Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Just get us to the snow Sunday nite and we're back in the promised land. Keep busy with activities this weekend and before you know it the first obs and flakes will be flying come Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 8:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Just get us to the snow Sunday nite and we're back in the promised land. Keep busy with activities this weekend and before you know it the first obs and flakes will be flying come Sunday night You like Sunday night huh? I hope it works out..but I have some questions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 8:54 PM, CoastalWx said: You like Sunday night huh? I hope it works out..but I have some questions. It looks like doo-doo on the Euro and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 8:54 PM, CoastalWx said: You like Sunday night huh? I hope it works out..but I have some questions. I think all of SNE sees a 1-3 inch snowfall..I bet 18z brings it back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 In kind of punting Sunday night for anything more than mode flakes, maybe someone scores an inch, but it looks very underwhelming. I'm much more interested in mid week, that seems to be growing some legs, still an eternity away in this type of pattern. I envision this pattern similar in ways to the one we saw in January at times. Events kind of pop up on short lead time, and deliver small/moderate events potentially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 7:11 PM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: Whats the cheapest euro subscription? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Sunday night is the garbage we have to wade through to reach better times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 BTV is also in agreement with my punting the rest of the month: .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...AS OF 315 PM EST FRIDAY...NOTHING NEW IN THE LATEST DATA THAT SUGGESTSWE DEVIATE FROM THE OVERALL THINKING OF COLDER AND DRIERCONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILLBE THE RULE WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGING COLDER AND DRIERAIR DOWN FROM CANADA. THERE WILL BE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTOTHE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES ON WEDNESDAY AND THIS WILL BRING ACHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LARGE UPPERLEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS DOWN FROM ONTARIO AND MOVES INTOEASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THEDEVELOPING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DELIVER A SHOT OF VERY COLDAIR WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -30C BY FRIDAY MORNING. THUSLOOKING AT TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO THURSDAY NIGHT AND HIGHS ONLYIN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS...WHICH WOULD BE 15 TO 25 DEGREESBELOW NORMAL FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. We will be falling back into negative snowfall departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 Wondering if tomorrow is cooler because of dominant SW flow, not a downsloped direction, cold ocean mitigation any ocean exposure, interior hills warmer than CP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:33 PM, eyewall said: BTV is also in agreement with my punting the rest of the month: .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 315 PM EST FRIDAY...NOTHING NEW IN THE LATEST DATA THAT SUGGESTS WE DEVIATE FROM THE OVERALL THINKING OF COLDER AND DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BRINGING COLDER AND DRIER AIR DOWN FROM CANADA. THERE WILL BE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES ON WEDNESDAY AND THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS DOWN FROM ONTARIO AND MOVES INTO EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE DEVELOPING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DELIVER A SHOT OF VERY COLD AIR WITH 850 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -30C BY FRIDAY MORNING. THUS LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO THURSDAY NIGHT AND HIGHS ONLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS...WHICH WOULD BE 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE TIME OF YEAR. We will be falling back into negative snowfall departures. short punt, snow Wednesday which is the 26th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:37 PM, Ginxy said: short punt, snow Wednesday which is the 26th? Looks light at best. Probably a 1-3" type of scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 I'm thinking the coastal plain doesn't do better than 45F tomorrow and Sunday with southwesterly winds. Sunday night looks questionable at best, the fact that the GGEM is most robust is not a surprise and is not grounds for concern in my opinion. GFS and EURO are more robust for Wednesday, and I think we get at least advisory snows into Southeastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:39 PM, eyewall said: Looks light at best. Probably a 1-3" type of scenario.shanked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:46 PM, Ginxy said: shanked hahah here is the current WPC thinking on QPF for that time frame: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Nobody should be punting d5 events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Monday may be close to punting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 isnt monday anafrontal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:58 PM, codfishsnowman said: isnt monday anafrontal? It's simply a shortwave within the northwest flow comes through producing a surface low along the frontal system and pushes quickly northeastward, not anafrontal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Monday is sort of anafrontal, but it looks like nothing on models. Maybe some showers briefly ending as snow on the Cape. The 18z GFS has an inv trough now into central areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Actually drags it east to give a widespread snow before nailing ern areas. At least it has something so interest in this system should be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 10:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Monday is sort of anafrontal, but it looks like nothing on models. Maybe some showers briefly ending as snow on the Cape. The 18z GFS has an inv trough now into central areas. Only the Euro and GFS..everything has it. Monday doesnt even get to freezing I'm interested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 10:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Only the Euro and GFS..everything has it. Monday doesnt even get to freezing I'm interested Yes Monday is colder..Sunday is mild though. Still a chance for something..but I would start to look ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Sun night/Monday looks meh. Kind of a rotten BL even if it occurs as we haven't advected much cold in yet. Wed looks like it has a lot more potential than just an inv trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 9:52 PM, dendrite said: Nobody should be punting d5 events. Nor banking on them But agreed, that could bring some light snow up this way. The seasonal persistent pattern though would favor SNE into CNE and maybe eastern NNE for more appreciable snows. I don't think anyone would argue that system looks more geared towards those regions over the NW quarter of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 18z GFS non fantasy land sucked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 It's coming....back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 What a truly deep, deep beast that is mid week aloft. There is an intermediate stream impulse that tries to entice the entire SPV to slice in and capture it... and it does, but just too late. If that can happen 12 hours sooner, you'd have the most epic subsume scenario ever, period! It would blow 1978 away. Not sure folks truly appreciate how close that is to being a once/multi-century type of thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 On 2/21/2014 at 11:37 PM, Ginxy said: 18z GFS non fantasy land sucked Wed/Thur inverted trough looked odd...hate banking on inverted troughs but I bet Dendrite pulls a warning snow out of that somehow The fantasy land range looked pretty sweet though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 If we could get below zero to the coast and then a significant snowstorm in March? I'd be willing to endure as many as 10 90 degree days this warm season for that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2014 Author Share Posted February 22, 2014 On 2/22/2014 at 1:07 AM, snowman21 said: If we could get below zero to the coast and then a significant snowstorm in March? I'd be willing to endure as many as 10 90 degree days this warm season for that!yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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