Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

2/23-2/24 Potential Frontal Wave


Zelocita Weather

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 128
  • Created
  • Last Reply

so you forgot about saturday?

EPO was pos as was the PNA was NEG , Both going back to where they were in Jan .  NEG EPO  POS PNA   Big difference , you`re gona press the cold air Sand you`re gona  develop a nice ridge axis out W so they have a chance to deepen and come North  .

Not all work out , but if the NAO goes NEG ,  then you may really have a chance to slow the flow down .

( too much of a press and you could shunt em ) . But its not bad set up sitting here today . 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

EPO was pos as was the PNA was NEG , Both going back to where they were in Jan . NEG EPO POS PNA Big difference , you`re gona press the cold air Sand you`re gona develop a nice ridge axis out W so they have a chance to deepen and come North .

Not all work out , but if the NAO goes NEG , then you may really have a chance to slow the flow down .

( too much of a press and you could shunt em ) . But its not bad set up sitting here today .

Not a bad setup at all for the next 7-10 days but the thing that concerns me most is suppression with that PV that looks like it wants to make a return in a big way

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Unlike January, I think suppression is less of a problem heading into March due to the change in wave lengths and a more active subtropical jet.

There is a  real difference here , the NAO goes NEG ,It will always help in slowing down the flow , and that`s how you get 

large cold storms over a large area , but you always run the risk of  suppression .  That`s part making that deal . 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

There is a  real difference here , the NAO goes NEG ,It will always help in slowing down the flow , and that`s how you get 

large cold storms over a large area , but you always run the risk of  suppression .  That`s part making that deal . 

if it actually goes negative that is.  Models have shown west based NAO this season only to lose it a few runs later.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

if it actually goes negative that is.  Models have shown west based NAO this season only to lose it a few runs later.

 

12z Euro backed off  to neutral from its 0z look  . Which is fine with me because now I look for one of the arctic waves to phase on the EC next week and come N .

Mon - Tues will do better on the coast , its where arctic waves do best .

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This looks like the 2/3 event

I'm really not seeing the similarities at all. This is a clipper, that storm wasn't. This has more similarities to last weekend and last Monday night, although the area probably won't be skipped over as much like it was with those. The transfer looks more gradual.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm really not seeing the similarities at all. This is a clipper, that storm wasn't. This has more similarities to last weekend and last Monday night, although the area probably won't be skipped over as much like it was with those. The transfer looks more gradual.

It was weak wave that moved to the south of us like 2/3, but your right this is not STJ influencedgfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It was weak wave that moved to the south of us like 2/3, but your right this is not STJ influencedgfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_15.png

Yeah that storm was pure southern stream energy that just kept ticking further and further NW. Seems like we've been seeing this a lot this winter, and in normal winters we would have killed for a storm like that. This winter will definitely go down as one of the greats of my lifetime. Deep, long duration arctic outbreaks. Several days with lows below zero. Constant threats to follow with many of them actually coming to fruition. It really makes you feel like we're going to finish with a really big one before all is said and done. Of course the atmosphere will be transitioning in March, shorter wave lengths, ect. and patterns can change on a dime.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah that storm was pure southern stream energy that just kept ticking further and further NW. Seems like we've been seeing this a lot this winter, and in normal winters we would have killed for a storm like that. This winter will definitely go down as one of the greats of my lifetime. Deep, long duration arctic outbreaks. Several days with lows below zero. Constant threats to follow with many of them actually coming to fruition. It really makes you feel like we're going to finish with a really big one before all is said and done. Of course the atmosphere will be transitioning in March, shorter wave lengths, ect. and patterns can change on a dime.

This winter is 1993-94 Part II

Link to comment
Share on other sites

doesn't WPC have that front south and east of all guidance ?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...