00z GGEM and 00z EURO have same ideas tonight... near miss on Day 8-9 storm... still time to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 DCA .1" and BWI .12" as of Wed 12Z....more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Wed DCA-.17" and BWI .20 meh-ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Wed DCA-.17" and BWI .20 meh-ish ~2"... thats fine. Better than the shutout the GFS/GGEM decided to turn in tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 ~2"... thats fine. Better than the shutout the GFS/GGEM decided to turn in tonight PHL-.35", NYC-.44" with Boston .44" too 40N kinda storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 PHL-.35", NYC-.44" with Boston .44" too 40N kinda storm At least we get some breadcrumbs instead of left out in the cold with nothing... EURO looked like a good set-up at Day 7 but decided no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 At least we get some breadcrumbs instead of left out in the cold with nothing... EURO looked like a good set-up at Day 7 but decided no. I noticed the 850 temps are not that cold on Day 7, though cold enough here it'll creep north in the coming days I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 Euro ens improved quite a bit for next weekend. Decent support for a coastal track. Were back in the green on a couple panels. A bit east on the means but way better than the op. Wed is still a light event and a late bloomer. Ens members supportive of a 1-3 deal overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 It would suck if all this cold goes to waste. Lets do one more KU and call it a winter. Can't hug every model run. The potential is there. That's all that matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I bet the GFS will bring the Wednesday system back. It has shown these inconsistencies all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I bet the GFS will bring the Wednesday system back. It has shown these inconsistencies all year.I bet the one that isn't being modeled properly will be a good one and by this I mean the system next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I agree. If they are all over the place in the extended it will probably be something significant although we are moving toward a change in season and the models often don't deal well with the transition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 12z NAM at hr84 is a whiff for Tues/Wed. Too progressive of a pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 The SOI value for Feb. 22, 2014 is -23.2 , that is the most negative value is a very long time, the 30 day is getting ready to flip to negative, presently at positive 1.74. Meanwhile forecasts of the MJO progressing continues and there is even the potential of significant amplitude in phase 8 upcoming if all goes well. Strong KW in the Pacific and I have even seen a model whip up an early season Western Pacific TC. The AO continues to trend lower, so all in all, I believe before all is said and done, we should score something significant in the weeks ahead. Whether it is a pure snow event in these parts not sure, but I hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 GFS likes a little wet snow/rain for Sunday night. 850s ok but surface above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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