dj3 Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 Exactly what I was thinking. We've been bullseyed 24 hour out before with 10 + inches all snow, only to have the mix line move to the ny/pa state line by the time the event starts. I've even seen events thr were going to hit Cleveland three or four days out end up south if us. It never moved the right way for us! Yea it definitely seems like we have some bad luck. I really thought this was a great set up for us to have a big one though. It seems like most of our big storms were modeled south and nudged north at the end. Anything else is usually slop, even with good tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 21, 2016 Share Posted January 21, 2016 I'm never going to root against snow, it's in my DNA. But at this point, I wouldn't shed too many tears, if everything shifted south tomorrow. If it's not gonna be a 10"+ storm, I would just as well have my friday night back . Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hey, maybe the Penguins can get a rare win over the Flyers to make things better...wait they're already down 2-0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hey, maybe the Penguins can get a rare win over the Flyers to make things better...wait they're already down 2-0. I'll sacrifice a pens blowout for 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Yea it definitely seems like we have some bad luck. I really thought this was a great set up for us to have a big one though. It seems like most of our big storms were modeled south and nudged north at the end. Anything else is usually slop, even with good tracks. I was thinking the same thing, if we were sweating the r/s line you know this would have shifted 75 miles north to give us slop lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Hey, maybe the Penguins can get a rare win over the Flyers to make things better...wait they're already down 2-0. Tied up 2-2, making a comeback just like the models will show a big north trend tonight, guaranteed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Kessel on a layup, now what say you, models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 Well my cousin in Kentucky is still getting bigger snow falls than us. Last year he got 14 inches and we can't buy 5+. I already cancelled my weatherbell subscription and have one foot out the door. Let's be honest though, there will be a fantasy run and I'll be right back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'll refrain from any bitterness until tomorrow. If things play out as forecasted, it'll definetly sting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 I'll refrain from any bitterness until tomorrow. If things play out as forecasted, it'll definetly sting. If its any consolation we are foretasted to get into the 40s on Monday and Tuesday with rain showers. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't pass on a potentially historic blizzard because of that, but seeing a warm-up after a big snow is a downer for me. That's why once we get into March it better be big or go home when it comes to snow in my book. I'd love to get a big snow in early to mid January followed by a cold spell with some clippers dropping a fresh 2-4 every couple days, then another big one as the pattern breaks down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 22, 2016 Share Posted January 22, 2016 If its any consolation we are foretasted to get into the 40s on Monday and Tuesday with rain showers. Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't pass on a potentially historic blizzard because of that, but seeing a warm-up after a big snow is a downer for me. That's why once we get into March it better be big or go home when it comes to snow in my book. I'd love to get a big snow in early to mid January followed by a cold spell with some clippers dropping a fresh 2-4 every couple days, then another big one as the pattern breaks down. With a possible SWE occurring and with the Nino breaking down. I think we have a shot of atleast scoring a winter level snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 FYI KDKA VIPIR radar sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 So since this seems to be over performing for everyone (posters in the South especially) what is better, having a big snowfall modeled at least 2-3 days in advance and it actually verifying so you get to soak in all the hype etc, or something like this that ends up being more than forecast with advisories and warnings be added \ upgraded on the fly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 In a weird way, I think an unexpected over performer is better, the excitement in seeing an event over perform may override the expectation that comes with a big projected event even if said event verifies, but truth be told I like both, and have no objection to seeing a large event play out as modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Am I the only one that is o the outside looking in at this snow?I just measured 2.5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Just below 2" here in Southern butler county but still the roads are all awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Can't even be upset at this overperformer. I do wish we would have seen what our eastern friends are but it will come eventually. The roads are awful everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Nice to see that some areas in the southern Metro area will see >20". They deserve it - they get screwed a lot But... With the city generally seeing 4-8", i hope this doesnt blow our "big storm" load where its 5 years before such an opportunity presents itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Agreed, it would be nice to see something that would give the whole region 2 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Probably will be hard to get 2 feet but with the strong Nino and blocking to return, a foot is not out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
passmaster16 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Yeah getting a bit greedy after seeing what's going on with our friends out east, I think I jinxed us with some bad juju after buying a snowblower after the feb 2010 storm, haven't seen a foot or more in one event since then, go figure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Probably will be hard to get 2 feet but with the strong Nino and blocking to return, a foot is not out of the question.[/quote Even 8 is ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Just below 2" here in Southern butler county but still the roads are all awful 422 by me looked like they hadn't touched it since last evening....and I won't get started on my boro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Not really bitter today, just a bit dissapointed overall. We got the duration, but just couldn't get those heavy rates here. But in reality, outside of an occasional superband, like what the mid-mon valley saw last night, we're just too far away from the coast to get those double digit storms here in Pittsburgh. Nice job also with everyones input this week. Especially the Colonel, for all the map data going back before the Steeler game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 24, 2016 Share Posted January 24, 2016 Atleast I can go out tonight but in other news possible storm this weekend. Waiting until atleast Wednesday before I even entertain this threat. Looks to be further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 28, 2016 Share Posted January 28, 2016 This is a pretty nice link to see what kind of snowstorms we have received. Credit goes to Ian from the midatlantic forum. http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org/ Single station -> extremes -> year range: 1980-2016 -> Length of period 2 or 3 days (will miss some if you only do two, or even PDII if you do three). Station selection - station of choice. The numbers don't lie when it comes to KPITs' 10"+ storm climo, compared to east coast locations. KPIT : (4) 10"+ storms in 35 years Dulles (D.C.) (5) 10"+ storms in the past 6 years Great program though. I don't remember 2-28-84, however the PSU e-wall site shows it as a rare, rain to heavy snow event. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1984.html 12-11-92 might be my favorite, just because it was the first big storm I was aware of. (Sans the 4-4-87 heartbreaker) I remember trudging home through the heavy wet snow after a pre-lunch early dismissal, but loving every minute of it. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I'm probably in the minority, but I like the forecast for the next 7 days. If I can't get a decent snowfall, it might as well be mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 I'm probably in the minority, but I like the forecast for the next 7 days. If I can't get a decent snowfall, it might as well be mild. Agree. Now maybe we can throw in a thunderstorm or a wind event if we can't have a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 That is my neck of the woods. Lets see what it does for me. Side note- you all make winter so much better knowing we all are in the same boat. I appreciate all the input on this board. On a side note, is Kamikazees on 30 still open ? And if so, do they still do the topless (sometimes everything) bartending evening service. Went there with some co workers about 10 years ago, and it was interesting. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 13, 2016 Share Posted February 13, 2016 Coraopolis were you the one who worked for a weather station? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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