N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 How bout wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Euro is still not buying what the GGEM/UKMET/NAM are selling for Monday morning. Wasn't someone commenting that the Euro's vulnerability ...kind of an achile's heal pattern, is progressive n-stream dominant ? I think that's true anyway, but if someone knows off hand may want to corroborate that statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Euro cooking up something for Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Monday may not be much of anything. Maybe we compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 How bout wednesday Ramping up...looks pretty good. Verbatim it is still a bit SE so its like an advisory deal, but potential is certainly there for a more amped up system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 That was a great look for 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 2 snow events in the next 5 days.. Most places avoided the warm sector.. Not a bad deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 We will have the cold up here but not the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 2 snow events in the next 5 days.. Most places avoided the warm sector.. Not a bad deal But tomorrow will be 44F and sunny in the hill towns. 51F and sunny on the CP. Sunday is torchy too. At least the driveway ice melted... I'm intrigued by the WED threat. GFS/EURO combo leading the way for now. SUN night is an NAM/GGEM combo (not as good IMO). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 But tomorrow will be 44F and sunny in the hill towns. 51F and sunny on the CP. Sunday is torchy too. At least the driveway ice melted... I'm intrigued by the WED threat. GFS/EURO combo leading the way for now. SUN night is an NAM/GGEM combo (not as good IMO). Tomorrow will be low -mid 40's hills and 50-55 CP and Sunday 38-42 hills 43-47 CP..about like yesterday..but with low dews..today was the big worry (for me anyway) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 2 snow events in the next 5 days.. Most places avoided the warm sector.. Not a bad deal Chances. Not events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Chances. Not events. One in the same to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 One in the same to me Monday is not looking strong. Wednesday is intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Monday is not looking strong. Wednesday is intriguing.Euro isn't concerning since it's documented problems with N Streams all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Euro isn't concerning since it's documented problems with N Streams all winter GFs was uneventful too. My point is don't be surprised if its not what you hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Im excited.,looks like for the second year in a row a cold snowy Morch is coming. [ b]Sunday nite kicks things off[/b]. Kicks off the last week of February but who's counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Whats the cheapest euro subscription? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Whats the cheapest euro subscription? Waiting for Will to post about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Waiting for Will to post about it. Lol...My kind of humor, thumbs up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Whats the cheapest euro subscription? Extrapolation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I'm within shouting distance of 80". That's my benchmark for greatness. If we can string anything together in this next couple of weeks, we will challenge it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Whats the cheapest euro subscription? With coupon code, EuroWX is $7.95/month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 March is a high variance month though, so we could easily get a turd...even if it starts off cold. Though obviously things are looking up for the first 10 days of the month. I'd feel better about it though if we had a -NAO. But its not a requirement for a good March....1993 is the top example of that. 1997 as well. By far the most variable of the 4 wintry months at my foothills location. The 15-yr avg for March snow is 16.8", the 3 lowest and 3 highest months noted below: 0.6"....2010 2.8"....2006 3.4"....2004 31.1"...2005 32.2"...1999 55.5"...2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I wonder if there has ever been a study that correlates the snow and cold loaded winters of lore with "pattern characteristic" The reason I pose the rhetorical question is that it leaps to mind, we are headed (pretty clearly) toward an above normal snow season. Additionally, all four climatology sites on NWS' website put up negative temperature departures for December and January, and are well en route to doing the same for February. By the way, HFD is nearly -7 for the month of February so far, and with a major cold outbreak on the way the expectation is that they may oscillated over the next 3 days before carving that even deeper. I just think it is really interesting that we are pulling this off without ever having observed a retrograde pattern. Can you imagine if we finally sans that appeal heading into "bowling season", THEN had an April Fools redux? Either way, I really think we can find our way toward another 15 to 20" at these climo-sites (and in between of course), through the first week of March. Some sites, such as ORH, would be nearing 100" for the season, and the region would still have to dodge the rest of cut-off season (which really can include much of April). Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 The ec ensembles have the Wednesday deal too. Bit of a late bloomer and would favor SE areas for now I suppose..but plenty of time to work on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 The ec ensembles have the Wednesday deal too. Bit of a late bloomer and would favor SE areas for now I suppose..but plenty of time to work on that. 12z EURO OP bought back the 3/1 threat but suppressed. Im not so sure anybody should be counting that out until models can determine what effects the wednesday storm will have on it upstream/downstream. The pattern next week heading into the following week is one of the best we've seen this year thus far. Not wishcasting but the last weekend big kahuna that broke alot of hearts is different than what this one is coming into pattern wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 The ec ensembles have the Wednesday deal too. Bit of a late bloomer and would favor SE areas for now I suppose..but plenty of time to work on that. I really like the setup as currently modeled for mid-week. Lot's of potential. Too bad we are 5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Wednesday does look pretty nice on the ensembles. QPF gets decently far NW so there's probably some decent members in there. The ensembles are also trying to revive the 3/1 threat a bit...but still a lot of work to do there. But the fact that it does get 0.10-0.20 of liquid into SNE on the mean suggests some pretty good solutions mixed in the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 That's a pretty good look for mid week. May favor the areas that were favored in January, maybe not as sharp of a cutoff though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Man that's an active pattern on both the GEFS and EC too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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