HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Not worth 3 threads. Another refresher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I think even Kevin could see some snow mix in or a brief all snow if it comes down hard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I'm a bit surprised BOX went 2-4" for ORH northward...they are citing big omega in the snow growth region which def could help with latent cooling...but still, that's a pretty ballsy forecast, We'll see if it works out. I'd probably go a sloppy inch or maybe two for Wawa and up through AFN or something. The onset def does look to be snow or IP/snow mix as there's some good wetbulb potential initially in the mid-levels and BL. But the question is whether that lasts more than an hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 There are going to be some major icing concerns south of the pike. Look at all those temps..with no wind,, deep pack and clouds now...I'd hope BOX gets some WWA up ASAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I think even Kevin could see some snow mix in or a brief all snow if it comes down hard? I doubt snow..but could foresee a nice ice event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I doubt snow..but could foresee a nice ice event Well not accumulating..but like one of those deals where parachutes may fire down..just kind of has that look. I think temps will warm steadily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Well not accumulating..but like one of those deals where parachutes may fire down..just kind of has that look. I think temps will warm steadily. And then halt right at like 31.8 -32.1 or something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 Bullish I think 2" is the max from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 CAD locations (heh-hmmmm...Chris?) could benefit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 CAD locations (heh-hmmmm...Chris?) could benefit CAD only really matters for ice vs rain...it won't have much affect on whether there is snow vs rain....but any latitude will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2-3" here as long as qpf doesn't stay south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 With such steep lapse rate..wouldn't be surprised at some thunder tonight along with graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 With such steep lapse rate..wouldn't be surprised at some thunder tonight along with graupel you know everytime I hear about the possibility of thunder snow I get excited, but it never happens. It's been years since I've heard it in any storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 what is the timing of the precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 you know everytime I hear about the possibility of thunder snow I get excited, but it never happens. It's been years since I've heard it in any storm. It's pretty rare, and usually not widespread. We are pretty good at forecasting conditions will be favorable for it, but it's much harder to predict where it will occur. Similar to warm season convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 you know everytime I hear about the possibility of thunder snow I get excited, but it never happens. It's been years since I've heard it in any storm. i know me too, im still waiting for my tssn plus plus in a wild swfe or coastal, i havent experienced true tssn plus plus since feb 01 storm in bristol ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 2-4" With the rain friday night, might not be a great wknd for riding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 With the rain friday night, might not be a great wknd for riding.I was actually thinking the opposite. The snow we have here has been pretty dry, a little moisture may help it pack into a nice base. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I'm a bit surprised BOX went 2-4" for ORH northward...they are citing big omega in the snow growth region which def could help with latent cooling...but still, that's a pretty ballsy forecast, We'll see if it works out. I'd probably go a sloppy inch or maybe two for Wawa and up through AFN or something. The onset def does look to be snow or IP/snow mix as there's some good wetbulb potential initially in the mid-levels and BL. But the question is whether that lasts more than an hour or so. BOX gives me around an inch,but I'm totally not seeing how the ML's support that,at least on the NAM/GFS. Does any other model show it being colder? I never get below 0 at 850 today. Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 CAD only really matters for ice vs rain...it won't have much affect on whether there is snow vs rain....but any latitude will help. Yeah I'm counting more on CAD for thurs/fri here to avoid any meaningful torching. I think it snows here today, maybe 1". BOX maps didn't work out so well here yesterday so we'll see. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Not worth 3 threads. Another refresher we need a fresh new coating. The old snow is getting dirty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 we need a fresh new coating. The old snow is getting dirty. Looks awful... Actually, last night, on the way back from the mountain, I was noticing on my side streets a lot of sand had been mixed up in the snowbanks. Hubbardston likes to use a lot of sand... Otherwise a beautiful scene out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 looks great here bc we have no sand or salt lol, roads are treacherous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I was actually thinking the opposite. The snow we have here has been pretty dry, a little moisture may help it pack into a nice base. Yes, definitely will pack it down, but I'm not much of a fan of riding in 40F+ weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 With the rain friday night, might not be a great wknd for riding.ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Thought this looked decent after 18z yesterday nam . Wrt dynamic cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 With the rain friday night, might not be a great wknd for riding. There won't be much rain, Would take an awful lot to effect this snow pack, I am riding Sat/Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Yes, definitely will pack it down, but I'm not much of a fan of riding in 40F+ weather. Bibs and jacket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I was actually thinking the opposite. The snow we have here has been pretty dry, a little moisture may help it pack into a nice base. Yeah, We could use some moisture in the snow, The folks that are grooming tell me that after the 1st few sleds hit the trails after they have been groomed they go to hell because the snow won't hold in place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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