HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 NAM looks warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Rgem pretty heavy in GC today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 RGEM has that second diving SW too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I am in the Goshen section of Waterford, partly cloudy and 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 39 here too, damn at the lightning reports and the 5 inch per hour report out of Tioga County PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Still lots of 20's in CT with precip moving in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Interesting that BGM was supposed to be all zr and instead 32 and hvy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Lot of hvy snow reports in Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Here's what the boys at GYX have to say .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 AVP and MSV going to mod/heavy snow is a good sign for later trying to get those accumulations to verify in N ORH county. The model soundings look slightly too warm in those areas, so hopefully that translates downstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Lot of hvy snow reports in Jersey What's a lot, just curious? Because MPO is at 3/4SM and that's all I see, and even that's in PA. And MSV is at 1/4SM, north of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0115 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0935 AM CST WED FEB 19 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...SE NY...FAR NW CT...MA...VT...NH...SW ME CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 191535Z - 192130Z SUMMARY...HEAVY SNOW IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS SE NY SPREADING NEWD ACROSS NW CT...MA...VT...NH INTO SW MAINE. SNOWFALL RATES MAY APPROACH 1 INCH PER HOUR IN THE HEAVIER BANDS. A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM NY SWD INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC. A PLUME OF MOISTURE IS LOCATED JUST AHEAD OF THE TROUGH ALONG THE AXIS OF A 40 TO 50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS MORNING...HELPING TO ENHANCE LIFT ACROSS THE MCD AREA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AT ALBANY NY SHOW AN ISOTHERMAL LAYER FROM THE SFC TO 850 MB WITH TEMPS NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. THIS PROFILE SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SNOW LATE THIS MORNING IN THE CATSKILLS. HEAVY SNOWFALL SHOULD DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS THE GREEN MOUNTAINS INTO THE WHITE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER BANDS. SFC TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. DUE TO THIS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN OCCURS IN MANY AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER ELEVATIONS SHOULD STAY AS ALL SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AND MAY HAVE LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL RATES. ..BROYLES.. 02/19/2014 ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Steve where is that pic from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 What's a lot, just curious? Because MPO is at 3/4SM and that's all I see, and even that's in PA. And MSV is at 1/4SM, north of Jersey. Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Steve where is that pic from? Looks like I-84 in NY...prob west of POU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Steve where is that pic from? It says i84 and rte 739 - PA near NY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Twitter Still doesn't answer the question. What's a lot? I'm just trying to gauge upstream obs. You know if you say a lot and it's a couple, that can be useful to me later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Here's what the boys at GYX have to say .. 21914snow.png Be nice to see if my little elevation helps out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Still doesn't answer the question. What's a lot? I'm just trying to gauge upstream obs. You know if you say a lot and it's a couple, that can be useful to me later. Looks liek MSV and AVP are 1/4 and 1/2 respectively...NJ not so much. FWN is 1 mile SN- right now....though there are probably more elevated pockets near the border that are snowing harder given FWN is "only" about 500 feet elevation. Actually AVP just flipped to rain on the latest obs, but MSV still at 1/4 mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 This thing is hauling and MAULING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Looks liek MSV and AVP are 1/4 and 1/2 respectively...NJ not so much. FWN is 1 mile SN- right now....though there are probably more elevated pockets near the border that are snowing harder given FWN is "only" about 500 feet elevation. Actually AVP just flipped to rain on the latest obs, but MSV still at 1/4 mile. That stuff by MSV will be what I'm dealing with on my shift later. Never a dull moment in this stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 That stuff by MSV will be what I'm dealing with on my shift later. Never a dull moment in this stretch. peaking early like yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 That stuff by MSV will be what I'm dealing with on my shift later. Never a dull moment in this stretch. BOX has a ballsy forecast considering no verbatim model guidance was spitting out advisory snow for N ORH county, but their reasoning is solid...high omega in snowgrowth region usually produces latent cooling that models under estimate, so I could see it. Still, not sure I would have the cajones to go advisory snows...but we'll see if that works out. It just might if upstream obs are any indication. A quick 3" plasturing could def happen...I'm just worried that it would start as an hour or 90 minutes of parachutes and then flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 peaking early like yesterday? For SNE sure, but late evening Downeast could get into some fun as the mid levels try and close off again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 BOX has a ballsy forecast considering no verbatim model guidance was spitting out advisory snow for N ORH county, but their reasoning is solid...high omega in snowgrowth region usually produces latent cooling that models under estimate, so I could see it. Still, not sure I would have the cajones to go advisory snows...but we'll see if that works out. It just might if upstream obs are any indication. A quick 3" plasturing could def happen...I'm just worried that it would start as an hour or 90 minutes of parachutes and then flip.Whats with this second wave and snow late nite Steve mentioned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 BOX has a ballsy forecast considering no verbatim model guidance was spitting out advisory snow for N ORH county, but their reasoning is solid...high omega in snowgrowth region usually produces latent cooling that models under estimate, so I could see it. Still, not sure I would have the cajones to go advisory snows...but we'll see if that works out. It just might if upstream obs are any indication. A quick 3" plasturing could def happen...I'm just worried that it would start as an hour or 90 minutes of parachutes and then flip. Bold yes, but there is that caveat of freezing rain. They'll verify because any amount of snow plus any amount of freezing rain is a hit. I think you're probably right in not expecting much more than a quick burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Whats with this second wave and snow late nite Steve mentioned? lol you biting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 lol you biting? Doesn't look too hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Somebody is going to have a bad ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.